120 N 350 W · American Fork, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Shed in the back
- Walk-in tub
- Large new sink
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#9 in UT, #356 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
- Alpine District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in UT (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 407 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.34%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $8,266
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $49,651
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84003
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 407
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,688 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $435
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 688 Nicholes Ln American Fork, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,698 | $1.83 | 3d | 14 | 0.37mi |
| 357 W 400 North St Unit 1 American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $2,000 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 245 N 100 E Unit 2 American Fork, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 470 N 200 West St Unit A American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1651 | $1,795 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 43 N 100 E Unit 004 American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 396 N Center St American Fork, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 299 S 850 W American Fork, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $1,688 | $1.51 | 3d | 15 | 0.77mi |
| 751 W 200 S American Fork, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 987 | $1,654 | $1.68 | 3d | 33 | 0.78mi |
| 79 N 1020 W American Fork, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $1,762 | $1.73 | 3d | 25 | 0.80mi |
| 624 W 700 N American Fork, UT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 934 W State Rd American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1896 | $2,550 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 210 W 510 S American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 322 S 100 East St American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,595 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 301 S 1100 W American Fork, UT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 904 | $1,886 | $2.09 | 3d | 23 | 0.98mi |
| 862 W 480 S Unit 1 American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1706 | $2,100 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 362 S 1100 West St American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,850 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1108 W 250 S Unit 203 American Fork, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $1,385 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1108 W 250 S Unit 305 American Fork, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1107 W 250 S Unit 307 American Fork, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1107 W 250 S Unit 110 American Fork, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $1,385 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1132 W 250 S Unit 307 American Fork, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1123 W 250 S Unit 311 Highland, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1126 W 250 S Unit 204 American Fork, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $1,385 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1126 W 250 S Unit 304 American Fork, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $1,385 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1124 W 250 S Unit 312 Highland, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,885 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1121 W 250 S Unit 201 American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,885 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1024 W 400 S Unit 1249878P American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1991 | $4,161 | $2.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1125 W 250 S Unit 207 American Fork, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1136 W 250 S Unit 306 American Fork, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1137 W 250 S Unit 306 American Fork, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1137 W 250 S Unit 103 American Fork, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $1,385 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1137 W 250 S Unit 201 American Fork, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1142 W 250 S Unit 311 American Fork, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1142 W 250 S Unit 110 American Fork, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 813 | $1,385 | $1.70 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1149 W 250 S Unit 108 American Fork, UT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1039 | $1,595 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1149 W 250 S Unit 110 American Fork, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $1,385 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1149 W 250 S Unit 312 American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $1,885 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1149 W 250 S Unit 209 American Fork, UT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $1,335 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 392 S 1080 W #202 American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $2,000 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 512 S 1080 W American Fork, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1710 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-13price $130,000
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2026-05-12$129,500 Active
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2025-03-28soldstatus Closed 31-char remark
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2025-03-23status Under Contract 31-char remark
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2025-03-21price $99,500 31-char remark
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2025-03-19price $97,000 31-char remark
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2025-03-18price $98,000 31-char remark
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2025-03-17price $99,000 31-char remark
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2025-03-15price $99,900 31-char remark
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2025-03-14price $104,000 31-char remark
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2025-03-13price $105,000 31-char remark
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2025-03-12price $109,900 31-char remark
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2025-03-11price $114,900 31-char remark
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2025-03-09price $118,900 31-char remark
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2025-03-07price $119,900 31-char remark
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2025-03-06price $123,000 31-char remark
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2025-03-05price $124,000 31-char remark
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2025-03-04price $125,000 31-char remark
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2025-03-03price $128,000 31-char remark
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2025-03-01$129,900 Active 31-char remark
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2022-10-19soldstatus Closed 31-char remark
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2022-10-17status Under Contract 31-char remark
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2022-09-26price $89,900 31-char remark
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2022-09-14$100,000 Active 31-char remark
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2018-03-29historical
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2018-01-04price $54,000
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2017-11-28price $59,900
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2017-11-14$65,000 Active
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2013-05-09soldstatus
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2011-11-26historical
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2011-08-06$49,900
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2011-05-10$32,000
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2009-03-16historical
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2008-07-30$68,500
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2007-06-06historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,256
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,620
- − Management
- −$1,620
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,351
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$804
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alpine District
- NCES district ID
- 4900030
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,595
- Composite
- 42.48/100
- National rank
- #3213
- State rank
- #25 of 80 in UT
Livability — American Fork
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #356
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- American Fork, UT
- County
- Utah County · 661,754 people
- City population
- 57,430
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,430
- Household income
- $120,330
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 720.0
Population outlook (Utah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 693,420 people
- By 2030
- 757,324 · +9.2%
- By 2040
- 893,178 · +28.8%
- By 2050
- 1,035,842 · +49.4%
- By 2075
- 1,376,733 · +98.5%
- By 2100
- 1,609,388 · +132.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Slovak 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Utah
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.8) · D 28.5% · R 68.3% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +19.1pp toward D · 2008: -58.9pp · 2024: -39.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+78.5 2008: R+58.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -229.42%
- Current HPI
- 288.1331
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.93%
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+188.9% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $130,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $129,500 FSBO.com
- 2025-03-28 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2025-03-23 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $99,500 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-19 Price Changed $97,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-18 Price Changed $98,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $99,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-15 Price Changed $99,900 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-14 Price Changed $104,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-13 Price Changed $105,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-12 Price Changed $109,900 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-11 Price Changed $114,900 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-09 Price Changed $118,900 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $119,900 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-06 Price Changed $123,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-05 Price Changed $124,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-04 Price Changed $125,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-03 Price Changed $128,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-03-01 Listed $129,900 WFRMLS
- 2022-10-19 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2022-10-17 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2022-09-26 Price Changed $89,900 WFRMLS
- 2022-09-14 Listed $100,000 WFRMLS
- 2018-03-29 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2018-01-04 Price Changed $54,000 WFRMLS
- 2017-11-28 Price Changed $59,900 WFRMLS
- 2017-11-14 Listed $65,000 WFRMLS
- 2013-05-09 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2011-11-26 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2011-08-06 Listed $49,900 WFRMLS
- 2011-05-10 Listed $32,000 WFRMLS
- 2009-03-16 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2008-07-30 Listed $68,500 WFRMLS
- 2007-06-06 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2006-12-06 Listed $45,000 WFRMLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $29,657 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…