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418 N Jenkins Rd
B Composite 71.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

418 N Jenkins Rd · Fairview, GA 30741
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,154 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1956 0.50 ac lot Est $212k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

What a great place to call home! This three bedroom 1 bath home is ready for you. Home features manufactured flooring, newer roof and large lot. New water heater, refrigerator and fresh paint. This won't last long at this price! Schedule your appontment today. Owner Agent

Key facts

  • Front yard
  • Outdoor space
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

OUTDOOR SPACEFRONT YARDFENCED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: $1,300.56 annual tax amount
  • HOA & community: No listed community amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Circular driveway; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and other siding materials; Shingle roof; Block foundation; House structure; Built on a 0.5-acre lot (approx. 105 x 208)
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Back yard with fencing; Shed(s) on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Free-standing electric range
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes living spaces and bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Laminate floors; Tile floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.9% in Fairview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#440 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Walker County (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #114 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Stone Creek Elementary School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 425 students, 84% FRL); Rossville Middle School (math 13% / reading 25%, grade F, #368 of 470 statewide, top 79%, 444 students, 81% FRL); Ridgeland High School (math 23% / reading 19%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,244 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 61% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 347 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Walker County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.93%
Cash-on-cash
13.00%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$212,336
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 S Jenkins Rd 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-0%) 1mo $225,000 $195 82
406 Jenkins Rd 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,205 (+4%) 1mo $212,000 $176 82
82 Virginia Ave 0.08mi 3/1.5 1,296 (+12%) 1mo $200,000 $154 73
46 Moore Dr 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,080 (-6%) 8mo $232,500 $215 72
132 Alton Ter 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-0%) 1mo $187,500 $163 66
5 Overlook Trl 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+11%) 9mo $145,000 $113 63
357 Jenkins Rd 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,247 (+8%) 15mo $229,900 $184 62
59 Bell Ct 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (-1%) 11mo $256,000 $224 61
32 Opal Rd 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,192 (+3%) 11mo $99,000 $83 60
407 N Jenkins Rd 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 998 (-14%) 19mo $100,000 $100 52
23 Park Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-6%) 13mo $220,000 $204 51
32 Kent Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,056 (-8%) 10mo $220,000 $208 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$12,180
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
3.06×
Total profit
$80,628
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30741

Home prices YoY
-30.7%
Rents YoY
7.4%
Active inventory
430
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,681 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,341/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,144
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $503 -5% $464 +0% $424 +5% $385 +10% $345
Rent -10% $291 -5% $358 +0% $424 +5% $491 +10% $557
Rate -1.0pp $495 -0.5pp $460 base $424 +0.5pp $388 +1.0pp $351

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
63 Crabtree Rd Rossville, GA 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,775 $1.48 15d 1 0.12mi
305 Woodcreek Rd Unit C-5 Rossville, GA 2.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 45d 1 0.71mi
106 Champion Rd Rossville, GA 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,675 $1.52 25d 1 0.88mi
106 Champion Rd Rossville, GA 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,675 $1.52 45d 1 0.88mi
5 Bragg Cir Rossville, GA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 45d 1 0.89mi
810 Schmitt Rd Rossville, GA 2.0 1.5 1147 $850 $0.74 45d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 689-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $139,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,341 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,341 · $112/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,170
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,341
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,614
− Management
−$1,614
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$2,997
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$719
After-tax cash flow
$4,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walker County
NCES district ID
1305370
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$39,889
Composite
22.74/100
National rank
#8035
State rank
#114 of 174 in GA

Livability — Fairview

Score
58/100
State rank
#440
US rank
#21150

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairview, GA
County
Walker County · 48,831 people
City population
29,236
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
Population (ZIP)
30,041
Household income
$58,834
Rent vs Own
32.3% rent · 67.7% own
Severe rent burden
834.0

Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,050 people
By 2030
64,305 · -2.6%
By 2040
60,127 · -9.0%
By 2050
55,551 · -15.9%
By 2075
44,886 · -32.0%
By 2100
34,015 · -48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Walker

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.3) · D 20.1% · R 79.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -59.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.3 2020: R+59.3 2016: R+61.5 2012: R+50.2 2008: R+46.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.05%
Current HPI
267.0047
Rent YoY
▲ 7.44%
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+84.1% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $139,900 GCAR
  • 2021-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-23 Sold (MLS) $95,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-23 Sold (MLS) $95,000 GCAR
  • 2021-02-17 Contingent GCAR
  • 2021-02-15 Relisted GCAR
  • 2021-01-25 Contingent GCAR
  • 2021-01-12 Relisted GCAR
  • 2020-11-13 Contingent GCAR
  • 2020-10-23 Listed $99,900 GCAR
  • 2015-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
  • 2015-05-29 Sold (MLS) $74,000 GCAR
  • 2014-08-15 Sold (MLS) $30,000 CCARMLS
  • 2014-08-15 Sold (MLS) $30,000 GCAR
  • 2014-07-15 Listed $30,000 CCARMLS
  • 2011-04-30 Listed $87,500 RCAOR
  • 2006-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,341 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…