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1831 11th Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 67.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

1831 11th Ave · Port Huron, MI 48060
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,720 sqft · SingleFamily · 224 Days on market
Built 1896 5,663 sqft lot $64/sqft · 34% below area Est $166k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large home on a corner lot at the north end featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath with new flooring and vanity, large kitchen, knotty pine cozy family room. Primary bedroom on main floor with additional 3 bedrooms upstairs offer privacy. Foyer w/ Skylight, updated furnace, side covered porch, back deck, shed and much more! Home does need work (reflected in price), and is tenant occupied.

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Large kitchen
  • Updated furnace

Tags

CORNER LOTNEW FLOORINGLARGE KITCHENKNOTTY PINE FAMILY ROOMFOYER W SKYLIGHTUPDATED FURNACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $109,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$165,659) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.6% in Port Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#445 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, schools F.
  • Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 224 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $110k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 224 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
8.81%
Cash-on-cash
8.97%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,659
List price
$109,900
Delta
-33.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1919 Elk St 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,740 (+1%) 12mo $153,000 $88 70
2115 Stone St 0.32mi 4/2.5 1,752 (+2%) 11mo $113,000 $64 66
1307 Hancock St 0.58mi 4/1.0 1,689 (-2%) 8mo $199,000 $118 64
1303 10th Ave 0.46mi 4/2.0 1,668 (-3%) 8mo $184,900 $111 62
1417 Kearney St 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,651 (-4%) 3mo $179,900 $109 62
1205 Lyon St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,568 (-9%) 13mo $181,000 $115 61
2429 Walnut St St 0.55mi 4/1.0 1,854 (+8%) 9mo $107,000 $58 54
2428 20th Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,677 (-2%) 7mo $186,000 $111 53
2413 Church St 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,774 (+3%) 1mo $255,000 $144 52
2527 16th Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,797 (+4%) 13mo $233,000 $130 49
1018 Poplar St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,546 (-10%) 14mo $165,000 $107 35
2222 Woodstock Dr 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,962 (+14%) 16mo $269,900 $138 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,186
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$20,979
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48060

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,410 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$262 /mo · $3,139/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,119
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
909 Stone St Unit 1 Port Huron, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 0.77mi
516 Glenwood Ave Port Huron, MI 3.0 1.5 2000 $1,300 $0.65 24d 1 0.98mi
937 Howard St Port Huron, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,500 $1.39 18d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 224 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 223 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 222 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 219 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 218 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 217 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 216 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 215 DOM
  9. 2026-02-04
    price $109,900 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Large home on a corner lot at the north end featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath with new flooring and vanity, large kitchen, knotty pine cozy family room. Primary bedroom on main floor with additional 3 bedrooms upstairs offer privacy. Foyer w/ Skylight, updated furnace, side covered porch, back deck, shed and much more! Home does need work (reflected in price), and is tenant occupied.

  10. 2026-02-04
    price $109,900 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Large home on a corner lot at the north end featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath with new flooring and vanity, large kitchen, knotty pine cozy family room. Primary bedroom on main floor with additional 3 bedrooms upstairs offer privacy. Foyer w/ Skylight, updated furnace, side covered porch, back deck, shed and much more! Home does need work (reflected in price), and is tenant occupied.

  11. 2025-12-31
    price $114,000 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Large home on a corner lot at the north end featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath with new flooring and vanity, large kitchen, knotty pine cozy family room. Primary bedroom on main floor with additional 3 bedrooms upstairs offer privacy. Foyer w/ Skylight, updated furnace, side covered porch, back deck, shed and much more! Home does need work (reflected in price), and is tenant occupied.

  12. 2025-12-30
    price $114,000 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Large home on a corner lot at the north end featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath with new flooring and vanity, large kitchen, knotty pine cozy family room. Primary bedroom on main floor with additional 3 bedrooms upstairs offer privacy. Foyer w/ Skylight, updated furnace, side covered porch, back deck, shed and much more! Home does need work (reflected in price), and is tenant occupied.

  13. 2025-11-04
    price $119,900 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Large home on a corner lot at the north end featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath with new flooring and vanity, large kitchen, knotty pine cozy family room. Primary bedroom on main floor with additional 3 bedrooms upstairs offer privacy. Foyer w/ Skylight, updated furnace, side covered porch, back deck, shed and much more! Home does need work (reflected in price), and is tenant occupied.

  14. 2025-11-03
    price $119,900 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Large home on a corner lot at the north end featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath with new flooring and vanity, large kitchen, knotty pine cozy family room. Primary bedroom on main floor with additional 3 bedrooms upstairs offer privacy. Foyer w/ Skylight, updated furnace, side covered porch, back deck, shed and much more! Home does need work (reflected in price), and is tenant occupied.

  15. 2025-10-28
    listed $128,000 Active 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Large home on a corner lot at the north end featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath with new flooring and vanity, large kitchen, knotty pine cozy family room. Primary bedroom on main floor with additional 3 bedrooms upstairs offer privacy. Foyer w/ Skylight, updated furnace, side covered porch, back deck, shed and much more! Home does need work (reflected in price), and is tenant occupied.

  16. 2025-10-28
    listed $128,000 Active 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Large home on a corner lot at the north end featuring 4 bedrooms, 1 bath with new flooring and vanity, large kitchen, knotty pine cozy family room. Primary bedroom on main floor with additional 3 bedrooms upstairs offer privacy. Foyer w/ Skylight, updated furnace, side covered porch, back deck, shed and much more! Home does need work (reflected in price), and is tenant occupied.

  17. 2008-07-10
    soldstatus $22,000
  18. 2008-07-10
    soldstatus $22,000
  19. 2008-06-23
    historical
  20. 2008-02-27
    listed $27,500
  21. 2008-02-27
    listed $27,500
  22. 2008-02-27
    historical
  23. 2008-01-03
    listed $79,900
  24. 2007-12-31
    historical
  25. 2007-07-05
    listed $79,900
  26. 2005-02-28
    soldstatus $96,000
  27. 2005-02-28
    soldstatus $96,000
  28. 2005-02-08
    historical
  29. 2004-08-03
    listed $98,500
  30. 2004-08-03
    listed $98,500
  31. 1998-11-09
    soldstatus $58,000
  32. 1998-08-05
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,139 · $262/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,139 · $262/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,919
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$3,139
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,353
− Management
−$1,353
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$1,170
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$281
After-tax cash flow
$2,480/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Port Huron Area School District
NCES district ID
2628830
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$42,093
Composite
25.4/100
National rank
#7462
State rank
#368 of 540 in MI

Livability — Port Huron

Score
65/100
State rank
#445
US rank
#12478

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Huron, MI
County
Saint Clair County · 44,760 people
City population
39,342
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,342
Household income
$53,018
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
1808.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
154,587 people
By 2030
150,031 · -2.9%
By 2040
138,177 · -10.6%
By 2050
124,390 · -19.5%
By 2075
95,825 · -38.0%
By 2100
68,672 · -55.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.75%
Current HPI
177.2401
Rent YoY
▲ 3.61%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+83.5% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $114,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Price Changed $114,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $128,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-28 Listed $128,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-07-10 Sold (MLS) $22,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-07-10 Sold (MLS) $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-06-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-02-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-02-27 Listed $27,500 REALCOMP
  • 2008-02-27 Listed $27,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-01-03 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-12-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-05 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-02-28 Sold (MLS) $96,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-02-28 Sold (MLS) $96,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-02-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-08-03 Listed $98,500 REALCOMP
  • 2004-08-03 Listed $98,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-11-09 Sold (MLS) $58,000 REALCOMP
  • 1998-08-05 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+10.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,139 · +85.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…