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2400 E Baseline Ave #112
B- Composite 69.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$112,300

2400 E Baseline Ave #112 · Apache Junction, AZ 85119
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,150 sqft · Manufactured · 150 Days on market
Built 1994 Est $116k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This gently used and nicely updated home is waiting for you. Lovely open concept home is freshly painted, newer carpets, and even has new appliances. a new RO unit allows for the perfect cup of coffee. The back yard has been professionally designed and is very private, a dream spot to sit and enjoy the perfect Arizona weather. When the weather is not as perfect, spend your time in the spacious screen room. FULLY FURNISHED with high end furniture you'll just love. Purchased for their long term enjoyment, this is not inexpensive furniture. Stearns and Foster mattresses. Bunk bed in spare room has never been used. All you'll need is your toothbrush! This is one you really want to see. Bring all offers!

Key facts

  • New ro unit
  • New electricity
  • Redone roof

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT HOMENEW APPLIANCESREDONE ROOFNEW RO UNITNEW ELECTRICITYSPACIOUS SCREEN ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Monthly land lease payment required
  • HOA & community: Land lease community (monthly land lease fee applies); Association covers grounds maintenance and street maintenance; No visible truck/trailer/RV/boat allowed; Community amenities: pool, community spa (heated), racquetball, golf, gated community, community media room, tennis courts, biking/walking paths, fitness center

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Leasehold ownership; Manufactured/mobile home; Asphalt road access
  • Construction: Wood siding and wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Screened-in patio(s); Storage; Shed(s); Gravel/stone front and back; Private maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal; Water purifier; Kitchen island; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Breakfast bar; Furnished (see remarks); No interior steps; Vaulted ceilings; Kitchen island; 3/4 bath in master bedroom; Dual-pane windows; Zero-grade (step-free) entry; Screened-in patio; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $112k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $825 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $112k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Desert Vista Elementary School (math 18% / reading 23%, grade F, #729 of 1,109 statewide, top 67%, 536 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 354 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $776 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,824 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
15.10%
Cash-on-cash
31.47%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$116,150
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2400 E Baseline Ave #81 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+0%) 12mo $129,000 $112 90
3355 S Cortez Rd #55 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,128 (-2%) 10mo $81,500 $72 84
2400 E Baseline Ave #94 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,104 (-4%) 7mo $125,000 $113 82
2400 E Baseline Ave #309 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (+13%) 1mo $131,000 $101 66
3301 S Goldfield Rd #4066 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,140 (-1%) 2mo $140,000 $123 66
3355 S Cortez Rd #66 0.27mi 2/1.5 1,260 (+10%) 7mo $109,000 $87 63
3500 S Tomahawk Rd #188 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 1mo $75,000 $60 52
3301 S Goldfield Rd #4053 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,253 (+9%) 7mo $225,000 $180 49
3500 S Tomahawk Rd #198 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-8%) 9mo $75,000 $71 46
3500 S Tomahawk Rd #133 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-8%) 14mo $74,900 $71 44
3700 S Tomahawk Rd #88 0.59mi 2/2.0 1,316 (+14%) 9mo $71,000 $54 41
3301 S Goldfield Rd #2105 0.73mi 2/2.0 1,280 (+11%) 14mo $165,000 $129 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$31,474
Equity at exit
$16,744
10-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
3.66×
Total profit
$83,693
Equity at exit
$9,710

Cash invested: $31,444 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85119

Home prices YoY
-33.5%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
354
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,026 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$589
Tax est. 1.5%
$140 /mo · $1,684/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$425
Net cashflow
$825

Break-even live

Break-even rent $982
Max offer price $112,300
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,075
Closing costs
$3,369
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3333 S Conestoga Rd Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1387 $2,900 $2.09 24d 1 0.29mi
3448 S Chaparral Rd Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1186 $1,848 $1.56 11d 1 0.33mi
1540 E 25th Ave Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 1.0 850 $995 $1.17 13d 1 1.01mi
700 E Quail Ave Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,795 $1.54 5d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $112,300 Active 150 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $112,300 Active 149 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $112,300 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $112,300 Active 143 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $112,300 Active 142 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $112,300 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $112,300 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $112,300 Active 137 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $112,300 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $112,300 Active 135 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $112,300 Active 134 DOM
  12. 2026-04-24
    price $112,300
  13. 2026-02-05
    price $117,500
  14. 2026-01-17
    listed $122,400 Active
  15. 2025-04-02
    soldstatus $112,300 Closed 713-char remark
    Show marketing remark (713 chars)

    This gently used and nicely updated home is waiting for you. Lovely open concept home is freshly painted, newer carpets, and even has new appliances. a new RO unit allows for the perfect cup of coffee. The back yard has been professionally designed and is very private, a dream spot to sit and enjoy the perfect Arizona weather. When the weather is not as perfect, spend your time in the spacious screen room. FULLY FURNISHED with high end furniture you'll just love. Purchased for their long term enjoyment, this is not inexpensive furniture. Stearns and Foster mattresses. Bunk bed in spare room has never been used. All you'll need is your toothbrush! This is one you really want to see. Bring all offers!

  16. 2025-02-25
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 713-char remark
    Show marketing remark (713 chars)

    This gently used and nicely updated home is waiting for you. Lovely open concept home is freshly painted, newer carpets, and even has new appliances. a new RO unit allows for the perfect cup of coffee. The back yard has been professionally designed and is very private, a dream spot to sit and enjoy the perfect Arizona weather. When the weather is not as perfect, spend your time in the spacious screen room. FULLY FURNISHED with high end furniture you'll just love. Purchased for their long term enjoyment, this is not inexpensive furniture. Stearns and Foster mattresses. Bunk bed in spare room has never been used. All you'll need is your toothbrush! This is one you really want to see. Bring all offers!

  17. 2025-01-03
    price $119,000 713-char remark
    Show marketing remark (713 chars)

    This gently used and nicely updated home is waiting for you. Lovely open concept home is freshly painted, newer carpets, and even has new appliances. a new RO unit allows for the perfect cup of coffee. The back yard has been professionally designed and is very private, a dream spot to sit and enjoy the perfect Arizona weather. When the weather is not as perfect, spend your time in the spacious screen room. FULLY FURNISHED with high end furniture you'll just love. Purchased for their long term enjoyment, this is not inexpensive furniture. Stearns and Foster mattresses. Bunk bed in spare room has never been used. All you'll need is your toothbrush! This is one you really want to see. Bring all offers!

  18. 2024-11-16
    price $139,000 713-char remark
    Show marketing remark (713 chars)

    This gently used and nicely updated home is waiting for you. Lovely open concept home is freshly painted, newer carpets, and even has new appliances. a new RO unit allows for the perfect cup of coffee. The back yard has been professionally designed and is very private, a dream spot to sit and enjoy the perfect Arizona weather. When the weather is not as perfect, spend your time in the spacious screen room. FULLY FURNISHED with high end furniture you'll just love. Purchased for their long term enjoyment, this is not inexpensive furniture. Stearns and Foster mattresses. Bunk bed in spare room has never been used. All you'll need is your toothbrush! This is one you really want to see. Bring all offers!

  19. 2024-11-16
    price $139,900 713-char remark
    Show marketing remark (713 chars)

    This gently used and nicely updated home is waiting for you. Lovely open concept home is freshly painted, newer carpets, and even has new appliances. a new RO unit allows for the perfect cup of coffee. The back yard has been professionally designed and is very private, a dream spot to sit and enjoy the perfect Arizona weather. When the weather is not as perfect, spend your time in the spacious screen room. FULLY FURNISHED with high end furniture you'll just love. Purchased for their long term enjoyment, this is not inexpensive furniture. Stearns and Foster mattresses. Bunk bed in spare room has never been used. All you'll need is your toothbrush! This is one you really want to see. Bring all offers!

  20. 2024-11-04
    price $149,900 713-char remark
    Show marketing remark (713 chars)

    This gently used and nicely updated home is waiting for you. Lovely open concept home is freshly painted, newer carpets, and even has new appliances. a new RO unit allows for the perfect cup of coffee. The back yard has been professionally designed and is very private, a dream spot to sit and enjoy the perfect Arizona weather. When the weather is not as perfect, spend your time in the spacious screen room. FULLY FURNISHED with high end furniture you'll just love. Purchased for their long term enjoyment, this is not inexpensive furniture. Stearns and Foster mattresses. Bunk bed in spare room has never been used. All you'll need is your toothbrush! This is one you really want to see. Bring all offers!

  21. 2024-11-04
    listed $144,900 Active 713-char remark
    Show marketing remark (713 chars)

    This gently used and nicely updated home is waiting for you. Lovely open concept home is freshly painted, newer carpets, and even has new appliances. a new RO unit allows for the perfect cup of coffee. The back yard has been professionally designed and is very private, a dream spot to sit and enjoy the perfect Arizona weather. When the weather is not as perfect, spend your time in the spacious screen room. FULLY FURNISHED with high end furniture you'll just love. Purchased for their long term enjoyment, this is not inexpensive furniture. Stearns and Foster mattresses. Bunk bed in spare room has never been used. All you'll need is your toothbrush! This is one you really want to see. Bring all offers!

  22. 2023-04-01
    historical
  23. 2023-03-11
    price $144,900
  24. 2023-03-08
    price $149,900
  25. 2023-03-06
    listed $155,000 Active
  26. 2023-03-06
    historical
  27. 2023-03-05
    price $155,000
  28. 2023-03-04
    historical
  29. 2023-02-26
    listed $159,900 Active
  30. 2023-02-26
    listed $159,900 Active
  31. 2022-02-24
    soldstatus $75,600 Closed
  32. 2022-02-18
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
  33. 2022-02-04
    price $90,000
  34. 2022-01-07
    price $95,000
  35. 2021-11-24
    price $100,000
  36. 2021-11-05
    listed $110,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,313
− Mortgage interest
−$6,291
− Property taxes
−$1,684
− Insurance
−$562
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,945
− Management
−$1,945
− Depreciation
−$3,267
Taxable income
$8,620
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,069
After-tax cash flow
$7,826/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
NCES district ID
0400790
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
15.34/100
National rank
#9325
State rank
#195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Apache Junction

Score
66/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#11242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Apache Junction, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
56,611
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
25,420
Household income
$71,585
Rent vs Own
20.1% rent · 79.9% own
Severe rent burden
305.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.19%
Current HPI
274.3808
Rent YoY
▲ 1.57%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.1% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $112,300 ARMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $117,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-17 Listed $122,400 ARMLS
  • 2025-04-02 Sold (MLS) $112,300 ARMLS
  • 2025-02-25 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2025-01-03 Price Changed $119,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-11-16 Price Changed $139,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-11-16 Price Changed $139,900 ARMLS
  • 2024-11-04 Price Changed $149,900 ARMLS
  • 2024-11-04 Listed $144,900 ARMLS
  • 2023-04-01 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2023-03-11 Price Changed $144,900 ARMLS
  • 2023-03-08 Price Changed $149,900 ARMLS
  • 2023-03-06 Listed $155,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-03-06 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2023-03-05 Price Changed $155,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-03-04 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2023-02-26 Listed $159,900 ARMLS
  • 2023-02-26 Listed $159,900 ARMLS
  • 2022-02-24 Sold (MLS) $75,600 ARMLS
  • 2022-02-18 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2022-02-04 Price Changed $90,000 ARMLS
  • 2022-01-07 Price Changed $95,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-11-24 Price Changed $100,000 ARMLS
  • 2021-11-05 Listed $110,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…