20890 SW 236th St · Homestead, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$999,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Ready to Bring your horses? In the heart of the spectacular Bonanza Area, a well maintained agriculture home on an ample 1.25 acres. Enjoy ranch-style living in this 3 bedroom + an extra separate room that adds up to 500 Sq ft to the home and 2 bath, including a new roof, floor, and windows. Fenced with an electrical gate, has a separate laundry room and covered terrace. SINCE 2023 THIS HOME HAS FULLY REMODELED BATHROOMS, NEW ROOF, NEW HURRICANE IMPACT WINDOWS AND DOORS, NEW A/C, BLINDS AND A WATER SOFTENER SYSTEM. 2025 WATER HEATER. Beautiful landscape including many types of fruit trees (sour orange, known as "sugar apple, " tamarind, mandarin, orange, lemon, jocote known as cru
Key facts
- Ample 1.25 acres
- Covered terrace
- Ranch-style living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Green energy-efficient features for appliances, HVAC and roof
- Financial info: No pet restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; RV access/parking
- Security: Security/high impact doors; Storm/security shutters
- Utilities: Public water and well; Septic tank; Cable not available
- Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Effective year built
- Construction: Block construction; Spanish tile roof
- Exterior features: Awnings; Fence; Fruit trees; Room for pool; Shed; Security/high impact doors; Storm/security shutters; Guest house; Horses allowed; Paved road access; One to two acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Guest quarters; In-law suite; Storage room
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Blinds; Impact glass windows; Bedroom on main level; Breakfast area; Dining area; Separate formal dining room; Dual sinks; First floor entry; Handicap access; Living/Dining room; Main level primary
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1000k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-689 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $878k (12.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $725k (27.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $725k (27.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.5% in Homestead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#158 in FL, #2,408 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $25k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($880k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $570k; list at $1000k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.30%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $811,125
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21431 SW 234th St | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 | 1,676 (+8%) | 24mo | $879,900 | $525 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $14,350
- Equity at exit
- $383,664
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $193,579
- Equity at exit
- $544,335
Cash invested: $279,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33031
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,244
- Tax from tax record
- −$604 /mo · $7,249/yr
- Insurance
- −$417
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,522
- Net cashflow
- $-689
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $249,998
- Closing costs
- $30,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21080 SW 242nd St Unit 21080 Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1968 | $7,250 | $3.68 | 18d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 21080 SW 242nd St Unit 21080 Homestead, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1968 | $7,250 | $3.68 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $999,990 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $999,990 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $999,990 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $999,990 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $999,990 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $999,990 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $999,990 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $999,990 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-01-25price $999,990
-
2026-01-02$1,019,990 Active
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-10-04price $1,019,990
-
2025-07-06$1,099,990 Active
-
2025-05-20historical
-
2025-04-09price $1,189,990
-
2025-02-24$1,239,990 Active
-
2025-01-29historical
-
2024-12-19price $1,249,990
-
2024-08-21price $1,299,990
-
2024-07-30$1,350,000 Active
-
2015-08-07historical
-
2015-05-20$339,000 Active
-
2008-05-22$244,900
-
2006-08-03soldstatus $570,000
-
2005-10-04soldstatus $440,000
-
2005-02-02soldstatus $366,000
-
2003-10-29soldstatus $260,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,249 · $604/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,300 · $692/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,051/yr (+$88/mo · 14.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $87,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$56,015
- − Property taxes
- −$7,249
- − Insurance
- −$6,824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,960
- − Management
- −$6,960
- − Depreciation
- −$29,091
- Taxable loss
- −$26,099
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,264
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Homestead
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #158
- US rank
- #2408
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 191,470
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,795
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 37% White 32% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 44% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Spanish 65%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.80%
- Current HPI
- 672.14
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+284.6% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-25 Price Changed $999,990 MARMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $1,019,990 MARMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $1,019,990 MARMLS
- 2025-07-06 Listed $1,099,990 MARMLS
- 2025-05-20 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-04-09 Price Changed $1,189,990 MARMLS
- 2025-02-24 Listed $1,239,990 MARMLS
- 2025-01-29 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-12-19 Price Changed $1,249,990 MARMLS
- 2024-08-21 Price Changed $1,299,990 MARMLS
- 2024-07-30 Listed $1,350,000 MARMLS
- 2015-08-07 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2015-05-20 Listed $339,000 MARMLS
- 2008-05-22 Listed $244,900 MARMLS
- 2006-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $570,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
- 2005-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $366,000 Public Records
- 2003-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $7,249 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…