11312 Covered Bridge Rd · Brookwood, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming opportunity awaits! This cozy little home sits on nearly an acre of land, offering endless potential with a touch of TLC. The property includes 2 car garage and multiple buildings, including a storm shelter in one of them. Whether you're looking for investment or to create your dream space, this gem is ready for your vision! The home next door is available also and would work for multi family compound! All of property is fenced!
Key facts
- Storm shelter
- Multiple buildings
- 0.93 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#290 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, schools F.
- Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 355 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 355 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.99%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $156,612
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -7.41%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-8,405
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $12,180
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35444
- Home prices YoY
- -12.4%
- Active inventory
- 68
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,568 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $237
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $337 | -5% $287 | +0% $237 | +5% $186 | +10% $136 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $113 | -5% $175 | +0% $237 | +5% $299 | +10% $360 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $310 | -0.5pp $273 | base $237 | +0.5pp $199 | +1.0pp $161 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 441-char remark
Show marketing remark (441 chars)
Charming opportunity awaits! This cozy little home sits on nearly an acre of land, offering endless potential with a touch of TLC. The property includes 2 car garage and multiple buildings, including a storm shelter in one of them. Whether you're looking for investment or to create your dream space, this gem is ready for your vision! The home next door is available also and would work for multi family compound! All of property is fenced!
-
2025-12-30status Active 441-char remark
Show marketing remark (441 chars)
Charming opportunity awaits! This cozy little home sits on nearly an acre of land, offering endless potential with a touch of TLC. The property includes 2 car garage and multiple buildings, including a storm shelter in one of them. Whether you're looking for investment or to create your dream space, this gem is ready for your vision! The home next door is available also and would work for multi family compound! All of property is fenced!
-
2025-11-05status Pending 441-char remark
Show marketing remark (441 chars)
Charming opportunity awaits! This cozy little home sits on nearly an acre of land, offering endless potential with a touch of TLC. The property includes 2 car garage and multiple buildings, including a storm shelter in one of them. Whether you're looking for investment or to create your dream space, this gem is ready for your vision! The home next door is available also and would work for multi family compound! All of property is fenced!
-
2025-08-19price $145,000 441-char remark
Show marketing remark (441 chars)
Charming opportunity awaits! This cozy little home sits on nearly an acre of land, offering endless potential with a touch of TLC. The property includes 2 car garage and multiple buildings, including a storm shelter in one of them. Whether you're looking for investment or to create your dream space, this gem is ready for your vision! The home next door is available also and would work for multi family compound! All of property is fenced!
-
2025-03-28$160,000 Active 441-char remark
Show marketing remark (441 chars)
Charming opportunity awaits! This cozy little home sits on nearly an acre of land, offering endless potential with a touch of TLC. The property includes 2 car garage and multiple buildings, including a storm shelter in one of them. Whether you're looking for investment or to create your dream space, this gem is ready for your vision! The home next door is available also and would work for multi family compound! All of property is fenced!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,815
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,505
- − Management
- −$1,505
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $564
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$135
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,704/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathroom, and paint the interior walls. The exterior siding also needs minor attention. With these updates, the home's value can be significantly increased.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and in need of replacement
- Minor exterior siding — some discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — outdated fixtures would deter potential buyers
- Both paint interior walls — painting interior walls would improve the home's appearance and value
- Resale replace exterior siding — new siding would improve the home's curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · outdated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · some discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would attract more buyers ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — outdated fixtures would deter potential buyers ↑
- Both paint interior walls — painting interior walls would improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Resale replace exterior siding — new siding would improve the home's curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscaloosa County
- NCES district ID
- 0103390
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,000
- Composite
- 28.88/100
- National rank
- #6641
- State rank
- #47 of 129 in AL
Livability — Brookwood
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #290
- US rank
- #18765
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brookwood, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,047
Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,293 people
- By 2030
- 240,551 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 263,856 · +15.6%
- By 2050
- 286,491 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 335,783 · +47.1%
- By 2100
- 370,520 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.81%
- Current HPI
- 181.4965
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-9.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — WAMLS
- 2025-12-30 Relisted — WAMLS
- 2025-11-05 Pending — WAMLS
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $145,000 WAMLS
- 2025-03-28 Listed $160,000 WAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…