9035 Michael Cir #304 · Lely Resort, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.93%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$419,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience the best of Naples living in this beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence. Located on the second floor for enhanced privacy and vaulted perspectives, this home is being offered turnkey, making it a seamless transition for a primary residence, vacation getaway, or high-end rental. Enjoy peace of mind with significant mechanical updates completed within the last four years, including a newer AC system, tankless hot water heater, air purification system, garage door, and high-end kitchen appliances. The open great room concept creates a seamless flow through the main living spaces, which features durable tile flooring. The kitchen is a chef’s delight, offer
Key facts
- Enhanced privacy
- Newer ac system
- $639 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property is part of a multi-unit complex (120 units in complex, 6 units in building); Two units per floor; building number 3; unit/lot number 304
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Quarterly HOA fee; Annual master HOA fee; Professional management; HOA maintenance covers lawn/land maintenance, exterior pest control, sewer, street lights, trash removal, water, internet/WiFi access, legal/accounting, and management services; Community amenities include pool, spa/hot tub, clubhouse, fitness center, attended fitness facilities, full service spa, tennis, pickleball, bocce, golf course (public), business center, cabana, concierge services, dog park, theater, restaurant, shopping, sidewalks, streetlights, underground utilities, bike and jog path, hobby room, community room, and private membership options; Total annual recurring community fees and one-time fees apply
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway; Detached 1-car garage
- Security: Patrolled community
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential property in a low-rise (1–3) building; Two-story building; Rear exposure faces north; Located in the Lely Resort development (Ruby at Sunstone sub-condo)
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 1996
- Exterior features: Automatic sprinkler system; Stucco exterior finish; Single-hung windows; Tile roof; Patrolled community
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop (electric); Self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator/ice maker; Pantry
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms with split-bedroom layout
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bathroom with dual sinks and a shower (no tub)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Cable prewire; Fire sprinkler system; High-speed internet available; Smoke detectors; Window coverings; Pantry; Great room floor plan; Turnkey furnished; Two ceiling fans; Dining area combined with living room; Eat-in kitchen; Laundry located in the residence
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Auto garage door opener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $420k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $420k).
- Recommended offer: $395k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#786 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 598 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,878/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($395k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.19%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-38,820
- Equity at exit
- $62,608
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $44,867
- Equity at exit
- $36,305
Cash invested: $117,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34113
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 598
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,878 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,202
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$525 /mo · $6,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$175
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$639
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,024
- Net cashflow
- $246
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $536 | -5% $391 | +0% $246 | +5% $101 | +10% $-44 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-139 | -5% $53 | +0% $246 | +5% $439 | +10% $631 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $458 | -0.5pp $353 | base $246 | +0.5pp $137 | +1.0pp $27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $104,975
- Closing costs
- $12,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9022 Michael Cir Unit 2-205 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $3,500 | $2.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 8161 Twelve Oaks Cir #512 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $5,000 | $4.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 9165 Celeste Dr Unit 3-303 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $6,500 | $6.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9175 Celeste Dr Unit 105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9187 Celeste Dr Unit 1073494P Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,979 | $2.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 24 Cheyenne Trl Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $3,500 | $3.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9092 Chula Vista St #11003 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $6,850 | $4.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9088 Chula Vista St Unit 108-3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $5,700 | $4.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9115 Capistrano St S #8207 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1494 | $6,000 | $4.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9111 Capistrano St S #8303 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1432 | $7,500 | $5.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 7955 Mahogany Run Ln #515 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $8,925 | $7.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7955 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504173P Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $5,840 | $4.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 9081 Albion Ln S #6505 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $7,500 | $6.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 11496 Sumter Grove Cir Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1067 | $2,134 | $2.00 | 15d | 14 | 0.89mi |
| 7940 Mahogany Run Ln #623 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $8,000 | $5.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7925 Mahogany Run Ln #924 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $8,925 | $6.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 9082 Capistrano St N Unit 48-5 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $6,500 | $5.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9071 Albion Ln N #5706 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1441 | $2,200 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7930 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504165P Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $4,053 | $3.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7930 Mahogany Run Ln #826 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $9,450 | $6.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7930 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504168P Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $4,495 | $3.63 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7920 Mahogany Run Ln #1011 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $10,395 | $7.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7895 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504163P Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $4,125 | $3.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7895 Mahogany Run Ln Naples, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1339 | $2,850 | $2.13 | 15d | 3 | 0.95mi |
| 6590 Beach Resort Dr Unit 305 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $4,500 | $3.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7870 Mahogany Run Ln #1713 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $3,570 | $3.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7885 Mahogany Run Ln Unit 1504180P Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $2,915 | $2.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7880 Mahogany Run Ln Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $10,225 | $7.36 | 24d | 2 | 0.98mi |
| 8175 Celeste Dr Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,395 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8175 Celeste Dr #1230 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $2,775 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 9054 Capistrano St N #4003 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $2,495 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 8135 Celeste Dr #4218 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $7,500 | $5.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8986 Cambria Cir Unit 22 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $6,000 | $4.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8085 Celeste Dr #812 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $6,000 | $4.05 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 6650 Beach Resort Dr Unit 908 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $4,600 | $3.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8065 Tiger Cv #1604 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1203 | $2,495 | $2.07 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8065 Tiger Cv Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1203 | $2,495 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8055 Tiger Cv Unit 6-606 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1439 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5296 Treetops Dr Unit 5296 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 866 | $1,495 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6750 Beach Resort Dr #7 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $3,900 | $2.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $639 · $7,668/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-30days on market $419,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-03-07$419,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 93% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $58,533
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,521
- − Property taxes
- −$6,298
- − Insurance
- −$2,897
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,683
- − Management
- −$4,683
- − HOA
- −$7,668
- − Depreciation
- −$12,215
- Taxable loss
- −$3,432
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$824
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,777/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lely Resort
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #786
- US rank
- #17981
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lely Resort, FL
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,056
- Household income
- $81,674
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.86%
- Current HPI
- 279.4232
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Listed $419,900 NAPLESMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…