Duplex
1317-1319 University Dr · State College, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$425,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
A standout investment opportunity in State College Borough, this fully leased duplex offers established STUDENT HOME LICENSES & RENTAL PERMITS plus unbeatable proximity to Penn State University, a combination that continues to drive strong, reliable demand. Situated along the CATA bus route, the property benefits from consistent tenant interest in a highly desirable location. Each unit is approximately 900 sq. ft. & features hardwood floors, a comfortable living room, a kitchen with included refrigerators & ranges, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom & unfinished basements that provide ample storage. Both units are separately metered with tenants responsible for all utilities
Key facts
- Cata bus route
- Separately metered
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfinished basement
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Total of 2 units (multifamily)
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Semi-detached building; Estimated 1,800 finished above-grade square feet
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built year: Assessor-reported
- Exterior features: Off-street parking; No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Entry-level bedroom; Two 2-bedroom units (multifamily)
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: Bathroom(s) with tub/shower
- Heating & cooling: Ceiling heating; Electric heating; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Tub with shower; Eat-in kitchen; Wood floors
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $425k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-71 ($-857/yr) — negative. Per door: $-36/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $412k (3.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $353k (17.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $353k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 1.6% in State College — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 89/100 on livability (#29 in PA, #164 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-.
- State College Area SD (urban): math 62% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 539 in PA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 158 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,526/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 3590% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.72%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $476,007
- List price
- $425,000
- Delta
- -10.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1317-1319 University Dr | 0.00mi | 4/— | 1,800 (+2%) | 0mo | $450,000 | $250 | 97 |
| 1307-1309 University Dr | 0.02mi | 4/— | 1,800 (+2%) | 1mo | $450,000 | $250 | 96 |
| 1355-1357 University Dr | 0.08mi | 4/— | 1,800 (+2%) | 0mo | $440,000 | $244 | 93 |
| 120,122 A & B Logan Ave | 0.74mi | 5/— (+1) | 1,768 (-0%) | 11mo | $515,000 | $291 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-74,228
- Equity at exit
- $63,369
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-73,803
- Equity at exit
- $36,746
Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16801
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 20.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,526 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,229
- Tax from tax record
- −$451 /mo · $5,414/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$740
- Net cashflow
- $-71
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $169 | -5% $49 | +0% $-71 | +5% $-192 | +10% $-312 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-350 | -5% $-211 | +0% $-71 | +5% $68 | +10% $207 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $143 | -0.5pp $37 | base $-71 | +0.5pp $-182 | +1.0pp $-294 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,526 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,763 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,763 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,526 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,250
- Closing costs
- $12,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 679-A Waupelani Dr State College, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1335 | $2,619 | $1.96 | 44d | 47 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 1381-char remark
-
2026-05-05$425,000 Active 1381-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,414 · $451/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,064 · $505/mo
- Expected delta
- +$651/yr (+$54/mo · 12.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,807
- − Property taxes
- −$5,414
- − Insurance
- −$2,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,385
- − Management
- −$3,385
- − Depreciation
- −$12,364
- Taxable loss
- −$8,167
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,960
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,103/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- State College Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222770
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,753
- Composite
- 57.23/100
- National rank
- #1094
- State rank
- #41 of 539 in PA
Livability — State College
- Score
- 89/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- State College, PA
- County
- Centre County · 99,000 people
- City population
- 64,751
- Metro
- State College, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,774
- Household income
- $61,836
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3590.0
Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 177,113 people
- By 2030
- 185,138 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 196,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 205,070 · +15.8%
- By 2075
- 217,575 · +22.8%
- By 2100
- 230,649 · +30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Asian 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Chinese 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Centre
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.33%
- Current HPI
- 208.2423
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.77%
- Metro
- State College, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+5.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
- 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $450,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $425,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2026): $5,414 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…