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1917 Chapman St
A Composite 85.33
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$155,000

1917 Chapman St · San Angelo, TX 76901
5 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,584 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 123 Days on market
Built 1960 7,666 sqft lot $98/sqft · 10% below area Est $195k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE IMPROVEMENT + $5000 CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE on this conveniently located 5 bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a covered front porch and a spacious living room with a recessed ceiling and laminate flooring. The kitchen and dining area offer a functional layout ideal for daily living, plus gas stove/oven for the chef! Also featuring a storage area. DON'T WAIT!!! CALL a Realtor NOW to schedule your private showing today!!!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Recessed ceiling
  • Laminate flooring

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMRECESSED CEILINGLAMINATE FLOORINGFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTGAS STOVE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
10.35%
Cash-on-cash
14.50%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$194,785
List price
$155,000
Delta
-20.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1906 Chapman St 0.04mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,625 (+3%) 14mo $219,900 $135 76
2021 Field Ave 0.11mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,520 (-4%) 10mo $169,900 $112 74
2115 Chapman St 0.17mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,606 (+1%) 16mo $132,000 $82 69
1905 N Harrison St 0.31mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,648 (+4%) 16mo $214,000 $130 58
2760 Eunice Dr 0.32mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,456 (-8%) 14mo $210,000 $144 53
2315 Stanton St 0.35mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,655 (+4%) 22mo $135,000 $82 50
2645 Raney St 0.74mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,604 (+1%) 9mo $189,000 $118 49
2406 Glenwood Dr 0.44mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,391 (-12%) 6mo $199,000 $143 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.4%
Equity multiple
3.86×
Total profit
$124,066
Equity at exit
$139,636
10-year hold
IRR
32.4%
Equity multiple
9.14×
Total profit
$353,228
Equity at exit
$301,131

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76901

Home prices YoY
6.4%
Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
331
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,140 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$289 /mo · $3,462/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$525

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,476
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $612 -5% $568 +0% $525 +5% $481 +10% $437
Rent -10% $355 -5% $440 +0% $525 +5% $609 +10% $694
Rate -1.0pp $603 -0.5pp $564 base $525 +0.5pp $484 +1.0pp $443

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2425 Waco St San Angelo, TX 4.0 1.0 1225 $1,395 $1.14 45d 1 1.16mi
417 N Jefferson St San Angelo, TX 4.0 2.0 1940 $2,350 $1.21 22d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $155,000 Active 123 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 122 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 121 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 120 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $155,000 Active 117 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 116 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $155,000 Active 114 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 113 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 112 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 111 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 104 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $155,000 Active 103 DOM
  16. 2026-03-17
    price $155,000 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVEMENT + $5000 CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE on this conveniently located 5 bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a covered front porch and a spacious living room with a recessed ceiling and laminate flooring. The kitchen and dining area offer a functional layout ideal for daily living, plus gas stove/oven for the chef! Also featuring a storage area. DON'T WAIT!!! CALL a Realtor NOW to schedule your private showing today!!!

  17. 2026-02-19
    status Active 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVEMENT + $5000 CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE on this conveniently located 5 bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a covered front porch and a spacious living room with a recessed ceiling and laminate flooring. The kitchen and dining area offer a functional layout ideal for daily living, plus gas stove/oven for the chef! Also featuring a storage area. DON'T WAIT!!! CALL a Realtor NOW to schedule your private showing today!!!

  18. 2026-02-13
    status Pending 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVEMENT + $5000 CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE on this conveniently located 5 bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a covered front porch and a spacious living room with a recessed ceiling and laminate flooring. The kitchen and dining area offer a functional layout ideal for daily living, plus gas stove/oven for the chef! Also featuring a storage area. DON'T WAIT!!! CALL a Realtor NOW to schedule your private showing today!!!

  19. 2026-02-10
    listed $165,000 Active 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVEMENT + $5000 CLOSING COST ASSISTANCE on this conveniently located 5 bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring a covered front porch and a spacious living room with a recessed ceiling and laminate flooring. The kitchen and dining area offer a functional layout ideal for daily living, plus gas stove/oven for the chef! Also featuring a storage area. DON'T WAIT!!! CALL a Realtor NOW to schedule your private showing today!!!

  20. 2025-01-07
    price $185,000
  21. 2024-11-18
    status Active
  22. 2024-11-18
    price $190,000
  23. 2024-09-13
    listed $195,000 Active
  24. 2022-04-11
    listed $140,000 Active
  25. 2014-02-27
    soldstatus
  26. 2014-01-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,462 · $289/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,462 · $289/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,677
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$3,462
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,054
− Management
−$2,054
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$4,141
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$994
After-tax cash flow
$5,300/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Angelo ISD
NCES district ID
4838700
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,501
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7427
State rank
#627 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Angelo

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Angelo, TX
County
Tom Green County · 113,188 people
City population
81,357
Metro
San Angelo, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,831
Household income
$69,450
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
1034.0

Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,110 people
By 2030
144,090 · +6.6%
By 2040
162,561 · +20.3%
By 2050
182,158 · +34.8%
By 2075
232,274 · +71.9%
By 2100
268,218 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (55%)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 47.96%
Current HPI
798.58
Rent YoY
▲ 5.78%
Metro
San Angelo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+10.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $155,000 SAAR TX
  • 2026-02-19 Relisted SAAR TX
  • 2026-02-13 Pending SAAR TX
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $165,000 SAAR TX
  • 2025-01-07 Price Changed $185,000 SAAR TX
  • 2024-11-18 Relisted SAAR TX
  • 2024-11-18 Price Changed $190,000 SAAR TX
  • 2024-09-13 Listed $195,000 SAAR TX
  • 2022-04-11 Listed $140,000 SAAR TX
  • 2014-02-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-01-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,462 · +23.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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