Duplex
227 Colonie St · Albany, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great Two-Family Investment Property Or Owner-Occupied, Across The Street, From The Playground, Seperate Utilities, Package Deal For 458 And 460 Second Street, 24 Notice, Tenants Already In Place. Very Good Condition
Key facts
- Fenced backyard
- Duplex
- Strong rental appeal
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.07 acres
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: No parking information provided
- Security: No security information provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex; Living area reported (2,668 total)
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Back yard fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Two units each with 3 bedrooms (one unit's bedrooms include a 1st- and 2nd-level bath configuration across the property)
- Flooring: No flooring information provided
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (one full bath on 1st level, one full bath on 2nd level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $803/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $185k).
- Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Arbor Hill Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,011 of 2,108 statewide, top 96%, 265 students, 87% FRL); Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 70 active listings in the ZIP; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,755/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 1211% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $185k implies a 311% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.21%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $253,460
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 Livingston Ave | 0.09mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,665 (-0%) | 6mo | $124,900 | $47 | 85 |
| 211 Clinton Ave | 0.31mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,640 (-1%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $95 | 72 |
| 314-316 Orange St | 0.44mi | 6/2.0 | 2,475 (-7%) | 6mo | $126,000 | $51 | 62 |
| 79 1st St | 0.28mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,516 (-6%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $109 | 62 |
| 243 Northern Blvd | 0.30mi | 6/2.0 | 2,944 (+10%) | 12mo | $106,000 | $36 | 59 |
| 219 1st St | 0.33mi | 6/2.0 | 2,328 (-13%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $77 | 56 |
| 423 Clinton Ave | 0.57mi | 6/3.0 | 2,616 (-2%) | 11mo | $270,000 | $103 | 56 |
| 114 Lark St | 0.42mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,835 (+6%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $92 | 52 |
| 362 Clinton Ave | 0.50mi | 7/4.0 (+1) | 2,490 (-7%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $108 | 51 |
| 10 Wilkins Ave | 0.54mi | 6/2.0 | 2,294 (-14%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $122 | 50 |
| 469 Clinton Ave | 0.66mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,520 (-6%) | 6mo | $239,000 | $95 | 46 |
| 391 Clinton Ave | 0.51mi | 6/3.0 | 2,346 (-12%) | 14mo | $249,000 | $106 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $87,586
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 46.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.32×
- Total profit
- $275,755
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12210
- Home prices YoY
- -2.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,755 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$313 /mo · $3,754/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$789
- Net cashflow
- $1,606
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,711 | -5% $1,659 | +0% $1,606 | +5% $1,554 | +10% $1,502 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,310 | -5% $1,458 | +0% $1,606 | +5% $1,755 | +10% $1,903 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,700 | -0.5pp $1,653 | base $1,606 | +0.5pp $1,558 | +1.0pp $1,510 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | — | $3,756 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $1,878 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $1,878 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,755 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 472-char remark
-
2026-06-17$185,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,754 · $313/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,754 · $313/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$3,754
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,605
- − Management
- −$3,605
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $17,426
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,182
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,094/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albany City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 32.34/100
- National rank
- #5744
- State rank
- #543 of 590 in NY
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #2083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, NY
- County
- Albany County · 196,626 people
- City population
- 116,921
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,297
- Household income
- $55,843
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1211.0
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.92%
- Current HPI
- 252.3084
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.86%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+184.6% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $185,000 Global MLS
- 2016-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-06 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Global MLS
- 2016-08-08 Pending — Global MLS
- 2016-06-15 Price Changed $53,000 Global MLS
- 2016-05-04 Listed $65,000 Global MLS
- 2014-08-22 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2013-09-26 Listed $65,000 Global MLS
- 2013-08-01 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2012-04-06 Listed $65,000 Global MLS
- 2009-05-08 Sold (MLS) $33,000 Global MLS
- 2009-04-03 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2009-03-19 Listed $39,900 Global MLS
- 2008-06-03 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2008-01-02 Listed $85,000 Global MLS
- 2006-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2006-08-01 Sold (MLS) $59,000 Global MLS
- 2006-04-28 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2006-02-21 Listed $65,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,754 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…