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178 Cummings St
B+ Composite 77.67
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

178 Cummings St · Rochester, NY 14609
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,118 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1920 4,640 sqft lot Est $158k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property or handy owner occupant! Bring your imagination! Tons of opportunity here. New Furnace (6 months) newer hot water tank (5 years old). This house is being sold in "as-is" condition.

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • 1st-floor full bath
  • Abundance of storage

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMEAT-IN KITCHENABUNDANCE OF STORAGE1ST-FLOOR FULL BATH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $100k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.13%
Cash-on-cash
24.41%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$157,638
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1015 N Goodman St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,126 (+1%) 3mo $135,000 $120 80
1824 Clifford Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,188 (+6%) 2mo $62,500 $53 79
1822 Clifford Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,188 (+6%) 3mo $95,000 $80 78
82 Willmont St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-2%) 1mo $155,000 $141 76
157 Cummings St 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+14%) 2mo $250,000 $197 74
166 Lyceum St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,110 (-1%) 3mo $140,000 $126 72
93 Willmont St 0.21mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,022 (-9%) 2mo $145,000 $142 69
201 Arbutus St 0.43mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,180 (+6%) 0mo $210,000 $178 63
45 Newcomb St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,233 (+10%) 3mo $110,000 $89 60
265 Springfield Ave 0.30mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,268 (+13%) 0mo $200,000 $158 56
21 Netherton Rd 0.47mi 3/1.5 977 (-13%) 2mo $200,000 $205 53
865 N Goodman St 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,245 (+11%) 2mo $76,000 $61 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$28,038
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
33.9%
Equity multiple
4.84×
Total profit
$107,367
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14609

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,548 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,063/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$569

Break-even live

Break-even rent $828
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $625 -5% $597 +0% $569 +5% $541 +10% $512
Rent -10% $447 -5% $508 +0% $569 +5% $630 +10% $691
Rate -1.0pp $619 -0.5pp $594 base $569 +0.5pp $543 +1.0pp $517

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1890 Clifford Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 936 $1,800 $1.92 24d 1 0.12mi
222 Ellison St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 971 $1,000 $1.03 15d 1 0.14mi
86-88 Baycliff Dr Unit 86 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,030 $1.14 22d 1 0.19mi
16 Cummings St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 782 $1,250 $1.60 45d 1 0.27mi
16 Cummings St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 782 $1,250 $1.60 20d 1 0.27mi
52 Frances St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1256 $1,595 $1.27 45d 1 0.39mi
47 Priscilla St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.5 1250 $1,900 $1.52 22d 1 0.40mi
326 Northland Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,500 $1.28 3d 1 0.48mi
195 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1413 $1,265 $0.90 4d 1 0.66mi
147 5th St Rochester, NY 4.0 1.0 1289 $1,950 $1.51 22d 1 0.67mi
420 Rosewood Ter Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1246 $1,300 $1.04 4d 1 0.67mi
182 Laurelton Rd Unit 182 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,600 $1.60 11d 1 0.73mi
459-461 Parsells Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1053 $1,450 $1.38 24d 1 0.73mi
500 Garson Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 740 $1,050 $1.42 4d 1 0.77mi
1159 Culver Rd Unit A2 UP Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1313 $1,500 $1.14 45d 1 0.78mi
50 Harwick Rd Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,350 $1.96 4d 3 0.80mi
36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 930 $2,005 $2.16 3d 9 0.83mi
36 Charwood Cir Irondequoit, NY 2.0 1.0–1.5 1000 $1,675 $1.68 45d 3 0.83mi
25 Trust St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1003 $1,600 $1.60 4d 1 0.84mi
14 Beechwood St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $1,200 $1.41 24d 1 0.89mi
Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 896 $1,100 $1.23 15d 1 0.94mi
2145 Norton St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 700 $902 $1.29 45d 1 0.96mi
127 Carter St #125 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1320 $1,400 $1.06 45d 1 0.96mi
171 Mohawk St Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1054 $1,775 $1.68 45d 1 1.03mi
21 Portland Ct Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $1,210 $1.42 45d 1 1.06mi
1079 Garson Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1273 $2,100 $1.65 11d 1 1.14mi
176 Roycroft Dr Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1169 $950 $0.81 11d 1 1.17mi
322 Wisconsin St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 22d 1 1.18mi
32 Portland Pkwy Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 652 $1,485 $2.28 3d 8 1.18mi
2362 Culver Rd Irondequoit, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 675 $1,455 $2.16 3d 3 1.21mi
108 Bowman St Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 45d 1 1.21mi
117 Northaven Ter Rochester, NY 4.0 2.0 1460 $1,975 $1.35 11d 1 1.28mi
95 Onondaga Rd Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,630 $1.98 3d 1 1.29mi
250 Anderson Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 832 $1,675 $2.01 45d 1 1.29mi
254 Anderson Ave Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 816 $975 $1.19 24d 1 1.29mi
2450 Culver Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1380 $2,400 $1.74 4d 1 1.30mi
2519 Culver Rd Rochester, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,395 $1.74 11d 4 1.39mi
636 University Ave Apt 2 Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $1,550 $1.82 45d 1 1.44mi
733 University Ave #3 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,850 $1.32 45d 1 1.47mi
100 Fairbanks St Rochester, NY 2.0 1.0 1456 $1,100 $0.76 45d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-04-02
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-25
    listed $99,900 Active
  3. 2024-03-11
    soldstatus $63,000
  4. 2024-03-08
    soldstatus $63,000 Closed 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great investment property or handy owner occupant! Bring your imagination! Tons of opportunity here. New Furnace (6 months) newer hot water tank (5 years old). This house is being sold in "as-is" condition.

  5. 2024-02-13
    status Pending 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great investment property or handy owner occupant! Bring your imagination! Tons of opportunity here. New Furnace (6 months) newer hot water tank (5 years old). This house is being sold in "as-is" condition.

  6. 2024-01-28
    status Active 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great investment property or handy owner occupant! Bring your imagination! Tons of opportunity here. New Furnace (6 months) newer hot water tank (5 years old). This house is being sold in "as-is" condition.

  7. 2024-01-28
    price $69,900 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great investment property or handy owner occupant! Bring your imagination! Tons of opportunity here. New Furnace (6 months) newer hot water tank (5 years old). This house is being sold in "as-is" condition.

  8. 2023-12-27
    status Pending 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great investment property or handy owner occupant! Bring your imagination! Tons of opportunity here. New Furnace (6 months) newer hot water tank (5 years old). This house is being sold in "as-is" condition.

  9. 2023-12-08
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great investment property or handy owner occupant! Bring your imagination! Tons of opportunity here. New Furnace (6 months) newer hot water tank (5 years old). This house is being sold in "as-is" condition.

  10. 2023-11-27
    price $72,500 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great investment property or handy owner occupant! Bring your imagination! Tons of opportunity here. New Furnace (6 months) newer hot water tank (5 years old). This house is being sold in "as-is" condition.

  11. 2023-11-06
    price $75,900 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great investment property or handy owner occupant! Bring your imagination! Tons of opportunity here. New Furnace (6 months) newer hot water tank (5 years old). This house is being sold in "as-is" condition.

  12. 2023-09-21
    price $79,900 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great investment property or handy owner occupant! Bring your imagination! Tons of opportunity here. New Furnace (6 months) newer hot water tank (5 years old). This house is being sold in "as-is" condition.

  13. 2023-08-23
    listed $89,900 Active 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Great investment property or handy owner occupant! Bring your imagination! Tons of opportunity here. New Furnace (6 months) newer hot water tank (5 years old). This house is being sold in "as-is" condition.

  14. 2016-10-10
    historical
  15. 2015-10-10
    listed $49,900 Active
  16. 2015-04-09
    listed $49,900
  17. 2014-09-08
    listed $54,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,063 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,376 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$313/yr (+$26/mo · 29.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,577
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,063
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,486
− Management
−$1,486
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$5,540
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,330
After-tax cash flow
$5,497/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
432,803
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
40,274
Household income
$64,603
Rent vs Own
36.1% rent · 63.9% own
Severe rent burden
2183.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 15% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.57%
Current HPI
328.7053
Rent YoY
▲ 7.89%
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.0% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS
  • 2024-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 2024-03-08 Sold (MLS) $63,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-02-13 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2024-01-28 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2024-01-28 Price Changed $69,900 UNYREIS
  • 2023-12-27 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2023-12-08 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2023-11-27 Price Changed $72,500 UNYREIS
  • 2023-11-06 Price Changed $75,900 UNYREIS
  • 2023-09-21 Price Changed $79,900 UNYREIS
  • 2023-08-23 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-10-10 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2015-10-10 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
  • 2015-04-09 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
  • 2014-09-08 Listed $54,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+13.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,063 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…