11520 Klein Rd · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move right in to this spacious home featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a bright living room, and a separate family room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Recently updated with modern finishes, this home offers comfort, style, and convenience all in one. Available immediately Great location - close to shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major routes.
Key facts
- Great location
- Bright living room
- Modern finishes
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 8985% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.85%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,965
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -5.11%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Gahan Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,100 (-2%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $132 | 85 |
| 11433 Klein Rd | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,150 (+3%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $61 | 78 |
| 104 Estes St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,109 (-1%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $90 | 76 |
| 11406 Harris Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,070 (-4%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $154 | 68 |
| 120 Imilda Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+7%) | 3mo | $79,900 | $67 | 62 |
| 413 N Wilson Blvd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-11%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $125 | 59 |
| 11941 Concorde Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+10%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $154 | 52 |
| 305 Lavelle Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,050 (-6%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $133 | 48 |
| 710 Beverly Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,014 (-9%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $138 | 46 |
| 1010 Michelle Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,252 (+12%) | 4mo | $159,900 | $128 | 42 |
| 15051 Sagewood St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,272 (+14%) | 4mo | $189,999 | $149 | 39 |
| 801 Shirley Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 986 (-12%) | 5mo | $80,750 | $82 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $9,291
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $74,126
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39503
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 763
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,729 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,233/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $414
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Clarence Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 101 Fore St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 11502 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 11487 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 11425 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 11413 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 11405 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1009 Michelle Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 15373 Saint Charles St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1075 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 43d | 2 | 0.73mi |
| 15251 Parkwood Dr N Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 11200 Three Rivers Rd Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,445 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 12040 Highland Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1019 | $950 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 12147 Prudie Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 12450 Three Rivers Rd Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move right in to this spacious home featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a bright living room, and a separate family room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Recently updated with modern finishes, this home offers comfort, style, and convenience all in one. Available immediately Great location - close to shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major routes.
-
2026-05-06historical $1,650
-
2026-04-17$1,650
-
2026-02-01status Active 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move right in to this spacious home featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a bright living room, and a separate family room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Recently updated with modern finishes, this home offers comfort, style, and convenience all in one. Available immediately Great location - close to shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major routes.
-
2026-01-31historical 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move right in to this spacious home featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a bright living room, and a separate family room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Recently updated with modern finishes, this home offers comfort, style, and convenience all in one. Available immediately Great location - close to shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major routes.
-
2026-01-27price $149,900 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move right in to this spacious home featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a bright living room, and a separate family room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Recently updated with modern finishes, this home offers comfort, style, and convenience all in one. Available immediately Great location - close to shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major routes.
-
2026-01-03status Active 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move right in to this spacious home featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a bright living room, and a separate family room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Recently updated with modern finishes, this home offers comfort, style, and convenience all in one. Available immediately Great location - close to shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major routes.
-
2025-12-31historical 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move right in to this spacious home featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a bright living room, and a separate family room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Recently updated with modern finishes, this home offers comfort, style, and convenience all in one. Available immediately Great location - close to shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major routes.
-
2025-12-09price $159,900 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move right in to this spacious home featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a bright living room, and a separate family room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Recently updated with modern finishes, this home offers comfort, style, and convenience all in one. Available immediately Great location - close to shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major routes.
-
2025-10-27price $165,000 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move right in to this spacious home featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a bright living room, and a separate family room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Recently updated with modern finishes, this home offers comfort, style, and convenience all in one. Available immediately Great location - close to shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major routes.
-
2025-09-26$178,000 Active 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move right in to this spacious home featuring 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths, a bright living room, and a separate family room perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Recently updated with modern finishes, this home offers comfort, style, and convenience all in one. Available immediately Great location - close to shopping, dining, schools, and easy access to major routes.
-
2025-09-07historical $1,650
-
2025-08-28$1,650
-
2023-08-28historical
-
2023-04-19$139,900 Active
-
2015-09-24soldstatus
-
2015-09-23soldstatus
-
2015-09-03$28,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,233 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,233 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,743
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,233
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,659
- − Management
- −$1,659
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $2,685
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$644
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,328/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,059
- Household income
- $62,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1686.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.39%
- Current HPI
- 187.285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.99%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-94.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-06 Rental Removed $1,650 MLSU
- 2026-04-17 Listed for Rent $1,650 MLSU
- 2026-02-01 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $149,900 MLSU
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $159,900 MLSU
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $165,000 MLSU
- 2025-09-26 Listed $178,000 MLSU
- 2025-09-07 Rental Removed $1,650 MLSU
- 2025-08-28 Listed for Rent $1,650 MLSU
- 2023-08-28 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2023-04-19 Listed $139,900 MLSU
- 2015-09-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-09-23 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2015-09-03 Listed $28,500 MLSU
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,233 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…