146 Victoria Rd · New Britain, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +5.2/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HIGHEST & BEST DUE BY MONDAY, MAY 18 AT 5PM. Make this your new home sweet home! This solid, West End Colonial features 3 large bedrooms, living room with fireplace, formal dining room, eat in kitchen, hardwood floors throughout, newer replacement windows & vinyl siding, steel beam construction, 4 zone gas heat with a heated 1 car garage. There is an additional 200 SF in the partially finished lower level. Price reflects cosmetic updating needed to make this home shine. Sold in AS Is condition and subject to Probate Court Approval.
Key facts
- Eat in kitchen
- Vinyl siding
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water; Thermopane windows
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Built with frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Porch; Gutters; Lightly wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Wall oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (natural gas); Window air-conditioning unit
- Interior features: Cable available; One fireplace; Full, partially finished basement; Walk-up attic
- Laundry & utility: Washer and electric dryer in lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-674 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (39.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (35.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (39.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#67 in CT, #4,936 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime D, employment D.
- New Britain School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #153 of 153 in CT (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: New Britain High School (math 10% / reading 31%, grade F, #162 of 194 statewide, top 83%, 2,331 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.64%
- DSCR
- 0.57
- GRM
- 13.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $373,481
- List price
- $299,900
- Delta
- -19.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 S Mountain Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,531 (-2%) | 3mo | $370,000 | $242 | 79 |
| 78 Victoria Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (-8%) | 6mo | $330,000 | $228 | 74 |
| 26 Chamberlain St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,671 (+6%) | 3mo | $373,000 | $223 | 67 |
| 248 Corbin Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,640 (+4%) | 1mo | $322,500 | $197 | 65 |
| 155 Harding St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,592 (+1%) | 11mo | $365,000 | $229 | 64 |
| 55 Dogwood Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,526 (-3%) | 3mo | $380,000 | $249 | 62 |
| 117 Texas Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,600 (+2%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $150 | 60 |
| 145 Kenwood Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (-8%) | 9mo | $390,000 | $271 | 58 |
| 145 Garry Dr | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,628 (+4%) | 10mo | $350,000 | $215 | 51 |
| 80 Garry Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,682 (+7%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $202 | 51 |
| 36 Bradley St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,414 (-10%) | 10mo | $300,009 | $212 | 42 |
| 66 Lincoln St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,783 (+14%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $171 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $120,489
- Equity at exit
- $270,174
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.63×
- Total profit
- $388,797
- Equity at exit
- $582,640
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06052
- Home prices YoY
- 13.2%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,922 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$495 /mo · $5,940/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $-674
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-505 | -5% $-589 | +0% $-674 | +5% $-759 | +10% $-844 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-826 | -5% $-750 | +0% $-674 | +5% $-598 | +10% $-522 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-523 | -0.5pp $-598 | base $-674 | +0.5pp $-752 | +1.0pp $-831 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Pennsylvania Ave Unit 7 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 168 Black Rock Ave Unit 1st Floor New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $2,000 | $1.73 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 168 Black Rock Ave Unit 3rd Floor New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $2,250 | $1.86 | 12d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 254 Corbin Ave Unit 3 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 42 Vance St Unit 2nd Fl New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 39 Holmes Ave Unit 2 New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2200 | $1,600 | $0.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 214 Columbia St Unit 2 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2016 | $1,600 | $0.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 67 Brooklawn St Fl 2 New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 73 Brooklawn St Unit 3 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 15 Wakefield Ct Unit 2 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 161 Pennsylvania Ave New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 664 W Main St Unit 2 New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1276 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 680 W Main St Unit 2 New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,907 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 156 Columbia St New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 177 Hart St Apt 2 New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,990 | $1.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 174 Hart St #1 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $1,800 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 152 Lyons St New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 126 Winthrop St Unit 2 New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1386 | $1,750 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 86 Winthrop St Unit 2W New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 86 Winthrop St Unit 1E New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1298 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 86 Winthrop St Unit 1W New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1298 | $1,800 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 38 Ledyard Rd New Britain, CT | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1538 | $2,850 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 70 Monroe St Unit 2 New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1366 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 10 Wallace St New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 14 Crown St Unit 2W New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,650 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 271 Glen St New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2230 | $1,950 | $0.87 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 149 Glen St New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,550 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 171 Bassett St New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 371 Broad St Unit 1st Floor New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,900 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 69 Smith St Unit 2 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1576 | $1,600 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 94 Glen St New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 316 High Rd Berlin, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 38 Roberts St Fl 1 New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 160 Main St New Britain, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,950 | $2.29 | 3d | 2 | 1.41mi |
| 127 Booth St Unit 1st Floor New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1768 | $2,000 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 145 Smith St Unit 1 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,900 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 18 Buell St Unit 1st FL New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 61 Albany Ave Unit 3 New Britain, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-13$299,900 Active 545-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,940 · $495/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,179 · $515/mo
- Expected delta
- +$239/yr (+$20/mo · 4.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$5,940
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,845
- − Management
- −$1,845
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$13,590
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,261
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Britain School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902670
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,827
- Composite
- 9.95/100
- National rank
- #9816
- State rank
- #153 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Britain
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #4936
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Britain, CT
- City population
- 66,322
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,232
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 17% Black 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 29% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 42.04%
- Current HPI
- 359.7743
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $299,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,940 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…