925 Monterrey St · Raymondville, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$48,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the heart of Raymondville on a corner lot, this property offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for a renovation project. The home needs repairs and updating but provides an excellent opportunity to remodel and create a profitable rental property or personal residence. This property is full of possibilities for those with vision and creativity.
Key facts
- Corner lot
- 5,800 sq ft lot
- Built 1987
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: No garage or carport; No covered parking; No designated parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; City sewer
- Home design: Single-story (one living level); Wood siding exterior
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition shingle roof; Built on a 50 x 116 lot (approx. 5,800 sq ft)
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Corner lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No conveying appliances (water heater none specified)
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main living level
- Flooring: Tile; Other
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Tile and other flooring; No window coverings; Countertops: other or none specified; Living area included (open living/dining)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,266 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Raymondville ISD (town): math 28% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #610 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Pittman El (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 579 students, 86% FRL); Raymondville H S (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 508 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 65% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Willacy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($332 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
- Willacy County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (8.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $152/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.59%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,712
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 W San Francisco St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 900 (-0%) | 19mo | $115,000 | $128 | 70 |
| 591 W Sonora Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 946 (+5%) | 19mo | $84,750 | $90 | 58 |
| 489 W San Francisco Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 800 (-12%) | 23mo | $120,000 | $150 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $35,698
- Equity at exit
- $36,545
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.86×
- Total profit
- $92,210
- Equity at exit
- $72,617
Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78580
- Home prices YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,005 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$252
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,483/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $247
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $260 | +0% $247 | +5% $233 | +10% $219 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $167 | -5% $207 | +0% $247 | +5% $286 | +10% $326 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $271 | -0.5pp $259 | base $247 | +0.5pp $234 | +1.0pp $221 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,000
- Closing costs
- $1,440
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $48,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $48,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $48,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 373-char remark
-
2026-06-16$48,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,483 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,483 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AH · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,059
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,689
- − Property taxes
- −$1,483
- − Insurance
- −$2,064
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$965
- − Management
- −$965
- − Depreciation
- −$1,396
- Taxable income
- $2,497
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$599
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,359/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Raymondville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4836540
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,177
- Composite
- 26.16/100
- National rank
- #7272
- State rank
- #610 of 826 in TX
Livability — Raymondville
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1266
- US rank
- #22040
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Raymondville, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,568
Population outlook (Willacy County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,429 people
- By 2030
- 21,075 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 20,318 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 19,489 · -9.1%
- By 2075
- 16,758 · -21.8%
- By 2100
- 12,735 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 34% White 11% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 83%
- Common ancestry
- European 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 58%
Political lean MEDSL · Willacy
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 51.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.1pp toward R · 2008: 39.8pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+12.0 2016: D+36.9 2012: D+43.1 2008: D+39.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.02%
- Current HPI
- 149.6264
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $48,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2021-06-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,483 · +26.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…