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1919 Atlantic Ave #12
B+ Composite 79.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,000

1919 Atlantic Ave #12 · Allenwood, NJ 08736
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily · 38 Days on market
Good condition $208/sqft · 45% below area Est $469k · 45% under $985/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this gorgeous manufactured home, built in 2022, located in a 55+ community, Shore Acres. Step inside, and you'll be wowed. Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers modern comfort and style. Enjoy plenty of outdoor space for relaxation and entertaining. This is an extra wide lot that offers a 2 car driveway. Shore Acres has a great location and this homesite backs up the recently repaved Manasquan Bike Path. Experience the best of low-maintenance h ome in this sought-after community—schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Private patio
  • Storage shed
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

EDGAR FELIX BIKE PATHMODERN KITCHENROCKING CHAIR FRONT PORCHPRIVATE PATIOSTORAGE SHEDEASY-TO-MAINTAIN GROUNDS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association: Shore Acres Mobile Home Park; Association fee approximately $985.75 per month

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Mobile home; Living area approximately 1248
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Washer, Dryer, Refrigerator included; No fireplaces; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $259k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $259k).
  • Recommended offer: $251k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 2.4% in Allenwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#286 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Wall Township Public School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #145 of 472 in NJ (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 2,840 units permitted in Monmouth County in 2024 (484 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($174k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monmouth County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
Recommended offer $251,230 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
11.28%
Cash-on-cash
17.80%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$468,928
List price
$259,000
Delta
-44.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1919 Atlantic Ave #26 0.09mi 2/1.0 1,084 (-13%) 5mo $160,000 $148 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$27,212
Equity at exit
$38,618
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$114,662
Equity at exit
$22,394

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08736

Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,874 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,358
Tax est. 1.5%
$324 /mo · $3,885/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$985
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,024
Net cashflow
$1,076

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,513
Max offer price $259,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,750
Closing costs
$7,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
59 Lakewood Rd Manasquan, NJ 2.0 1.0 768 $23,500 $30.60 18d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$985 · $11,820/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $259,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $259,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $259,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $259,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $259,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $259,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $259,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $259,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $259,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $259,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    listed $259,000 Active 759-char remark
  15. 2024-12-09
    soldstatus $230,000 Closed 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Welcome to this gorgeous manufactured home, built in 2022, located in a 55+ community, Shore Acres. Step inside, and you'll be wowed. Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers modern comfort and style. Enjoy plenty of outdoor space for relaxation and entertaining. This is an extra wide lot that offers a 2 car driveway. Shore Acres has a great location and this homesite backs up the recently repaved Manasquan Bike Path. Experience the best of low-maintenance h ome in this sought-after community—schedule your showing today!

  16. 2024-11-01
    status Pending 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Welcome to this gorgeous manufactured home, built in 2022, located in a 55+ community, Shore Acres. Step inside, and you'll be wowed. Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers modern comfort and style. Enjoy plenty of outdoor space for relaxation and entertaining. This is an extra wide lot that offers a 2 car driveway. Shore Acres has a great location and this homesite backs up the recently repaved Manasquan Bike Path. Experience the best of low-maintenance h ome in this sought-after community—schedule your showing today!

  17. 2024-08-10
    listed $239,000 Active 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    Welcome to this gorgeous manufactured home, built in 2022, located in a 55+ community, Shore Acres. Step inside, and you'll be wowed. Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers modern comfort and style. Enjoy plenty of outdoor space for relaxation and entertaining. This is an extra wide lot that offers a 2 car driveway. Shore Acres has a great location and this homesite backs up the recently repaved Manasquan Bike Path. Experience the best of low-maintenance h ome in this sought-after community—schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$58,488
− Mortgage interest
−$14,508
− Property taxes
−$3,885
− Insurance
−$1,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,679
− Management
−$4,679
− HOA
−$11,820
− Depreciation
−$7,535
Taxable income
$10,087
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,421
After-tax cash flow
$10,486/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained manufactured home in Shore Acres offers a good condition with modern finishes and a peaceful setting.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Rental Replace outdoor furniture — Improves rental readiness and appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Rental Replace outdoor furniture — Improves rental readiness and appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wall Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3416890
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$92,842
Composite
44.31/100
National rank
#2831
State rank
#145 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Allenwood

Score
69/100
State rank
#286
US rank
#8465

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Monmouth County · 505,557 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
13,223
Household income
$174,097
Rent vs Own
11.5% rent · 88.5% own
Severe rent burden
65.0

Population outlook (Monmouth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
620,308 people
By 2030
612,309 · -1.3%
By 2040
587,297 · -5.3%
By 2050
551,342 · -11.1%
By 2075
472,934 · -23.8%
By 2100
381,534 · -38.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monmouth

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.4% · R 54.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -3.7pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: R+2.8 2016: R+9.5 2012: R+5.5 2008: R+3.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -307.96%
Current HPI
371.0208
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $259,000 MOMLS
  • 2024-12-09 Sold (MLS) $230,000 MOMLS
  • 2024-11-01 Pending MOMLS
  • 2024-08-10 Listed $239,000 MOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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