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16770 Greenlawn St
B+ Composite 75.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

16770 Greenlawn St · Detroit, MI 48221
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,119 sqft · Townhouse public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1928 5,227 sqft lot $57/sqft · 39% below area Est $196k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Full rehab opportunity. Spacious two-unit brick colonial in Fitzgerald/Marygrove with 2,100 sq ft. Major work needed. Ideal for investors or contractors. Sold strictly as is.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1928
  • Listed 44 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as residential, single-family
  • Financial info: Tax information not included
  • HOA & community: HOA details not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Security details not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Brick construction; Year built not provided
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 126.5 (0.12 acres); No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $116,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.46%
Cash-on-cash
18.45%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$195,747
List price
$120,000
Delta
-38.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$14,232
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$57,991
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48221

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
349
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,704 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$516

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $599 -5% $558 +0% $516 +5% $475 +10% $434
Rent -10% $382 -5% $449 +0% $516 +5% $584 +10% $651
Rate -1.0pp $577 -0.5pp $547 base $516 +0.5pp $485 +1.0pp $454

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1577 $1,500 $0.95 45d 1 0.36mi
17530 Roselawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 25d 1 0.36mi
16211 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2168 $1,945 $0.90 0d 1 0.53mi
16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1516 $1,400 $0.92 21d 1 0.57mi
15756 Ohio St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 1934 $1,700 $0.88 25d 1 0.65mi
15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,275 $0.85 25d 1 0.74mi
16503 Linwood St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2415 $1,800 $0.75 5d 1 1.19mi
16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1653 $1,450 $0.88 45d 1 1.27mi
15537 Normandy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2626 $1,400 $0.53 45d 1 1.43mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 45d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $120,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $120,000 Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Full rehab opportunity. Spacious two-unit brick colonial in Fitzgerald/Marygrove with 2,100 sq ft. Major work needed. Ideal for investors or contractors. Sold strictly as is.

  16. 2026-05-08
    listed $120,000 Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Full rehab opportunity. Spacious two-unit brick colonial in Fitzgerald/Marygrove with 2,100 sq ft. Major work needed. Ideal for investors or contractors. Sold strictly as is.

  17. 2026-05-01
    historical $120,000 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Full rehab opportunity. Spacious two-unit brick colonial in Fitzgerald/Marygrove with 2,100 sq ft. Major work needed. Ideal for investors or contractors. Sold strictly as is.

  18. 2019-09-19
    soldstatus $108,000
  19. 2017-01-20
    soldstatus $27,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Duplex is in a good neighborhood. House needs a full rehab. Would be perfect for an investor, or someone interested in dedicating time & work to this home!

  20. 2016-12-16
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Duplex is in a good neighborhood. House needs a full rehab. Would be perfect for an investor, or someone interested in dedicating time & work to this home!

  21. 2016-12-16
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Duplex is in a good neighborhood. House needs a full rehab. Would be perfect for an investor, or someone interested in dedicating time & work to this home!

  22. 2016-12-02
    listed $25,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Duplex is in a good neighborhood. House needs a full rehab. Would be perfect for an investor, or someone interested in dedicating time & work to this home!

  23. 2016-12-02
    listed $25,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Duplex is in a good neighborhood. House needs a full rehab. Would be perfect for an investor, or someone interested in dedicating time & work to this home!

  24. 2015-10-22
    soldstatus $31,000 Sold
  25. 2015-10-22
    soldstatus $31,000
  26. 2015-09-01
    historical
  27. 2015-08-07
    listed $34,900 Active
  28. 2015-08-07
    listed $34,900
  29. 2007-12-05
    soldstatus $110,000
  30. 2007-04-25
    soldstatus $13,000
  31. 2007-03-27
    historical
  32. 2007-01-03
    listed $17,900
  33. 2004-02-19
    soldstatus $82,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,442
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,635
− Management
−$1,635
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$4,559
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,094
After-tax cash flow
$5,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
41,392
Household income
$57,878
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1646.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -433.14%
Current HPI
280.5434
Rent YoY
▲ 3.44%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.3% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Coming Soon $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
  • 2017-01-20 Sold (MLS) $27,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-12-16 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-12-16 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2016-12-02 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-12-02 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-10-22 Sold (MLS) $31,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-10-22 Sold (MLS) $31,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-09-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-08-07 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-08-07 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2007-04-25 Sold (MLS) $13,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-03-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-01-03 Listed $17,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,136 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…