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3755-3759 Mission St Triplex
B Composite 72.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,399,000

3755-3759 Mission St · San Francisco, CA 94110
12 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,500 sqft · MultiFamily · 111 Days on market
Built 1905 1,875 sqft lot $560/sqft · 6% below area Est $1484k · 6% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Versatile Mixed-Use Property in Prime Bernal Heights Location! Beautifully maintained and move-in ready, the street-level commercial unit—formerly a contractor’s office—is ideal for retail, medical, or professional use. Above, a spacious 4BR/1BA residential flat features an updated bath, large kitchen, and in-unit laundry, currently leased to a long-term tenant. Great income potential or owner-user opportunity! Located near Holly Park, Saint Mary’s Rec Center, schools, shops, restaurants, and public transit. Easy access to Muni, BART, Hwy 101 & 280. A rare chance to invest or live/work in one of San Francisco’s most desirable neighborhoods!

Key facts

  • Updated bath
  • Income potential
  • In-unit laundry

Tags

MIXED-USE PROPERTYSTREET-LEVEL COMMERCIAL UNITUPDATED BATHLARGE KITCHENIN-UNIT LAUNDRYINCOME POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 4-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.40M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($55k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($18k rent vs $1.40M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.27M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $18,058/mo this rent would consume 137% of the median local household income ($158k/yr) (locally 2732% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $42k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $392k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.27M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,273,090 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.24%
Cash-on-cash
14.08%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,483,754
List price
$1,399,000
Delta
-5.71%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$161,833
Equity at exit
$208,595
10-year hold
IRR
22.8%
Equity multiple
3.43×
Total profit
$953,441
Equity at exit
$120,960

Cash invested: $391,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94110

Rents YoY
14.5%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
19.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$18,058 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$7,337
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,749 /mo · $20,985/yr
Insurance
$583
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,792
Net cashflow
$4,598

Break-even live

Break-even rent $12,238
Max offer price $1,399,000
Occupancy floor 70%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $18,058

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$349,750
Closing costs
$41,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 106 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 105 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 100 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 97 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 96 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 95 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 94 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,399,000 Active 93 DOM
  15. 2026-03-02
    listed $1,399,000 Active 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Versatile Mixed-Use Property in Prime Bernal Heights Location! Beautifully maintained and move-in ready, the street-level commercial unit—formerly a contractor’s office—is ideal for retail, medical, or professional use. Above, a spacious 4BR/1BA residential flat features an updated bath, large kitchen, and in-unit laundry, currently leased to a long-term tenant. Great income potential or owner-user opportunity! Located near Holly Park, Saint Mary’s Rec Center, schools, shops, restaurants, and public transit. Easy access to Muni, BART, Hwy 101 & 280. A rare chance to invest or live/work in one of San Francisco’s most desirable neighborhoods!

  16. 2026-02-27
    listed $1,399,000 Active 906-char remark
    Show marketing remark (906 chars)

    Versatile Mixed-Use Property in Prime Bernal Heights Location! Beautifully maintained and move-in ready! Unlock the potential of this income property! Ask us about Seller Financing! TIC /Live-Work / Retail / Small Business / Office / Shop on street level with backyard and storage unit! Top floor - a spacious 4BR/1BA residential flat features an updated bath, large kitchen, and in-unit laundry, currently leased to a long-term tenant. Great income potential, or owner-user opportunity! Located near Holly Park, Saint Mary's Rec Center, schools, shops, restaurants, laundry, Grocery Mart and walk to public transit. Easy access to Muni, BART, Hwy 101 & 280. A rare chance to invest or live/work in one of San Francisco's most desirable neighborhoods of Bernal Heights! * * THIS MIXED UNIT PROPERTY IS NOT UNDER RENT CONTROL * * Call Realtor Kriss Miranda for more info: 415.966.5343

  17. 2025-12-06
    historical
  18. 2025-09-06
    listed Active
  19. 2025-09-05
    listed $1,438,888 Active
  20. 2025-07-02
    historical
  21. 2025-06-26
    price
  22. 2025-05-28
    price
  23. 2025-05-10
    price
  24. 2025-04-30
    price
  25. 2025-03-19
    price
  26. 2025-02-27
    price
  27. 2025-02-07
    price
  28. 2025-01-14
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$216,696
− Mortgage interest
−$78,366
− Property taxes
−$20,985
− Insurance
−$6,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$17,336
− Management
−$17,336
− Depreciation
−$40,698
Taxable income
$34,981
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8,395
After-tax cash flow
$46,776/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
66,865
Household income
$158,351
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
2732.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 32% Asian 16% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 27% Chinese 5% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1385.62%
Current HPI
267.2424
Rent YoY
▲ 14.54%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.8% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $1,399,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $1,399,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-12-06 Listing Removed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-09-06 Listed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $1,438,888 San Francisco MLS
  • 2025-07-02 Listing Removed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-06-26 Price Changed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-05-10 Price Changed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-04-30 Price Changed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-03-19 Price Changed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-02-27 Price Changed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-02-07 Price Changed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2025-01-14 Listed bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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