1402 W Jennifer Ln · Yuma, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 2 bed/2 bath. All landscaping was professionally done with desert landscaping in the front and a Garden of Eden in the back with orchid tree and a variety of hearty plants all on auto water. Offers both an enclosed AZ room on one side and a screened AZ room on the other side. A list of upgrades have been done since owning the property, including dual pane windows in 2016, new roof in 2017. Can view remainder of up-grades in assoc. docs. All tucked away at the end of a large cul-de-sac street.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Updated kitchen
- Az rooms
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (monthly fee $60); Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 1 total parking space; 1 covered space; Attached carport; Has attached garage; Has open parking
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Construction: Mobile home / manufactured construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Shed(s); Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Refrigerator; Microwave; Electric range
- Flooring: Laminate; Other
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating; Cooling
- Interior features: Water softener (owned); No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.9% in Yuma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D.
- Yuma Union High School District (4507) (urban): math 14% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #212 of 249 in AZ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.44%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,128
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1424 W Mia Ln | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,146 (-0%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $148 | 88 |
| 1480 W Michelle Ln | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-8%) | 2mo | $147,000 | $139 | 80 |
| 14213 S Mark Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,272 (+10%) | 11mo | $164,800 | $130 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-12,087
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,766
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85365
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 468
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,589 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,473/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$60
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $252
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $334 | -5% $293 | +0% $252 | +5% $211 | +10% $170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $126 | -5% $189 | +0% $252 | +5% $315 | +10% $377 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $325 | -0.5pp $289 | base $252 | +0.5pp $214 | +1.0pp $176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $60 · $720/yr
- Likely covers
- waterlandscaping
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $145,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-19pricedays on market $145,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 213 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-02-10price $165,000
-
2025-10-30$175,000 Active
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2024-02-07soldstatus $169,900 Closed 505-char remark
Show marketing remark (505 chars)
Great 2 bed/2 bath. All landscaping was professionally done with desert landscaping in the front and a Garden of Eden in the back with orchid tree and a variety of hearty plants all on auto water. Offers both an enclosed AZ room on one side and a screened AZ room on the other side. A list of upgrades have been done since owning the property, including dual pane windows in 2016, new roof in 2017. Can view remainder of up-grades in assoc. docs. All tucked away at the end of a large cul-de-sac street.
-
2024-01-16soldstatus $169,900
-
2023-12-05historical Active Under Contract 505-char remark
Show marketing remark (505 chars)
Great 2 bed/2 bath. All landscaping was professionally done with desert landscaping in the front and a Garden of Eden in the back with orchid tree and a variety of hearty plants all on auto water. Offers both an enclosed AZ room on one side and a screened AZ room on the other side. A list of upgrades have been done since owning the property, including dual pane windows in 2016, new roof in 2017. Can view remainder of up-grades in assoc. docs. All tucked away at the end of a large cul-de-sac street.
-
2023-12-01$169,900 Active 505-char remark
Show marketing remark (505 chars)
Great 2 bed/2 bath. All landscaping was professionally done with desert landscaping in the front and a Garden of Eden in the back with orchid tree and a variety of hearty plants all on auto water. Offers both an enclosed AZ room on one side and a screened AZ room on the other side. A list of upgrades have been done since owning the property, including dual pane windows in 2016, new roof in 2017. Can view remainder of up-grades in assoc. docs. All tucked away at the end of a large cul-de-sac street.
-
2014-07-23soldstatus $50,000 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Check out this great, fully furnished, manufactured home! Well maintained and move-in ready. Located in 55+ park, Sun Leisure Estates features a clubhouse, pool, spa, shower area, shuffleboard, library, and kitchen area.
-
2014-07-23soldstatus $50,000
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Check out this great, fully furnished, manufactured home! Well maintained and move-in ready. Located in 55+ park, Sun Leisure Estates features a clubhouse, pool, spa, shower area, shuffleboard, library, and kitchen area.
-
2014-02-10$59,000 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Check out this great, fully furnished, manufactured home! Well maintained and move-in ready. Located in 55+ park, Sun Leisure Estates features a clubhouse, pool, spa, shower area, shuffleboard, library, and kitchen area.
-
1987-12-30soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,473 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,473 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,070
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,473
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,526
- − Management
- −$1,526
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $760
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$182
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,840/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yuma Union High School District (4507)
- NCES district ID
- 0409630
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,512
- Composite
- 12.86/100
- National rank
- #9592
- State rank
- #212 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Yuma
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #6635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Yuma County · 149,809 people
- City population
- 149,809
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,775
- Household income
- $70,331
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 766.0
Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,633 people
- By 2030
- 214,114 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 217,856 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 220,276 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 222,359 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 198,880 · -6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 44% Two or more races 23% Black 2% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 43%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 36% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yuma
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.3% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+6.2 2016: R+5.5 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.03%
- Current HPI
- 242.8651
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.38%
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+266.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $165,000 YAR
- 2025-10-30 Listed $175,000 YAR
- 2024-02-07 Sold (MLS) $169,900 YAR
- 2024-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
- 2023-12-05 Contingent — YAR
- 2023-12-01 Listed $169,900 YAR
- 2014-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2014-07-23 Sold (MLS) $50,000 YAR
- 2014-02-10 Listed $59,000 YAR
- 1987-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,473 · -24.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…