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13601 387th Ave #20
B Composite 70.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

13601 387th Ave #20 · Aberdeen, SD 57401
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 231 Days on market
Built 2023 $66/sqft · 60% below area ↓ 16% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step inside this nearly new 2023 manufactured home offering 1,216 square feet of modern comfort! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an inviting open-concept layout that blends the living, dining, and kitchen spaces perfectly—ideal for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen boasts contemporary finishes, generous cabinetry, and an island for extra seating or prep space. The spacious primary suite includes a private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, an office, or hobbies. Situated in an established park, this home offers the benefits of a quiet, mature setting with the convenience of low-maintenance living. Move right in and enjoy affordable, modern living at its best!

Key facts

  • Generous cabinetry
  • Private bath
  • Open-concept layout

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTCONTEMPORARY FINISHESGENEROUS CABINETRYPRIVATE BATHLOW-MAINTENANCE LIVING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($851/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 2.9% in Aberdeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#7 in SD, #1,411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Aberdeen School District 06-1 (town): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #33 of 59 in SD (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brown County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.75%
Cash-on-cash
26.65%
DSCR
2.19
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$200,000
List price
$80,000
Delta
-60.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13643 387th Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,357 (+12%) 5mo $200,000 $147 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-8,165
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-148
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Dakota
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 57401

Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,330 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$71

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,240
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 231 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 230 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 229 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 228 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 227 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 225 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 224 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 221 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 220 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 219 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 216 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 215 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 214 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 213 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 212 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $80,000 Active 211 DOM
  17. 2026-04-22
    price $95,000 722-char remark
    Show marketing remark (722 chars)

    Step inside this nearly new 2023 manufactured home offering 1,216 square feet of modern comfort! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an inviting open-concept layout that blends the living, dining, and kitchen spaces perfectly—ideal for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen boasts contemporary finishes, generous cabinetry, and an island for extra seating or prep space. The spacious primary suite includes a private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, an office, or hobbies. Situated in an established park, this home offers the benefits of a quiet, mature setting with the convenience of low-maintenance living. Move right in and enjoy affordable, modern living at its best!

  18. 2026-03-10
    price $105,000 722-char remark
    Show marketing remark (722 chars)

    Step inside this nearly new 2023 manufactured home offering 1,216 square feet of modern comfort! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an inviting open-concept layout that blends the living, dining, and kitchen spaces perfectly—ideal for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen boasts contemporary finishes, generous cabinetry, and an island for extra seating or prep space. The spacious primary suite includes a private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, an office, or hobbies. Situated in an established park, this home offers the benefits of a quiet, mature setting with the convenience of low-maintenance living. Move right in and enjoy affordable, modern living at its best!

  19. 2025-10-31
    listed $113,500 Active 722-char remark
    Show marketing remark (722 chars)

    Step inside this nearly new 2023 manufactured home offering 1,216 square feet of modern comfort! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features an inviting open-concept layout that blends the living, dining, and kitchen spaces perfectly—ideal for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen boasts contemporary finishes, generous cabinetry, and an island for extra seating or prep space. The spacious primary suite includes a private bath, while two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, an office, or hobbies. Situated in an established park, this home offers the benefits of a quiet, mature setting with the convenience of low-maintenance living. Move right in and enjoy affordable, modern living at its best!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,954
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$5,518
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,276
− Management
−$1,276
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable loss
−$126
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$30
After-tax cash flow
$881/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aberdeen School District 06-1
NCES district ID
4602070
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,230
Composite
42.27/100
National rank
#3273
State rank
#33 of 59 in SD

Livability — Aberdeen

Score
81/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#1411

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Brown County · 31,939 people
City population
31,939
Metro
Aberdeen, SD
Population (ZIP)
31,939
Household income
$68,835
Rent vs Own
35.3% rent · 64.7% own
Severe rent burden
1220.0

Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
43,830 people
By 2030
46,663 · +6.5%
By 2040
52,852 · +20.6%
By 2050
59,898 · +36.7%
By 2075
82,750 · +88.8%
By 2100
112,639 · +157.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 6% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brown

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.8) · D 35.6% · R 62.5% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-32.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: -26.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.8 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+25.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -224.77%
Current HPI
185.713
Rent YoY
Metro
Aberdeen, SD
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.70%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $95,000 ABOR
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $105,000 ABOR
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $113,500 ABOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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