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216 Oakland Dr
D- Composite 35.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

216 Oakland Dr · Fayetteville, NC 28301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 932 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 181 Days on market
Built 1942 9,148 sqft lot Est $114k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 3 bedroom home in a convenient location with roof installed in 2024. This property features a functional layout, easy-maintenance, and a bright living area that makes the space feel warm and inviting. The generous lot offers room to garden, play, or expand your outdoor vision. Ideal for first time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for an affordable property with solid updates. Close to shopping, dining, and major roadways for effortless everyday living. Tenant in place makes this a wonderful investment.

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Close to dining
  • Close to shopping

Tags

ROOF INSTALLED IN 2024GENEROUS LOTCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO DININGCLOSE TO MAJOR ROADWAYS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes all rooms — specific bedroom count not provided)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Propane heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer; Dryer; Washer/Dryer stacked

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($373/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (13.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Margaret Willis Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,331 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 299 students, 99% FRL); R Max Abbott Middle (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #251 of 475 statewide, top 54%, 759 students, 99% FRL); Terry Sanford High (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #306 of 535 statewide, top 57%, 1,224 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 55% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,741 (13.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.95%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$113,704
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1101 Fontana St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,014 (+9%) 1mo $85,000 $84 71
1207 Hillsboro St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 830 (-11%) 2mo $150,000 $181 69
1406 Edgecombe Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 896 (-4%) 3mo $85,000 $95 69
218 Langdon St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,012 (+9%) 6mo $134,000 $132 62
310 Brookwood Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 970 (+4%) 8mo $50,100 $52 60
151 Kensington Cir 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 857 (-8%) 5mo $57,500 $67 58
511 Donovan St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,050 (+13%) 14mo $128,000 $122 54
218 Sunset Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,004 (+8%) 6mo $70,000 $70 53
822 E Orange St 0.60mi 3/1.0 863 (-7%) 13mo $35,000 $41 49
805 Minurva Ct 0.71mi 3/1.0 864 (-7%) 14mo $150,000 $174 43
1601 Minurva Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 864 (-7%) 14mo $135,000 $156 42
140 Kensington Cir 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-14%) 10mo $131,500 $164 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-20,093
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-12,466
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28301

Home prices YoY
-12.5%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,217 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,665/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,178
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $110 -5% $71 +0% $31 +5% $-9 +10% $-48
Rent -10% $-65 -5% $-17 +0% $31 +5% $79 +10% $127
Rate -1.0pp $102 -0.5pp $67 base $31 +0.5pp $-5 +1.0pp $-42

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
307 Hawthorne Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 886 $1,125 $1.27 15d 1 0.10mi
282 Windsor Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 855 $1,000 $1.17 25d 1 0.15mi
113 Mullins Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,025 $1.02 25d 1 0.31mi
112 Quincy St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,320 $1.22 15d 1 0.33mi
122 Kensington Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 856 $1,250 $1.46 25d 1 0.39mi
1608 Fayette Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $875 $0.97 25d 1 0.45mi
1608 Fayette Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $875 $0.97 15d 1 0.45mi
302 Brookwood Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 979 $1,250 $1.28 15d 1 0.54mi
1847 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 15d 1 0.63mi
1847 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 25d 1 0.63mi
1606 Gibson St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.5 1014 $1,000 $0.99 25d 1 0.64mi
398 Bainbridge Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 25d 1 0.79mi
398 Bainbridge Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 900 $990 $1.10 15d 1 0.79mi
100 Sycamore Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $875 $1.09 25d 1 0.80mi
2061 Osceola Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 928 $1,300 $1.40 25d 1 0.83mi
2015 Blake St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 25d 1 0.87mi
1704 Newark Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 25d 1 0.87mi
110 Facility Dr #2015 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 25d 1 0.87mi
806 Lakeland St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 25d 1 0.88mi
620 Forest Rd Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $975 $0.97 25d 2 1.15mi
1021 W Rowan St Unit H Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 930 $850 $0.91 25d 1 1.23mi
1261 Thelbert Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 768 $1,100 $1.43 15d 1 1.27mi
1108 Norwood St Unit A Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 856 $1,025 $1.20 25d 1 1.33mi
2212 Murchison Rd Unit B Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 564 $1,099 $1.95 15d 1 1.36mi
2212 Murchison Rd Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 564 $1,250 $2.22 25d 1 1.36mi
216 Brainerd Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 818 $1,150 $1.41 25d 1 1.37mi
536 Pearl St Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.0 1101 $1,349 $1.23 15d 1 1.39mi
450 Hay St Fayetteville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 799 $1,745 $2.18 15d 3 1.41mi
1100 Clarendon St #402 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1073 $1,400 $1.30 23d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-04-12
    price $139,900
  2. 2026-03-16
    price $145,000
  3. 2025-12-10
    historical $1,000
  4. 2025-12-02
    price $1,000
  5. 2025-11-26
    listed $150,000 Active
  6. 2025-11-21
    price $1,050
  7. 2025-09-26
    listed $1,100
  8. 2024-10-02
    listed $150,000 Active
  9. 2024-10-02
    listed $150,000
  10. 2024-07-01
    listed $150,000 Active
  11. 2024-05-04
    historical $1,100
  12. 2024-05-01
    price $1,100
  13. 2024-03-29
    listed $1,200
  14. 2024-03-29
    historical $1,200
  15. 2024-03-29
    listed $1,200
  16. 2024-03-21
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed
  17. 2024-03-21
    soldstatus $135,000
  18. 2024-03-09
    status Pending
  19. 2024-03-09
    historical
  20. 2024-03-01
    listed $140,000 Active
  21. 2023-12-20
    soldstatus $62,500
  22. 2023-10-19
    price $110,000
  23. 2023-09-19
    listed $118,000 Active
  24. 2022-05-04
    soldstatus $65,000
  25. 2022-05-04
    soldstatus $65,000
  26. 2022-03-30
    soldstatus $60,000
  27. 2022-03-29
    listed $60,000
  28. 2022-03-07
    listed $65,000
  29. 2022-02-02
    soldstatus $60,000
  30. 2020-03-16
    soldstatus $31,500
  31. 2020-02-25
    listed $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,665 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,665 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,609
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,665
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,169
− Management
−$1,169
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$2,000
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$480
After-tax cash flow
$852/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
16,798
Household income
$39,198
Rent vs Own
64.7% rent · 35.3% own
Severe rent burden
1389.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% White 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.92%
Current HPI
265.98
Rent YoY
▲ 3.49%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+459.6% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $139,900 LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $145,000 LPRMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Rental Removed $1,000 TMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $1,000 TMLS
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $150,000 LPRMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $1,050 TMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Listed for Rent $1,100 TMLS
  • 2024-10-02 Listed $150,000 LPRMLS
  • 2024-10-02 Listed $150,000 LPRMLS
  • 2024-07-01 Listed $150,000 LPRMLS
  • 2024-05-04 Rental Removed $1,100 TMLS
  • 2024-05-01 Price Changed $1,100 TMLS
  • 2024-03-29 Listed for Rent $1,200 TMLS
  • 2024-03-29 Rental Removed $1,200 LPRMLS
  • 2024-03-29 Listed for Rent $1,200 LPRMLS
  • 2024-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2024-03-21 Sold (MLS) $135,000 LPRMLS
  • 2024-03-09 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2024-03-09 Delisted LPRMLS
  • 2024-03-01 Listed $140,000 LPRMLS
  • 2023-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
  • 2023-10-19 Price Changed $110,000 LPRMLS
  • 2023-09-19 Listed $118,000 LPRMLS
  • 2022-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-04 Sold (MLS) $65,000 LPRMLS
  • 2022-03-30 Sold (MLS) $60,000 LPRMLS
  • 2022-03-29 Listed $60,000 LPRMLS
  • 2022-03-07 Listed $65,000 LPRMLS
  • 2022-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2020-03-16 Sold (MLS) $31,500 LPRMLS
  • 2020-02-25 Listed $25,000 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+10.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,665 · +79.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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