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404 SE 4th St
A- Composite 81.78
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$34,995

404 SE 4th St · Springhill, LA 71075
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 847 sqft · SingleFamily · 241 Days on market
Built 1960 8,973 sqft lot $41/sqft · 17% below area Est $42k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATHROOM HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD IS A PERFECT STARTER OR RETIREMENT HOME FOR OWNER OCCUPANTS OR COULD BE A GOOD RENTAL FOR AN INVESTOR AS IT HAS A PROVEN PROFITABLE TRACK RECORD. HOME FEATURES CERAMIC TILED FLOORS THROUGHOUT WITH CARPETING IN THE BEDROOMS. EAT IN KITCHEN. SEPARATE UTILITY ROOM FOR WASHER AND DRYER. NEW WATER HEATER. REDUCED TO $34,995!

Key facts

  • Eat in kitchen
  • New water heater
  • Ceramic tiled floors

Tags

CERAMIC TILED FLOORSEAT IN KITCHENSEPARATE UTILITY ROOMNEW WATER HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($650 rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 7.0% in Springhill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Webster Parish (town): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #67 of 98 in LA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 36 units permitted in Webster Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Webster County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 241 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $35k implies a 337% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $30,795 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 241 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
16.53%
Cash-on-cash
36.56%
DSCR
2.63
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$42,082
List price
$34,995
Delta
-16.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
411 4th St SE 0.04mi 3/1.0 (+1) 862 (+2%) 22mo $79,900 $93 72
409 Shady Oak St 0.70mi 2/1.0 835 (-1%) 8mo $16,500 $20 59
712 Walnut 0.61mi 2/1.0 895 (+6%) 9mo $77,500 $87 54
1003 SE 2nd St 0.49mi 2/1.0 900 (+6%) 15mo $64,900 $72 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.0%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$24,286
Equity at exit
$16,864
10-year hold
IRR
42.3%
Equity multiple
6.97×
Total profit
$58,518
Equity at exit
$26,903

Cash invested: $9,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71075

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$650 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $202/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$136
Net cashflow
$299

Break-even live

Break-even rent $272
Max offer price $34,995
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,749
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
501 Herrington Dr Unit 6 Springhill, LA 1.0 1.0 572 $650 $1.14 14d 1 1.23mi
503 Herrington Dr Unit 16 Springhill, LA 1.0 1.0 572 $650 $1.14 21d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATHROOM HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD IS A PERFECT STARTER OR RETIREMENT HOME FOR OWNER OCCUPANTS OR COULD BE A GOOD RENTAL FOR AN INVESTOR AS IT HAS A PROVEN PROFITABLE TRACK RECORD. HOME FEATURES CERAMIC TILED FLOORS THROUGHOUT WITH CARPETING IN THE BEDROOMS. EAT IN KITCHEN. SEPARATE UTILITY ROOM FOR WASHER AND DRYER. NEW WATER HEATER. REDUCED TO $34,995!

  2. 2026-03-10
    price $34,995 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATHROOM HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD IS A PERFECT STARTER OR RETIREMENT HOME FOR OWNER OCCUPANTS OR COULD BE A GOOD RENTAL FOR AN INVESTOR AS IT HAS A PROVEN PROFITABLE TRACK RECORD. HOME FEATURES CERAMIC TILED FLOORS THROUGHOUT WITH CARPETING IN THE BEDROOMS. EAT IN KITCHEN. SEPARATE UTILITY ROOM FOR WASHER AND DRYER. NEW WATER HEATER. REDUCED TO $34,995!

  3. 2026-02-19
    price $38,500 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATHROOM HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD IS A PERFECT STARTER OR RETIREMENT HOME FOR OWNER OCCUPANTS OR COULD BE A GOOD RENTAL FOR AN INVESTOR AS IT HAS A PROVEN PROFITABLE TRACK RECORD. HOME FEATURES CERAMIC TILED FLOORS THROUGHOUT WITH CARPETING IN THE BEDROOMS. EAT IN KITCHEN. SEPARATE UTILITY ROOM FOR WASHER AND DRYER. NEW WATER HEATER. REDUCED TO $34,995!

  4. 2025-12-10
    price $47,500 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATHROOM HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD IS A PERFECT STARTER OR RETIREMENT HOME FOR OWNER OCCUPANTS OR COULD BE A GOOD RENTAL FOR AN INVESTOR AS IT HAS A PROVEN PROFITABLE TRACK RECORD. HOME FEATURES CERAMIC TILED FLOORS THROUGHOUT WITH CARPETING IN THE BEDROOMS. EAT IN KITCHEN. SEPARATE UTILITY ROOM FOR WASHER AND DRYER. NEW WATER HEATER. REDUCED TO $34,995!

  5. 2025-09-15
    listed $49,900 Active 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    THIS 2 BEDROOM 1 BATHROOM HOME IN ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD IS A PERFECT STARTER OR RETIREMENT HOME FOR OWNER OCCUPANTS OR COULD BE A GOOD RENTAL FOR AN INVESTOR AS IT HAS A PROVEN PROFITABLE TRACK RECORD. HOME FEATURES CERAMIC TILED FLOORS THROUGHOUT WITH CARPETING IN THE BEDROOMS. EAT IN KITCHEN. SEPARATE UTILITY ROOM FOR WASHER AND DRYER. NEW WATER HEATER. REDUCED TO $34,995!

  6. 2012-09-06
    soldstatus $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$202 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$202 · $17/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 51% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$7,800
− Mortgage interest
−$1,960
− Property taxes
−$202
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$624
− Management
−$624
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$3,197
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$767
After-tax cash flow
$2,816/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Webster Parish
NCES district ID
2201890
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -38.00%
Median HH income
$33,011
Composite
17.5/100
National rank
#9055
State rank
#67 of 98 in LA

Livability — Springhill

Score
65/100
State rank
#139
US rank
#12517

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing B Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springhill, LA
Population (ZIP)
5,417

Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,736 people
By 2030
36,203 · -4.1%
By 2040
32,988 · -12.6%
By 2050
29,743 · -21.2%
By 2075
22,346 · -40.8%
By 2100
15,045 · -60.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Webster

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 31.2% · R 67.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+31.1 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+26.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.57%
Current HPI
90.8938
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+337.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $34,995 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $38,500 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $47,500 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $49,900 NTREIS
  • 2012-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $202 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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