857 Marjorie St · Long Beach, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$262,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely remodeled and updated home in a great location in Long Beach. New roof, refinished wood floors, new tile in wet areas, fresh paint, new kitchen,large sun room that is heated and cooled! Home has a programable Nest thermostat to help keep the home comfortable and bills low. Large back yard great for kids, pets, and entertaining. Call today for more info and to set up your showing today! **Broken window in sun room has been ordered and will be replaced**
Key facts
- Cathedral ceilings
- Designer range hood
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 86 x 129 x 91 x 129; Lot is fenced; Lot area about 0.26 acres
- Financial info: Financial details not provided
- HOA & community: Curbs; Sidewalks; Near entertainment
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Driveway; On-street parking; Concrete parking surfaces
- Security: Smoke detectors; Deadbolt locks
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family house; One level
- Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built year from public records
- Exterior features: Front porch; Porch; Garden; Private yard; Privacy fencing in back yard; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Granite counters
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not specified
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Granite counters; Walk-in closet(s); Insulated windows; Deadbolt locks; Fireplace in great room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $263k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-532/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (3.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (27.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (27.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.7% in Long Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#52 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Long Beach School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #9 of 130 in MS (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Thomas L Reeves Elementary School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #92 of 375 statewide, top 26%, 431 students, 99% FRL); Long Beach Middle School (math 65% / reading 52%, grade B, #10 of 179 statewide, top 5%, 453 students, 99% FRL); Long Beach Senior High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #68 of 197 statewide, top 39%, 932 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 43% district-wide (57 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $263k implies a 304% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.72%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $260,924
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Mary Ct | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,720 (+13%) | 1mo | $249,900 | $145 | 69 |
| 205 Alyce Pl | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (-5%) | 3mo | $164,900 | $115 | 68 |
| 2004 Pettits Ln | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,644 (+8%) | 5mo | $283,000 | $172 | 53 |
| 703 S Forest Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (-7%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $141 | 49 |
| 208 Saint Augustine Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,336 (-12%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $165 | 49 |
| 1023 Enclave Cir | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (+9%) | 17mo | $284,900 | $173 | 45 |
| 524 W Marigold Dr | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,744 (+15%) | 17mo | $269,500 | $155 | 44 |
| 210 S Seashore Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (-8%) | 14mo | $339,750 | $244 | 39 |
| 909 Latil St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (-15%) | 8mo | $204,900 | $159 | 38 |
| 113 Sea Oaks Blvd | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,700 (+12%) | 3mo | $549,900 | $323 | 37 |
| 4281 Beatline Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,735 (+14%) | 14mo | $424,000 | $244 | 32 |
| 118 Buena Vista Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,728 (+14%) | 13mo | $447,000 | $259 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-47,592
- Equity at exit
- $39,199
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-53,785
- Equity at exit
- $22,731
Cash invested: $73,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39560
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,907 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,379
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $752/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $-44
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $104 | -5% $30 | +0% $-44 | +5% $-119 | +10% $-193 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-195 | -5% $-120 | +0% $-44 | +5% $31 | +10% $106 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $88 | -0.5pp $23 | base $-44 | +0.5pp $-112 | +1.0pp $-182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,725
- Closing costs
- $7,887
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 Twin Lakes Blvd Long Beach, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $2,000 | $1.62 | 15d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 500 E Marigold Dr Long Beach, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1093 Enclave Cir Long Beach, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1982 | $2,000 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1033 Enclave Cir Long Beach, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $2,250 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 504 N Island View Ave Long Beach, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2075 | $2,095 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4401 Beatline Rd Long Beach, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,366 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4401 Beatline Rd Long Beach, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,156 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4401 Beatline Rd Long Beach, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,267 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1000 Arbor Station Dr Long Beach, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1281 | $1,669 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 17 Alexandria Grace Dr Long Beach, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2120 | $2,500 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 24 Pelican Cove Ln Long Beach, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1968 | $1,900 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 12 Red Oak Dr Long Beach, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2204 | $2,400 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2012 W Second St Long Beach, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1125 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 4d | 17 | 1.09mi |
| 7 Oak Alley Ln Long Beach, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $2,600 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1210 Spring Dr Long Beach, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1938 | $1,800 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5596 Daugherty Rd Long Beach, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,300 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $262,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $262,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $262,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $262,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $262,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $262,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $263,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $263,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $263,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $263,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $263,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $264,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $264,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $264,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $264,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $264,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$264,900 Active
-
2018-09-28soldstatus $65,000
-
2018-09-27soldstatus 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Completely remodeled and updated home in a great location in Long Beach. New roof, refinished wood floors, new tile in wet areas, fresh paint, new kitchen,large sun room that is heated and cooled! Home has a programable Nest thermostat to help keep the home comfortable and bills low. Large back yard great for kids, pets, and entertaining. Call today for more info and to set up your showing today! **Broken window in sun room has been ordered and will be replaced**
-
2018-08-08$170,000 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Completely remodeled and updated home in a great location in Long Beach. New roof, refinished wood floors, new tile in wet areas, fresh paint, new kitchen,large sun room that is heated and cooled! Home has a programable Nest thermostat to help keep the home comfortable and bills low. Large back yard great for kids, pets, and entertaining. Call today for more info and to set up your showing today! **Broken window in sun room has been ordered and will be replaced**
-
2018-05-30soldstatus
-
2004-11-18soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $752 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,077 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,325/yr (+$110/mo · 176.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,884
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,726
- − Property taxes
- −$752
- − Insurance
- −$1,314
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,831
- − Management
- −$1,831
- − Depreciation
- −$7,648
- Taxable loss
- −$5,218
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,252
- After-tax cash flow
- $720/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Long Beach School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802670
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,548
- Composite
- 43.68/100
- National rank
- #2955
- State rank
- #9 of 130 in MS
Livability — Long Beach
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #8554
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Long Beach, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 18,702
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,702
- Household income
- $69,769
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 658.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.49%
- Current HPI
- 195.0807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.93%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+55.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $264,900 MLSU
- 2018-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-27 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2018-08-08 Listed $170,000 MLSU
- 2018-05-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-11-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $752 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…