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14 Wolcott St
B+ Composite 78.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,900

14 Wolcott St · Camden, NY 13316
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,368 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 334 Days on market
Built 1816 0.73 ac lot $66/sqft · 52% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Flip Opportunity in Camden, NY! Located on Wolcott Street and offering just under ¾ of an acre (0.74 acres), this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is bursting with potential. Whether you’re an investor or a handy homeowner, this property is the perfect canvas for your next renovation project. The spacious layout, generous lot, and quiet setting make it an ideal investment in the heart of Camden. With some vision and work, this home could be transformed into a beautiful and valuable asset. Don’t miss out on this diamond in the rough—opportunities like this don’t last long!

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Quiet setting
  • Spacious layout

Tags

JUST UNDER ¾ OF AN ACRESPACIOUS LAYOUTGENEROUS LOTQUIET SETTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $66k (26.5% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.0% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#549 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Camden Central School District (rural): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #504 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 334 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1816 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,109 (26.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 334 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1816 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
10.64%
Cash-on-cash
15.53%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$189,144
List price
$89,900
Delta
-52.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3 Empey Ave 0.45mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,368 (0%) 10mo $155,608 $114 64
9976 Wolcott Hill Rd 0.57mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,446 (+6%) 6mo $138,020 $95 54
69 2nd St 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,535 (+12%) 18mo $217,000 $141 47
24 Elm St 0.61mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,384 (+1%) 22mo $154,500 $112 44
16 Fayette St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,520 (+11%) 12mo $82,400 $54 38
2 Second St 0.52mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,476 (+8%) 23mo $189,900 $129 36
52 Liberty St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,273 (-7%) 15mo $109,180 $86 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$40,714
Equity at exit
$80,989
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
6.06×
Total profit
$127,295
Equity at exit
$174,656

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13316

Home prices YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,255 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,882/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$-135

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,426
Max offer price $66,109
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-84 -5% $-109 +0% $-135 +5% $-160 +10% $-186
Rent -10% $-234 -5% $-184 +0% $-135 +5% $-85 +10% $-36
Rate -1.0pp $-89 -0.5pp $-112 base $-135 +0.5pp $-158 +1.0pp $-182

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 334 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 332 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 331 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 330 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 329 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 327 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 326 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 323 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 322 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 321 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 320 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 317 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 316 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 315 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 314 DOM
  16. 2025-07-21
    listed $89,900 Active 603-char remark
    Show marketing remark (603 chars)

    Flip Opportunity in Camden, NY! Located on Wolcott Street and offering just under ¾ of an acre (0.74 acres), this 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is bursting with potential. Whether you’re an investor or a handy homeowner, this property is the perfect canvas for your next renovation project. The spacious layout, generous lot, and quiet setting make it an ideal investment in the heart of Camden. With some vision and work, this home could be transformed into a beautiful and valuable asset. Don’t miss out on this diamond in the rough—opportunities like this don’t last long!

  17. 2022-08-24
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed Sale or Rented 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    Owner Finance

  18. 2022-08-22
    listed $75,000 Active 13-char remark
    Show marketing remark (13 chars)

    Owner Finance

  19. 2015-04-28
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,882 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,882 · $157/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,061
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,882
− Insurance
−$5,974
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,205
− Management
−$1,205
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable loss
−$2,857
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$686
After-tax cash flow
$-930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden Central School District
NCES district ID
3606240
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$48,686
Composite
35.15/100
National rank
#5008
State rank
#504 of 590 in NY

Livability — Camden

Score
68/100
State rank
#549
US rank
#9877

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camden, NY
Population (ZIP)
5,924

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.23%
Current HPI
316.4996
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+79.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-21 Listed $89,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-08-24 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CNYIS
  • 2022-08-22 Listed $75,000 CNYIS
  • 2015-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,882 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…