1917 Chapman St · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE IMPROVEMENT + $5000 CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE on this conveniently located 5 bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a covered front porch and a spacious living room with a recessed ceiling and laminate flooring. The kitchen and dining area offer a functional layout ideal for daily living, plus gas stove/oven for the chef! Also featuring a storage area. DON'T WAIT!!! CALL a Realtor NOW to schedule your private showing today!!!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Recessed ceiling
- Laminate flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.50%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $194,785
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -20.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1906 Chapman St | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,625 (+3%) | 14mo | $219,900 | $135 | 76 |
| 2021 Field Ave | 0.11mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,520 (-4%) | 10mo | $169,900 | $112 | 74 |
| 2115 Chapman St | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,606 (+1%) | 16mo | $132,000 | $82 | 69 |
| 1905 N Harrison St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (+4%) | 16mo | $214,000 | $130 | 58 |
| 2760 Eunice Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,456 (-8%) | 14mo | $210,000 | $144 | 53 |
| 2315 Stanton St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,655 (+4%) | 22mo | $135,000 | $82 | 50 |
| 2645 Raney St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,604 (+1%) | 9mo | $189,000 | $118 | 49 |
| 2406 Glenwood Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,391 (-12%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $143 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $124,066
- Equity at exit
- $139,636
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 9.14×
- Total profit
- $353,228
- Equity at exit
- $301,131
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76901
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,140 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$289 /mo · $3,462/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $525
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $612 | -5% $568 | +0% $525 | +5% $481 | +10% $437 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $355 | -5% $440 | +0% $525 | +5% $609 | +10% $694 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $603 | -0.5pp $564 | base $525 | +0.5pp $484 | +1.0pp $443 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2425 Waco St San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 417 N Jefferson St San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1940 | $2,350 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-03-17price $155,000 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT + $5000 CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE on this conveniently located 5 bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a covered front porch and a spacious living room with a recessed ceiling and laminate flooring. The kitchen and dining area offer a functional layout ideal for daily living, plus gas stove/oven for the chef! Also featuring a storage area. DON'T WAIT!!! CALL a Realtor NOW to schedule your private showing today!!!
-
2026-02-19status Active 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT + $5000 CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE on this conveniently located 5 bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a covered front porch and a spacious living room with a recessed ceiling and laminate flooring. The kitchen and dining area offer a functional layout ideal for daily living, plus gas stove/oven for the chef! Also featuring a storage area. DON'T WAIT!!! CALL a Realtor NOW to schedule your private showing today!!!
-
2026-02-13status Pending 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT + $5000 CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE on this conveniently located 5 bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a covered front porch and a spacious living room with a recessed ceiling and laminate flooring. The kitchen and dining area offer a functional layout ideal for daily living, plus gas stove/oven for the chef! Also featuring a storage area. DON'T WAIT!!! CALL a Realtor NOW to schedule your private showing today!!!
-
2026-02-10$165,000 Active 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT + $5000 CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE on this conveniently located 5 bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a covered front porch and a spacious living room with a recessed ceiling and laminate flooring. The kitchen and dining area offer a functional layout ideal for daily living, plus gas stove/oven for the chef! Also featuring a storage area. DON'T WAIT!!! CALL a Realtor NOW to schedule your private showing today!!!
-
2025-01-07price $185,000
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2024-11-18status Active
-
2024-11-18price $190,000
-
2024-09-13$195,000 Active
-
2022-04-11$140,000 Active
-
2014-02-27soldstatus
-
2014-01-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,462 · $289/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,462 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,677
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$3,462
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,054
- − Management
- −$2,054
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $4,141
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$994
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,831
- Household income
- $69,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1034.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.96%
- Current HPI
- 798.58
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.78%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+10.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $155,000 SAAR TX
- 2026-02-19 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2026-02-13 Pending — SAAR TX
- 2026-02-10 Listed $165,000 SAAR TX
- 2025-01-07 Price Changed $185,000 SAAR TX
- 2024-11-18 Relisted — SAAR TX
- 2024-11-18 Price Changed $190,000 SAAR TX
- 2024-09-13 Listed $195,000 SAAR TX
- 2022-04-11 Listed $140,000 SAAR TX
- 2014-02-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-01-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,462 · +23.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…