208 Fairview Ave SW · Wilson, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully updated and move-in ready! This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home has been completely refreshed with modern upgrades throughout. Recent improvements include a brand-new roof, new water heater, fresh interior and exterior paint, updated flooring, and stylish fixtures that enhance both comfort and appeal. It's a great opportunity for first-time buyers or anyone looking for a turnkey home ready to enjoy from day one. Conveniently located just minutes from nearby shopping centers, you'll have quick access to everyday essentials while still enjoying a cozy residential setting.
Key facts
- Stylish fixtures
- New water heater
- Updated flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.15 acres
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story house; Site-built construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built as a site-built house
- Exterior features: Brick/mortar foundation
Interior
- Kitchen: Appliances included: Dishwasher, Electric range, Microwave, Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (heat pump); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($540/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (14.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.4% in Wilson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#374 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wilson County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #119 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Margaret Hearne Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,331 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 432 students, 99% FRL); Charles H Darden Middle (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #424 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 441 students, 99% FRL); Beddingfield High (math 57% / reading 32%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 682 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Wilson County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 580 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wilson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $165k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.17%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $163,300
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 Woodrow St S | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,445 (+2%) | 6mo | $77,000 | $53 | 77 |
| 411 Fairview Ave SW | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,378 (-3%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $40 | 73 |
| 1208 Downing St SW | 0.29mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,445 (+2%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $107 | 66 |
| 401 Stadium St SW | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,265 (-11%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $150 | 66 |
| 900 Aycock St S | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,409 (-1%) | 16mo | $40,000 | $28 | 65 |
| 601 Belmont Ave SW | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,330 (-6%) | 14mo | $152,500 | $115 | 63 |
| 504 Mosby St SW | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (+4%) | 11mo | $195,000 | $132 | 63 |
| 200 Forrest Rd W | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,240 (-13%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $117 | 58 |
| 1212 Tarboro St St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-2%) | 16mo | $206,500 | $149 | 56 |
| 905 Hood St SW | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,375 (-3%) | 12mo | $133,500 | $97 | 55 |
| 406 Denby St SW | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (-14%) | 13mo | $92,000 | $76 | 49 |
| 1204 Crawford St S | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (-8%) | 15mo | $180,000 | $138 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-17,981
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $14,227
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27893
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,405 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,582/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $45
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $138 | -5% $92 | +0% $45 | +5% $-2 | +10% $-48 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-66 | -5% $-11 | +0% $45 | +5% $101 | +10% $156 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $128 | -0.5pp $87 | base $45 | +0.5pp $2 | +1.0pp $-41 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-05-14price $164,900
-
2026-04-11price $166,900
-
2026-03-14$169,900 Active
-
2026-02-10status Active
-
2026-01-21status Pending
-
2026-01-21historical
-
2025-10-23price $169,900
-
2025-09-23price $174,900
-
2025-09-15$179,900 Active
-
2025-08-25historical
-
2025-08-06price $184,000
-
2025-07-25price $189,900
-
2025-07-16price $195,000
-
2025-06-25$200,000 Active
-
2024-11-16soldstatus $95,000 Closed
-
2024-11-15soldstatus $95,000 Closed
-
2024-11-15soldstatus $70,000
-
2024-10-30status Pending
-
2024-10-30status Pending
-
2024-10-28price $96,900
-
2024-10-14price $96,900
-
2024-10-09price $99,900
-
2024-10-09price $99,900
-
2024-10-04status Active
-
2024-10-01status Active
-
2024-10-01status Pending
-
2024-10-01status Pending
-
2024-09-27$104,900 Active
-
2024-09-04price $104,900
-
2024-08-29$119,900 Active
-
2015-09-18soldstatus $23,000
-
2006-09-27soldstatus $58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,582 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,582 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,865
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$1,582
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,349
- − Management
- −$1,349
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable loss
- −$2,274
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$546
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,086/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilson County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3705020
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,342
- Composite
- 32.64/100
- National rank
- #5665
- State rank
- #119 of 178 in NC
Livability — Wilson
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #14674
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilson, NC
- County
- Wilson County · 57,967 people
- City population
- 57,967
- Metro
- Wilson, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,512
- Household income
- $42,810
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2175.0
Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,765 people
- By 2030
- 82,492 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 81,054 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 78,610 · -5.0%
- By 2075
- 71,865 · -13.2%
- By 2100
- 62,792 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Wilson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+2.9 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+7.3 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.54%
- Current HPI
- 211.4136
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.01%
- Metro
- Wilson, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+184.3% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $164,900 TMLS
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $166,900 TMLS
- 2026-03-14 Listed $169,900 TMLS
- 2026-02-10 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-01-21 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-01-21 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $169,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $174,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-15 Listed $179,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-08-25 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $184,000 TMLS
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $189,900 TMLS
- 2025-07-16 Price Changed $195,000 TMLS
- 2025-06-25 Listed $200,000 TMLS
- 2024-11-16 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-15 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Triad MLS
- 2024-10-30 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2024-10-30 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2024-10-28 Price Changed $96,900 Triad MLS
- 2024-10-14 Price Changed $96,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-10-09 Price Changed $99,900 Triad MLS
- 2024-10-09 Price Changed $99,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-10-04 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2024-10-01 Relisted — Triad MLS
- 2024-10-01 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2024-10-01 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2024-09-27 Listed $104,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-09-04 Price Changed $104,900 Triad MLS
- 2024-08-29 Listed $119,900 Triad MLS
- 2015-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,582 · +88.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…