542 Greenville Pike · Clarion, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$39,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor alert! This 4-bed, 2-bath Clarion home on nearly ¾ of an acre offers great potential. Perfect for a flip, rental, or value-add project, it's located minutes from downtown and the university. The property is sold as-is and requires significant repairs. Please exercise caution when viewing, as entry is at your own risk.
Key facts
- 0.69 acre lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 9 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $714 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#322 in PA, #2,856 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Clarion-Limestone Area SD (rural): math 48% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #116 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 25 units permitted in Clarion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $963 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clarion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 78.46%
- DSCR
- 4.49
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 78.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.67×
- Total profit
- $40,048
- Equity at exit
- $6,742
- IRR
- 82.1%
- Equity multiple
- 9.63×
- Total profit
- $94,266
- Equity at exit
- $4,986
Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16214
- Home prices YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,245 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$205
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$49 /mo · $585/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $714
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,750
- Closing costs
- $1,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 S 6th Ave Apt D Clarion, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,245 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2025-10-17status Pending
-
2025-10-07$39,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,185
- − Property taxes
- −$585
- − Insurance
- −$195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,195
- − Management
- −$1,195
- − Depreciation
- −$1,135
- Taxable income
- $8,450
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,028
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,540/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarion-Limestone Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,876
- Composite
- 47.24/100
- National rank
- #2313
- State rank
- #116 of 539 in PA
Livability — Clarion
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #322
- US rank
- #2856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,655
Population outlook (Clarion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,796 people
- By 2030
- 36,830 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 34,113 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 31,092 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 24,200 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 18,737 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clarion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.1) · D 23.1% · R 76.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.7pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -53.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.1 2020: R+50.8 2016: R+47.4 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.47%
- Current HPI
- 141.3266
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-17 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $39,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2026): $4,696 · +189.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…