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2620 Quail Ave
D Composite 43.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$195,000

2620 Quail Ave · Altoona, PA 16602
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,600 sqft · SingleFamily · 207 Days on market
Built 1926 8,276 sqft lot $75/sqft · 13% below area Est $224k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large 5 bed all brick home located on Quail Ave. in Altoona. large rooms, eat-in kitchen. .. step down family room. 3 bedrooms on the 2nd floor, 2 bedrooms on the 3rd floor. Full baths on both floors. Walk out the back to the carport/ garage. .. driveway is open to rear ally. Nice sized fenced yard. .. .. Don't miss this convenietly located home.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • All brick home
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

ALL BRICK HOMEEAT-IN KITCHENSTEP DOWN FAMILY ROOMFENCED YARDCONVENIENTLY LOCATED HOME

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-781/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (5.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (15.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Altoona Area Jr Hs (math 21% / reading 45%, grade F, #346 of 512 statewide, top 69%, 1,727 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $195k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $164,970 (15.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.43%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$223,585
List price
$195,000
Delta
-12.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3505 Baker Blvd 0.67mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,595 (-0%) 22mo $263,000 $101 45
36 Union Ave 0.55mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,835 (+9%) 20mo $237,500 $84 35
3504 Fort Roberdeau Ave 0.63mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,800 (+8%) 22mo $325,000 $116 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-35,708
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-36,282
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16602

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$265 /mo · $3,174/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$-65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,732
Max offer price $183,496
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $45 -5% $-10 +0% $-65 +5% $-120 +10% $-176
Rent -10% $-195 -5% $-130 +0% $-65 +5% $0 +10% $65
Rate -1.0pp $33 -0.5pp $-16 base $-65 +0.5pp $-116 +1.0pp $-167

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $195,000 Pending 207 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 207 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 206 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $195,000 Active 203 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 202 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    price $195,000 Active 201 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 201 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 200 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 199 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $225,000 Active 198 DOM
  11. 2026-05-01
    price $225,000 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Large 5 bed all brick home located on Quail Ave. in Altoona. large rooms, eat-in kitchen. .. step down family room. 3 bedrooms on the 2nd floor, 2 bedrooms on the 3rd floor. Full baths on both floors. Walk out the back to the carport/ garage. .. driveway is open to rear ally. Nice sized fenced yard. .. .. Don't miss this convenietly located home.

  12. 2026-03-10
    price $239,000 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Large 5 bed all brick home located on Quail Ave. in Altoona. large rooms, eat-in kitchen. .. step down family room. 3 bedrooms on the 2nd floor, 2 bedrooms on the 3rd floor. Full baths on both floors. Walk out the back to the carport/ garage. .. driveway is open to rear ally. Nice sized fenced yard. .. .. Don't miss this convenietly located home.

  13. 2025-12-09
    price $249,000 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Large 5 bed all brick home located on Quail Ave. in Altoona. large rooms, eat-in kitchen. .. step down family room. 3 bedrooms on the 2nd floor, 2 bedrooms on the 3rd floor. Full baths on both floors. Walk out the back to the carport/ garage. .. driveway is open to rear ally. Nice sized fenced yard. .. .. Don't miss this convenietly located home.

  14. 2025-11-12
    listed $269,000 Active 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Large 5 bed all brick home located on Quail Ave. in Altoona. large rooms, eat-in kitchen. .. step down family room. 3 bedrooms on the 2nd floor, 2 bedrooms on the 3rd floor. Full baths on both floors. Walk out the back to the carport/ garage. .. driveway is open to rear ally. Nice sized fenced yard. .. .. Don't miss this convenietly located home.

  15. 1981-07-01
    soldstatus $62,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,174 · $265/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,174 · $265/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,796
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$3,174
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,584
− Management
−$1,584
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$4,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$988
After-tax cash flow
$206/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Altoona Area SD
NCES district ID
4202340
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$38,465
Composite
30.85/100
National rank
#6130
State rank
#406 of 539 in PA

Livability — Altoona

Score
79/100
State rank
#237
US rank
#2060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Altoona, PA
County
Blair County · 59,867 people
City population
59,867
Metro
Altoona, PA
Population (ZIP)
26,352
Household income
$55,046
Rent vs Own
32.7% rent · 67.3% own
Severe rent burden
740.0

Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
121,571 people
By 2030
117,966 · -3.0%
By 2040
109,174 · -10.2%
By 2050
99,542 · -18.1%
By 2075
76,775 · -36.8%
By 2100
54,326 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blair

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.37%
Current HPI
212.2268
Rent YoY
Metro
Altoona, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+260.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $225,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $239,000 AHARMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $249,000 AHARMLS
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $269,000 AHARMLS
  • 1981-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,174 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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