1 Dillingham Pl · Greensboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- $178 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2007
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No pool; No guest house; Lot approximately 0.04 acre; Directions: Pisgah Church to Ackland Dr; home is first on right with side entry
- HOA & community: Association: High Point; Association fee approximately $178.70/month; Subdivision: Willoughby Crest
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Driveway
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Townhouse; Stick/site built construction; Three or more levels; Built in 2007; One living room fireplace
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Public water; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Dishwasher; Free-standing range
- Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms across upper levels (rooms on third level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Heat pump; Electric heating; Propane heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry; Separate shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer connection; Laundry room on third level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-245 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (16.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (21.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.05%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $345,420
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dunlevy Way | 0.06mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 2,078 (+3%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $125 | 80 |
| 12 Park Village Ln Unit F | 0.22mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,811 (-10%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $124 | 63 |
| 3 Stardust Trl | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,857 (-8%) | 12mo | $304,000 | $164 | 36 |
| 4112 Baylor St | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,742 (-14%) | 4mo | $269,800 | $155 | 33 |
| 700 Whitfield Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,792 (-11%) | 12mo | $317,000 | $177 | 30 |
| 4 Stardust Trl | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,799 (-11%) | 20mo | $308,000 | $171 | 23 |
| 17 Saltford Ln Unit 15B | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,762 (-13%) | 22mo | $309,500 | $176 | 21 |
| 2 Saltford Ln Unit 31B | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,762 (-13%) | 21mo | $309,500 | $176 | 19 |
| 16 Saltford Ln Unit 24B | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,762 (-13%) | 23mo | $294,500 | $167 | 19 |
| 7 Saltford Ln Unit 11B | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,762 (-13%) | 23mo | $315,500 | $179 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-60,182
- Equity at exit
- $38,692
- IRR
- -24.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.14×
- Total profit
- $-82,572
- Equity at exit
- $22,437
Cash invested: $72,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27455
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,029 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,361
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,414/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$178
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$426
- Net cashflow
- $-245
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,875
- Closing costs
- $7,785
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Ackland Dr Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2313 | $1,995 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2 Park Village Ct Unit E Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1966 | $2,200 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 17 Abelia Ct Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1416 | $1,837 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2 Saltford Ln Unit 1471182P Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $3,539 | $2.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 309-G Pisgah Church Rd Greensboro, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1143 | $2,481 | $2.17 | 14d | 10 | 0.94mi |
| 101 Shore Lake Dr Greensboro, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1188 | $1,600 | $1.35 | 23d | 11 | 1.25mi |
| 8 Indigo Cv Unit 1 Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $2,500 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1502 Lafayette Ct Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $2,100 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2213 W Cone Blvd Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1504 | $1,765 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2509 Patriot Way Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1998 | $1,500 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $178 · $2,136/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $259,500 Pending 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,500 Due Diligence Period 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,500 Due Diligence Period 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,500 Due Diligence Period 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,500 Due Diligence Period 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,500 Due Diligence Period 16 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical Due Diligence Period
-
2026-05-14$259,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,414 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,414 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,349
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,536
- − Property taxes
- −$2,414
- − Insurance
- −$1,298
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,948
- − Management
- −$1,948
- − HOA
- −$2,136
- − Depreciation
- −$7,549
- Taxable loss
- −$7,480
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,795
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,147/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — Greensboro
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greensboro, NC
- County
- Guilford County · 487,190 people
- City population
- 329,421
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,302
- Household income
- $94,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 644.0
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 23% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.85%
- Current HPI
- 208.9563
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Contingent — Triad MLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $259,500 Triad MLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,414 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…