204 Sako Dr · Raceland, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in Raceland, this vacant 3-bed, 1-bath home features central electric heating and window cooling units. It comes equipped with a fridge and stove, and is connected to public water and a septic system with no HOA fees. The property offers a fantastic opportunity for those looking to apply some personal touches and floor updates to a home with great bones. Located in a steady market, this property is a blank canvas ready for your vision.
Key facts
- Window cooling units
- Blank canvas
- No hoa fees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $697 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 7.1% in Raceland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#295 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.41%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,640
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -50.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $31,482
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.78×
- Total profit
- $84,647
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70394
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,551 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $906/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $697
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $79,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $85,000 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Located in Raceland, this vacant 3-bed, 1-bath home features central electric heating and window cooling units. It comes equipped with a fridge and stove, and is connected to public water and a septic system with no HOA fees. The property offers a fantastic opportunity for those looking to apply some personal touches and floor updates to a home with great bones. Located in a steady market, this property is a blank canvas ready for your vision.
-
2026-05-18price $85,000 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Located in Raceland, this vacant 3-bed, 1-bath home features central electric heating and window cooling units. It comes equipped with a fridge and stove, and is connected to public water and a septic system with no HOA fees. The property offers a fantastic opportunity for those looking to apply some personal touches and floor updates to a home with great bones. Located in a steady market, this property is a blank canvas ready for your vision.
-
2026-04-06price $89,000 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Located in Raceland, this vacant 3-bed, 1-bath home features central electric heating and window cooling units. It comes equipped with a fridge and stove, and is connected to public water and a septic system with no HOA fees. The property offers a fantastic opportunity for those looking to apply some personal touches and floor updates to a home with great bones. Located in a steady market, this property is a blank canvas ready for your vision.
-
2026-04-06price $89,000 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Located in Raceland, this vacant 3-bed, 1-bath home features central electric heating and window cooling units. It comes equipped with a fridge and stove, and is connected to public water and a septic system with no HOA fees. The property offers a fantastic opportunity for those looking to apply some personal touches and floor updates to a home with great bones. Located in a steady market, this property is a blank canvas ready for your vision.
-
2026-03-25$99,500 Active 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Located in Raceland, this vacant 3-bed, 1-bath home features central electric heating and window cooling units. It comes equipped with a fridge and stove, and is connected to public water and a septic system with no HOA fees. The property offers a fantastic opportunity for those looking to apply some personal touches and floor updates to a home with great bones. Located in a steady market, this property is a blank canvas ready for your vision.
-
2026-03-25$99,500 Active 447-char remark
Show marketing remark (447 chars)
Located in Raceland, this vacant 3-bed, 1-bath home features central electric heating and window cooling units. It comes equipped with a fridge and stove, and is connected to public water and a septic system with no HOA fees. The property offers a fantastic opportunity for those looking to apply some personal touches and floor updates to a home with great bones. Located in a steady market, this property is a blank canvas ready for your vision.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $906 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $906 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,611
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$906
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,489
- − Management
- −$1,489
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $7,528
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,807
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,563/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafourche Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200900
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,703
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5205
- State rank
- #22 of 98 in LA
Livability — Raceland
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #295
- US rank
- #20904
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Raceland, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,683
Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,122 people
- By 2030
- 103,361 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 104,401 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 102,795 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 95,599 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 82,303 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 23% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.48%
- Current HPI
- 136.5498
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-14.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $85,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $85,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $89,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $89,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $99,500 GSREIN
- 2026-03-25 Listed $99,500 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2024): $906 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…