CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
11214 Woodchester Ct
B Composite 71.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

11214 Woodchester Ct · Whitmore Lake, MI 48178
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · Other · 152 Days on market
Built 2011 4,356 sqft lot $56/sqft · at area comps Est $102k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful manufactured home offering comfortable, low-maintenance living in the desirable Woodland Ridge Manufactured Home Community. This spacious home features 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths with approximately 1,800 square feet of living space. The open and functional layout includes a large living area, an inviting kitchen highlighted by a huge island with butcher block, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, along with a dedicated dining area perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The primary bedroom is a private retreat with an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet featuring custom built-ins. The additional bedrooms are generously sized and share a full bath. Situated on a quiet court and siding to a wooded area, this home offers extra yard space and added privacy. Outdoor features include professional landscaping with a 10-foot berm, mature arborvitaes, patio stones, and a built-in vegetable garden—ideal for enjoying the outdoors. The home also features a private driveway and a shed for extra storage. Additional improvements include an owned water softener installed in 2024 and a whole-house water filtration system installed in 2023. The community amenities include walking trails, a pool, 2 dog parks, clubhouse, tennis courts, basketball courts, and playgrounds. Pets are welcome per community rules. Monthly lot rent is $895. No property taxes on the home. NOTE: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Contact listing agent for lender information. BATVAI.

Key facts

  • Large living area
  • Ample cabinetry
  • En-suite bathroom

Tags

LARGE LIVING AREAHUGE ISLAND WITH BUTCHER BLOCKAMPLE CABINETRYGENEROUS COUNTER SPACEDEDICATED DINING AREAEN-SUITE BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $704 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 2.6% in Whitmore Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#279 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • South Lyon Community Schools (suburban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #74 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 350 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($132k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.77%
Cap rate
14.76%
Cash-on-cash
30.22%
DSCR
2.34
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,686
List price
$99,900
Delta
-1.76%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$28,708
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
32.6%
Equity multiple
3.96×
Total profit
$82,883
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48178

Active inventory
350
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,766 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$704

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $774 -5% $739 +0% $704 +5% $670 +10% $635
Rent -10% $565 -5% $635 +0% $704 +5% $774 +10% $844
Rate -1.0pp $755 -0.5pp $730 base $704 +0.5pp $679 +1.0pp $652

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11222 Shady Brook Ct Unit 367 South Lyon, MI 4.0 2.0 1680 $1,549 $0.92 0d 1 0.07mi
11803 Stoneridge Ct Unit 307 South Lyon, MI 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,569 $1.17 45d 1 0.17mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $99,900 Pending 152 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 151 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 150 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 147 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 146 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 145 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 143 DOM
  10. 2026-01-08
    listed $99,900 Active 1525-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1521 chars)

    Beautiful manufactured home offering comfortable, low-maintenance living in the desirable Woodland Ridge Manufactured Home Community. This spacious home features 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths with approximately 1,800 square feet of living space. The open and functional layout includes a large living area, an inviting kitchen highlighted by a huge island with butcher block, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, along with a dedicated dining area perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The primary bedroom is a private retreat with an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet featuring custom built-ins. The additional bedrooms are generously sized and share a full bath. Situated on a quiet court and siding to a wooded area, this home offers extra yard space and added privacy. Outdoor features include professional landscaping with a 10-foot berm, mature arborvitaes, patio stones, and a built-in vegetable garden - ideal for enjoying the outdoors. The home also features a private driveway and a shed for extra storage. Additional improvements include an owned water softener installed in 2024 and a whole-house water filtration system installed in 2023. The community amenities include walking trails, a pool, 2 dog parks, clubhouse, tennis courts, basketball courts, and playgrounds. Pets are welcome per community rules. Monthly lot rent is $895. No property taxes on the home. NOTE: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Contact listing agent for lender information. BATVAI.

  11. 2026-01-08
    listed $99,900 Active 1521-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1521 chars)

    Beautiful manufactured home offering comfortable, low-maintenance living in the desirable Woodland Ridge Manufactured Home Community. This spacious home features 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths with approximately 1,800 square feet of living space. The open and functional layout includes a large living area, an inviting kitchen highlighted by a huge island with butcher block, ample cabinetry, and generous counter space, along with a dedicated dining area perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The primary bedroom is a private retreat with an en-suite bathroom and a walk-in closet featuring custom built-ins. The additional bedrooms are generously sized and share a full bath. Situated on a quiet court and siding to a wooded area, this home offers extra yard space and added privacy. Outdoor features include professional landscaping with a 10-foot berm, mature arborvitaes, patio stones, and a built-in vegetable garden - ideal for enjoying the outdoors. The home also features a private driveway and a shed for extra storage. Additional improvements include an owned water softener installed in 2024 and a whole-house water filtration system installed in 2023. The community amenities include walking trails, a pool, 2 dog parks, clubhouse, tennis courts, basketball courts, and playgrounds. Pets are welcome per community rules. Monthly lot rent is $895. No property taxes on the home. NOTE: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Contact listing agent for lender information. BATVAI.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,188
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,695
− Management
−$1,695
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$7,298
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,751
After-tax cash flow
$6,702/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Lyon Community Schools
NCES district ID
2632250
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$71,419
Composite
46.86/100
National rank
#2372
State rank
#74 of 540 in MI

Livability — Whitmore Lake

Score
71/100
State rank
#279
US rank
#6864

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
13,893
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
37,789
Household income
$131,558
Rent vs Own
8.8% rent · 91.2% own
Severe rent burden
141.0

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,920 people
By 2030
209,173 · +3.1%
By 2040
216,878 · +6.9%
By 2050
217,485 · +7.2%
By 2075
217,590 · +7.2%
By 2100
197,095 · -2.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -251.96%
Current HPI
197.5122
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…