2415 Memorial Park Dr · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- Cash flow +10.8/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$304,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely turn-key, move-in ready property offers both convenience and comfort with easy access to the Crescent City Connection. This 4 bedroom, 2 full bath home features an open floor plan with a charming corner fireplace anchoring the great room, creating a warm and inviting space for everyday living and entertaining. Special ceiling treatments throughout add character and architectural interest. The enormous kitchen offers an abundance of counter space, making it ideal for cooking, gathering, and hosting. Durable vinyl plank flooring adds both style and easy maintenance throughout much of the home. The spacious primary suite features a relaxing bath with separate tub and shower, offering a true retreat at the end of the day. Step outside to a concrete rear patio, perfect for outdoor enjoyment and entertaining
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Enormous kitchen
- Turn-key property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $304k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-203 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $268k (11.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (29.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,135/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 2240% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $200k; list at $304k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.93%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $363,537
- List price
- $304,000
- Delta
- -16.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3011 Memorial Park Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,025 (-4%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $128 | 59 |
| 2931 Behrman Hwy | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 | 2,380 (+12%) | 6mo | $399,000 | $168 | 52 |
| 3052 Behrman Hwy | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,902 (-10%) | 9mo | $131,000 | $69 | 50 |
| 3821 Indiana St | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,327 (+10%) | 12mo | $365,000 | $157 | 49 |
| 105 Amapola Cir | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 2,107 (-0%) | 20mo | $223,500 | $106 | 49 |
| 208 Amapola Cir | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,932 (-9%) | 1mo | $279,000 | $144 | 46 |
| 203 Holmes Blvd | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,819 (-14%) | 0mo | $311,000 | $171 | 44 |
| 201 Holmes Blvd | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,819 (-14%) | 4mo | $304,900 | $168 | 41 |
| 3153 Elmwood Park Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,979 (-6%) | 14mo | $360,000 | $182 | 38 |
| 239 Holmes Blvd | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,819 (-14%) | 13mo | $310,900 | $171 | 32 |
| 245 Holmes Blvd | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,819 (-14%) | 14mo | $315,900 | $174 | 31 |
| 243 Holmes Blvd | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 | 1,821 (-14%) | 14mo | $319,785 | $176 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-68,550
- Equity at exit
- $45,327
- IRR
- -29.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.19×
- Total profit
- $-100,927
- Equity at exit
- $26,284
Cash invested: $85,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70114
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,135 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,594
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,232/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $-203
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,000
- Closing costs
- $9,120
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2320 Mardi Gras Blvd New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 1d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1774 Pace Blvd New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1684 Lauradale Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 21 Carriage Ln New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,000 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1825 Murl St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2484 | $1,750 | $0.70 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 300 Terry Pkwy Unit C Terrytown, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1532 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1414 Sumner St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,450 | $0.81 | 16d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3441 Catalina Dr New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,450 | $1.52 | 11d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 513 Park Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 517 Diplomat St Terrytown, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 127 Willow Dr Gretna, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2250 | $2,200 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 127 Willow Dr Gretna, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2250 | $2,300 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $304,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $304,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $304,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $304,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $304,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $304,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $304,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $304,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $304,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $304,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $304,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $304,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $304,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $304,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $314,000 824-char remark
Show marketing remark (824 chars)
Completely turn-key, move-in ready property offers both convenience and comfort with easy access to the Crescent City Connection. This 4 bedroom, 2 full bath home features an open floor plan with a charming corner fireplace anchoring the great room, creating a warm and inviting space for everyday living and entertaining. Special ceiling treatments throughout add character and architectural interest. The enormous kitchen offers an abundance of counter space, making it ideal for cooking, gathering, and hosting. Durable vinyl plank flooring adds both style and easy maintenance throughout much of the home. The spacious primary suite features a relaxing bath with separate tub and shower, offering a true retreat at the end of the day. Step outside to a concrete rear patio, perfect for outdoor enjoyment and entertaining
-
2026-05-01price $314,000 824-char remark
Show marketing remark (824 chars)
Completely turn-key, move-in ready property offers both convenience and comfort with easy access to the Crescent City Connection. This 4 bedroom, 2 full bath home features an open floor plan with a charming corner fireplace anchoring the great room, creating a warm and inviting space for everyday living and entertaining. Special ceiling treatments throughout add character and architectural interest. The enormous kitchen offers an abundance of counter space, making it ideal for cooking, gathering, and hosting. Durable vinyl plank flooring adds both style and easy maintenance throughout much of the home. The spacious primary suite features a relaxing bath with separate tub and shower, offering a true retreat at the end of the day. Step outside to a concrete rear patio, perfect for outdoor enjoyment and entertaining
-
2026-04-16$315,000 Active 824-char remark
Show marketing remark (824 chars)
Completely turn-key, move-in ready property offers both convenience and comfort with easy access to the Crescent City Connection. This 4 bedroom, 2 full bath home features an open floor plan with a charming corner fireplace anchoring the great room, creating a warm and inviting space for everyday living and entertaining. Special ceiling treatments throughout add character and architectural interest. The enormous kitchen offers an abundance of counter space, making it ideal for cooking, gathering, and hosting. Durable vinyl plank flooring adds both style and easy maintenance throughout much of the home. The spacious primary suite features a relaxing bath with separate tub and shower, offering a true retreat at the end of the day. Step outside to a concrete rear patio, perfect for outdoor enjoyment and entertaining
-
2026-04-16$315,000 Active 824-char remark
Show marketing remark (824 chars)
Completely turn-key, move-in ready property offers both convenience and comfort with easy access to the Crescent City Connection. This 4 bedroom, 2 full bath home features an open floor plan with a charming corner fireplace anchoring the great room, creating a warm and inviting space for everyday living and entertaining. Special ceiling treatments throughout add character and architectural interest. The enormous kitchen offers an abundance of counter space, making it ideal for cooking, gathering, and hosting. Durable vinyl plank flooring adds both style and easy maintenance throughout much of the home. The spacious primary suite features a relaxing bath with separate tub and shower, offering a true retreat at the end of the day. Step outside to a concrete rear patio, perfect for outdoor enjoyment and entertaining
-
2006-12-18soldstatus $200,000
-
2006-12-15soldstatus $200,000
-
2006-05-16$199,900
-
2005-03-04soldstatus $238,500
-
2004-11-08$204,900
-
2004-11-08$204,900
-
1985-07-25soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,232 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,672 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- +$440/yr (+$37/mo · 35.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,029
- − Property taxes
- −$1,232
- − Insurance
- −$2,318
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,050
- − Management
- −$2,050
- − Depreciation
- −$8,844
- Taxable loss
- −$7,898
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,895
- After-tax cash flow
- $-541/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,659
- Household income
- $43,493
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2240.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.56%
- Current HPI
- 149.0172
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.72%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1644.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $314,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $314,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-16 Listed $315,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-16 Listed $315,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2006-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2006-12-15 Sold (MLS) $200,000 GSREIN
- 2006-05-16 Listed $199,900 GSREIN
- 2005-03-04 Sold (MLS) $238,500 GSREIN
- 2004-11-08 Listed $204,900 GSREIN
- 2004-11-08 Listed $204,900 AcadianaMLS
- 1985-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,232 · -6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…