4860 Turner Blvd · Pahrump, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- 1% rule +0.7/10.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
$290,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Beautiful maintained 2 bedroom 2 bath custom home sits on 1.1 Acre fully fenced and truly move -in ready ! Wired with 400-amp service including 200 amps dedicated for future outback buildings, offering flexibility for expansion for additional structures. Inside the home shines with meticulous care and thoughtful inclusions. Washer/Dryer , fridge, freezer , wall mounted TV , couch ottoman, queen bedroom set with lamps, dinning set and bar stools & BBQ making a turn key opportunity. On demand hot water system & water softener . Mini splits for energy savings.
Key facts
- Fully fenced
- Water softener
- 400-amp service
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-508 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (31.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (42.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (42.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.4% in Pahrump — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#30 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 281 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $290k implies a 1350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.57% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.51%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 14.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $340,432
- List price
- $290,000
- Delta
- -14.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-825
- Equity at exit
- $126,891
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $46,495
- Equity at exit
- $192,871
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89061
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 281
- Price-to-rent
- 14.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,663 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,168/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $-508
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-344 | -5% $-426 | +0% $-508 | +5% $-590 | +10% $-673 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-640 | -5% $-574 | +0% $-508 | +5% $-443 | +10% $-377 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-362 | -0.5pp $-435 | base $-508 | +0.5pp $-584 | +1.0pp $-660 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4361 Laute Dr Unit 1 Pahrump, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1856 | $925 | $0.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $290,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $290,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $290,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $290,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $290,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $290,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $290,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $290,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $290,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $290,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $290,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $290,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $290,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $290,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $290,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $290,000 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
This Beautiful maintained 2 bedroom 2 bath custom home sits on 1.1 Acre fully fenced and truly move -in ready ! Wired with 400-amp service including 200 amps dedicated for future outback buildings, offering flexibility for expansion for additional structures. Inside the home shines with meticulous care and thoughtful inclusions. Washer/Dryer , fridge, freezer , wall mounted TV , couch ottoman, queen bedroom set with lamps, dinning set and bar stools & BBQ making a turn key opportunity. On demand hot water system & water softener . Mini splits for energy savings.
-
2026-04-18price $310,000 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
This Beautiful maintained 2 bedroom 2 bath custom home sits on 1.1 Acre fully fenced and truly move -in ready ! Wired with 400-amp service including 200 amps dedicated for future outback buildings, offering flexibility for expansion for additional structures. Inside the home shines with meticulous care and thoughtful inclusions. Washer/Dryer , fridge, freezer , wall mounted TV , couch ottoman, queen bedroom set with lamps, dinning set and bar stools & BBQ making a turn key opportunity. On demand hot water system & water softener . Mini splits for energy savings.
-
2026-03-05price $319,000 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
This Beautiful maintained 2 bedroom 2 bath custom home sits on 1.1 Acre fully fenced and truly move -in ready ! Wired with 400-amp service including 200 amps dedicated for future outback buildings, offering flexibility for expansion for additional structures. Inside the home shines with meticulous care and thoughtful inclusions. Washer/Dryer , fridge, freezer , wall mounted TV , couch ottoman, queen bedroom set with lamps, dinning set and bar stools & BBQ making a turn key opportunity. On demand hot water system & water softener . Mini splits for energy savings.
-
2026-01-21$325,000 Active 583-char remark
Show marketing remark (583 chars)
This Beautiful maintained 2 bedroom 2 bath custom home sits on 1.1 Acre fully fenced and truly move -in ready ! Wired with 400-amp service including 200 amps dedicated for future outback buildings, offering flexibility for expansion for additional structures. Inside the home shines with meticulous care and thoughtful inclusions. Washer/Dryer , fridge, freezer , wall mounted TV , couch ottoman, queen bedroom set with lamps, dinning set and bar stools & BBQ making a turn key opportunity. On demand hot water system & water softener . Mini splits for energy savings.
-
2018-08-22soldstatus $20,000 Sold 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
WATER RIGHTS RELINQUISHED - BUILD YOUR NEW HOME HERE! Easy access to 160, close to schools, no HOA! Picture your future home here!
-
2018-08-22soldstatus $20,000
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
WATER RIGHTS RELINQUISHED - BUILD YOUR NEW HOME HERE! Easy access to 160, close to schools, no HOA! Picture your future home here!
-
2018-08-07status Pending 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
WATER RIGHTS RELINQUISHED - BUILD YOUR NEW HOME HERE! Easy access to 160, close to schools, no HOA! Picture your future home here!
-
2018-06-20$22,000 Active 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
WATER RIGHTS RELINQUISHED - BUILD YOUR NEW HOME HERE! Easy access to 160, close to schools, no HOA! Picture your future home here!
-
2017-08-25historical
-
2017-01-26$12,000 Active
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2008-04-28soldstatus $45,000
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2008-04-28historical
-
2008-04-15soldstatus $45,000
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2007-01-11$47,999
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,168 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,168 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,958
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,245
- − Property taxes
- −$2,168
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,597
- − Management
- −$1,597
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$11,534
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,768
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,332/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nye County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200360
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,447
- Composite
- 22.43/100
- National rank
- #8110
- State rank
- #16 of 17 in NV
Livability — Pahrump
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #9226
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pahrump, NV
- County
- Nye County · 47,491 people
- City population
- 47,491
- Metro
- Pahrump, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,141
- Household income
- $77,991
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 52.0
Population outlook (Nye County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,727 people
- By 2030
- 38,812 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 33,952 · -16.6%
- By 2050
- 29,393 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 21,122 · -48.1%
- By 2100
- 14,400 · -64.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 8% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nye
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.0% · R 70.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- Current HPI
- 266.2633
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pahrump, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+504.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $290,000 GLVAR
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $310,000 GLVAR
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $319,000 GLVAR
- 2026-01-21 Listed $325,000 GLVAR
- 2018-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-22 Sold (MLS) $20,000 GLVAR
- 2018-08-07 Pending — GLVAR
- 2018-06-20 Listed $22,000 GLVAR
- 2017-08-25 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2017-01-26 Listed $12,000 GLVAR
- 2008-04-28 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2008-04-28 Sold (MLS) $45,000 GLVAR
- 2008-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2007-01-11 Listed $47,999 GLVAR
Property tax history
+42.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,168 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…