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4987 Rapahoe
D Composite 40.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.9/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0

$365,000

4987 Rapahoe · Union City, GA 30349
4 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 2018 4,181 sqft lot $178/sqft · at area comps Est $360k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Amazing home with an open concept in Union City. Kitchen features granite counters and stainless appliances and breakfast bar. The very spacious family area has a fireplace and hardwood floors. There is a covered patio and private backyard it is a perfect place for morning coffee or unwinding after a long day. The large primary suite has an ensuite bath with a soaking tub and separate shower and large walk-in closet. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood this home offers all of the comforts and is close to the Atlanta Airport and all other convivences. This is a must see

Key facts

  • Spacious family area
  • Open concept
  • Stainless appliances

Tags

OPEN CONCEPTGRANITE COUNTERSSTAINLESS APPLIANCESBREAKFAST BARSPACIOUS FAMILY AREAFIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $365k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-498 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (24.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (30.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $254k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#443 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Amana Academy School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #264 of 1,228 statewide, top 23%, 731 students, 30% FRL, charter); Camp Creek Middle School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 644 students, 100% FRL); Westlake High School (math 27% / reading 5%, grade F, #287 of 424 statewide, top 68%, 2,461 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 41% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 655 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,538/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 4258% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $253,753 (30.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.65%
Cash-on-cash
-5.85%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$360,075
List price
$365,000
Delta
1.37%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
564 Dasheill Ln 0.08mi 4/2.5 2,010 (-2%) 1mo $330,000 $164 89
517 Dasheill Ln 0.18mi 4/2.5 2,050 (0%) 10mo $299,900 $146 79
5056 Rapahoe Trl 0.20mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,010 (-2%) 8mo $306,000 $152 73
5113 Rapahoe Trl 0.24mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,990 (-3%) 4mo $300,000 $151 72
529 Dasheill Ln 0.16mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,970 (-4%) 10mo $325,000 $165 68
5025 Rapahoe Trl 0.11mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,027 (-1%) 20mo $335,000 $165 68
4985 Rapahoe Trl 0.01mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,950 (-5%) 19mo $330,000 $169 67
593 Dasheill Ln 0.04mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,970 (-4%) 20mo $315,000 $160 66
4947 Rapahoe Trl 0.17mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,306 (+12%) 3mo $320,000 $139 61
5265 Forest Downs Cir 0.67mi 4/2.5 2,114 (+3%) 14mo $257,000 $122 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$161,954
Equity at exit
$328,821
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
5.82×
Total profit
$492,372
Equity at exit
$709,115

Cash invested: $102,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30349

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
655
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,538 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,914
Tax from tax record
$437 /mo · $5,240/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$533
Net cashflow
$-498

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,168
Max offer price $276,988
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-292 -5% $-395 +0% $-498 +5% $-602 +10% $-705
Rent -10% $-699 -5% $-598 +0% $-498 +5% $-398 +10% $-298
Rate -1.0pp $-314 -0.5pp $-405 base $-498 +0.5pp $-593 +1.0pp $-689

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,250
Closing costs
$10,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5163 Rapahoe Trl Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2060 $2,525 $1.23 1d 1 0.09mi
4980 Stonewall Tell Rd Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1573 $3,612 $2.30 26d 1 0.13mi
520 Dasheill Ln Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2045 $2,410 $1.18 45d 1 0.15mi
5259 Cantbury Way Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2578 $2,445 $0.95 24d 1 0.21mi
4813 Brookwood Pl Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1624 $2,075 $1.28 45d 1 0.41mi
5131 Forest Downs Ln Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.0 2112 $1,580 $0.75 5d 1 0.50mi
479 Thistle Cv Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1694 $1,785 $1.05 45d 1 0.70mi
5051 Larkspur Ln Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1403 $1,885 $1.34 7d 1 0.79mi
3416 Stonewall Ct Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1690 $2,450 $1.45 26d 1 0.88mi
4812 Station Ln Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1695 $2,100 $1.24 3d 1 0.94mi
5573 Rock Lake Dr Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2690 $2,350 $0.87 26d 1 1.02mi
4595 Blazing Trl Atlanta, GA 4.0 2.5 2248 $2,650 $1.18 45d 1 1.09mi
5480 Sierra Trl Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1400 $1,845 $1.32 45d 1 1.09mi
538 Jadetree Ln Atlanta, GA 5.0 3.0 2576 $2,900 $1.13 3d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $365,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $365,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $365,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $365,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $365,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $365,000 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $369,000 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $369,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $369,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $369,000 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $369,000 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $369,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $369,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-04-16
    listed $369,000 New 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Amazing home with an open concept in Union City. Kitchen features granite counters and stainless appliances and breakfast bar. The very spacious family area has a fireplace and hardwood floors. There is a covered patio and private backyard it is a perfect place for morning coffee or unwinding after a long day. The large primary suite has an ensuite bath with a soaking tub and separate shower and large walk-in closet. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood this home offers all of the comforts and is close to the Atlanta Airport and all other convivences. This is a must see

  15. 2026-04-16
    listed $369,000 Active 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Amazing home with an open concept in Union City. Kitchen features granite counters and stainless appliances and breakfast bar. The very spacious family area has a fireplace and hardwood floors. There is a covered patio and private backyard it is a perfect place for morning coffee or unwinding after a long day. The large primary suite has an ensuite bath with a soaking tub and separate shower and large walk-in closet. Nestled in a quiet neighborhood this home offers all of the comforts and is close to the Atlanta Airport and all other convivences. This is a must see

  16. 2023-07-24
    soldstatus $359,900
  17. 2023-07-14
    soldstatus $359,900 Sold
  18. 2023-07-14
    soldstatus $359,900 Closed
  19. 2023-06-16
    status Under Contract
  20. 2023-06-16
    status Pending
  21. 2023-06-07
    listed $359,900 New
  22. 2023-06-07
    listed $359,900 Active
  23. 2019-06-24
    historical
  24. 2019-05-21
    status Back on Market
  25. 2019-05-16
    status Active
  26. 2019-05-16
    historical
  27. 2019-04-22
    status Under Contract
  28. 2019-04-22
    status Pending
  29. 2019-03-25
    listed $226,000 Active
  30. 2019-03-25
    listed $226,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,240 · $437/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,240 · $437/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,450
− Mortgage interest
−$20,446
− Property taxes
−$5,240
− Insurance
−$1,825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,436
− Management
−$2,436
− Depreciation
−$10,618
Taxable loss
−$12,551
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,012
After-tax cash flow
$-2,966/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — Union City

Score
58/100
State rank
#443
US rank
#21281

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Union City, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
25,130
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
79,872
Household income
$67,023
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
4258.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% White 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.01%
Current HPI
407.99
Rent YoY
▲ 0.95%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+63.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $369,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $369,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $359,900 Public Records
  • 2023-07-14 Sold (MLS) $359,900 FMLS
  • 2023-07-14 Sold (MLS) $359,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-06-16 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-06-16 Pending FMLS
  • 2023-06-07 Listed $359,900 FMLS
  • 2023-06-07 Listed $359,900 GAMLS
  • 2019-06-24 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2019-05-21 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2019-05-16 Relisted FMLS
  • 2019-05-16 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2019-04-22 Pending GAMLS
  • 2019-04-22 Pending FMLS
  • 2019-03-25 Listed $226,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-03-25 Listed $226,000 FMLS

Property tax history

+46.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,240 · +39.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…