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1198 Rozelle Ave
B- Composite 66.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

1198 Rozelle Ave · East Cleveland, OH 44112
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,470 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1909 5,074 sqft lot $51/sqft · at area comps Est $72k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 5,074 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1909

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $719 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#650 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • East Cleveland City School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #652 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Caledonia Elementary School (246 students, 0% FRL); W.H. Kirk Middle School (math 6% / reading 15%, grade F, #642 of 654 statewide, top 98%, 291 students, 0% FRL); Shaw High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #706 of 781 statewide, top 92%, 541 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 92% district-wide (92 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,576/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $75k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.10%
Cap rate
17.80%
Cash-on-cash
41.10%
DSCR
2.83
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,069
List price
$75,000
Delta
4.07%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1229 Melbourne Rd 0.14mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,600 (+9%) 2mo $115,000 $72 72
13411 6th Ave 0.64mi 4/1.0 1,468 (-0%) 10mo $113,000 $77 60
1101 Carlyon Rd 0.26mi 4/1.5 1,570 (+7%) 21mo $79,900 $51 59
13600 Graham Rd 0.71mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,380 (-6%) 10mo $50,100 $36 41
13500 Claiborne Rd 0.75mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,297 (-12%) 5mo $44,500 $34 35
1863 Woodlawn Ave 0.67mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,688 (+15%) 3mo $399,900 $237 32
1855 Woodlawn Ave 0.66mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,688 (+15%) 6mo $399,900 $237 31
13412 5th Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,251 (-15%) 18mo $86,000 $69 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$37,189
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
47.5%
Equity multiple
6.07×
Total profit
$106,500
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44112

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,576 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,215/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$719

Break-even live

Break-even rent $666
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $762 -5% $741 +0% $719 +5% $698 +10% $677
Rent -10% $595 -5% $657 +0% $719 +5% $782 +10% $844
Rate -1.0pp $757 -0.5pp $738 base $719 +0.5pp $700 +1.0pp $680

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1229 Melbourne Rd Cleveland, OH 5.0 1.5 1600 $2,000 $1.25 45d 1 0.16mi
14120 Superior Ave Unit 1 East Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,350 $0.96 12d 1 0.33mi
14120 Superior Ave Unit 4 East Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1408 $1,350 $0.96 45d 1 0.33mi
1338 Lakeview Rd Unit Down Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 25d 1 0.49mi
1464 E 123rd St Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,800 $1.73 25d 1 0.66mi
12819 Edmonton Ave Cleveland, OH 4.0 1.0 1423 $1,795 $1.26 18d 1 0.66mi
1339 E 115th St Cleveland, OH 5.0 2.0 1550 $2,000 $1.29 18d 1 0.67mi
14009 Mayfair Ave Unit 2 East Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1144 $1,390 $1.22 45d 1 0.74mi
14005 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,570 $1.49 18d 1 0.78mi
14200 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,350 $1.07 18d 1 0.79mi
13900 Potomac Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,355 $1.16 25d 1 0.82mi
14312 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1090 $1,300 $1.19 6d 1 0.83mi
14205 Savannah Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,350 $1.16 18d 1 0.92mi
1641 Coventry Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1848 $1,200 $0.65 18d 1 1.02mi
2827 Avondale Ave Apt 2 Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1680 $1,275 $0.76 25d 1 1.04mi
14120 Superior Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1390 $1,400 $1.01 45d 1 1.06mi
651 E 115th St Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1550 $1,800 $1.16 23d 1 1.11mi
1695 Glenmont Rd Unit 1695 Glenmont Lower Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1336 $1,435 $1.07 9d 1 1.14mi
1695 Glenmont Rd Unit Lower Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1336 $1,435 $1.07 25d 1 1.14mi
1633 Eddington Rd Unit 1 Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1538 $1,100 $0.72 25d 1 1.14mi
14172 Superior Rd Unit 1 Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1446 $1,295 $0.90 25d 1 1.19mi
12314 Mayfield Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 2.5 2033 $3,859 $1.90 5d 9 1.22mi
11420 Hessler Rd Cleveland, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0 969 $2,265 $2.34 18d 2 1.23mi
11350 Hessler Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,265 $1.74 9d 1 1.24mi
2580 Overlook Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0–2.0 1125 $1,740 $1.55 3d 12 1.33mi
2772 Lancashire Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1295 $1,400 $1.08 9d 2 1.34mi
2772 Lancashire Rd Unit 1 Cleveland Heights, OH 3.0 1.0 1295 $1,400 $1.08 25d 1 1.34mi
2729 Euclid Heights Blvd Apt 4 Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 25d 1 1.36mi
14813 Alder Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1188 $1,150 $0.97 25d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 66 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 65 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 64 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 57 DOM
  16. 2026-04-03
    listed $90,000 Active
  17. 2026-02-20
    status Pending
  18. 2026-02-14
    historical Contingent
  19. 2026-02-12
    historical
  20. 2026-02-07
    status Active
  21. 2026-01-27
    historical Contingent
  22. 2025-12-16
    price $110,000
  23. 2025-10-31
    listed $130,000 Active
  24. 1978-08-01
    soldstatus $20,000
  25. 1978-08-01
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,215 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,215 · $101/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,913
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,215
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,513
− Management
−$1,513
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$7,914
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,899
After-tax cash flow
$6,733/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Cleveland City School District
NCES district ID
3904390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$22,726
Composite
7.38/100
National rank
#9954
State rank
#652 of 656 in OH

Livability — East Cleveland

Score
66/100
State rank
#650
US rank
#11510

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Cleveland, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
City population
17,848
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
17,848
Household income
$28,799
Rent vs Own
54.9% rent · 45.1% own
Severe rent burden
1702.0

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.61%
Current HPI
67.2162
Rent YoY
▲ 5.16%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+350.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $90,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-20 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-14 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-12 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-07 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-01-27 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $110,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $130,000 MLSNOW
  • 1978-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 1978-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,215 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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