5818 Lee Jackson Hwy · Greenville, VA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.5/30.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SAVE THIS HOUSE! Tucked in a private valley with farmland all around and Blue Ridge views out front, this 1910 farmhouse is ready for resurrection. Think: metal roof, big front porch, side sleeping porch, hardwood floors, spring-fed water, and barns/outbuildings that speak to its working-farm history. Quirky and cool—its original orientation faced the old rail line (you can still hear trains drift by). ~2 acres (+/-) in the Riverheads School District. Yes, it’s a major rehab, but the payoff—equity, character, and pride—is worth it. Contractors, preservationists, and homesteaders: bring vision, tools, and a plan. RESURRECTION, indeed. Some AI rendering photos included so one can envision a finished product. .
Key facts
- Spring-fed water
- Metal roof
- Big front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (8.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (30.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#272 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Augusta County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #52 of 131 in VA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 357 units permitted in Augusta County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.16%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 12.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $353,342
- List price
- $209,000
- Delta
- -40.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 Spotswood Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 2,218 (+2%) | 13mo | $406,000 | $183 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $61,169
- Equity at exit
- $139,509
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.13×
- Total profit
- $183,259
- Equity at exit
- $260,319
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24440
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,452 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $836/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$305
- Net cashflow
- $-105
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $209,000 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $209,000 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $209,000 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $209,000 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $209,000 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $209,000 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $209,000 Active 218 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $209,000 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $209,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $209,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,000 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $209,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $209,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $209,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $215,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2025-11-25price $215,000 741-char remark
Show marketing remark (741 chars)
SAVE THIS HOUSE! Tucked in a private valley with farmland all around and Blue Ridge views out front, this 1910 farmhouse is ready for resurrection. Think: metal roof, big front porch, side sleeping porch, hardwood floors, spring-fed water, and barns/outbuildings that speak to its working-farm history. Quirky and cool—its original orientation faced the old rail line (you can still hear trains drift by). ~2 acres (+/-) in the Riverheads School District. Yes, it’s a major rehab, but the payoff—equity, character, and pride—is worth it. Contractors, preservationists, and homesteaders: bring vision, tools, and a plan. RESURRECTION, indeed. Some AI rendering photos included so one can envision a finished product. .
-
2025-11-12$235,000 Active 718-char remark
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
SAVE THIS HOUSE! Tucked in a private valley with farmland all around and Blue Ridge views out front, this 1910 farmhouse is ready for resurrection. Think: metal roof, big front porch, side sleeping porch, hardwood floors, spring-fed water, and barns/outbuildings that speak to its working-farm history. Quirky and cool--its original orientation faced the old rail line (you can still hear trains drift by). ~2 acres (+/-) in the Riverheads School District. Yes, it's a major rehab, but thepayoff--equity, character, and pride--is worth it. Contractors, preservationists, and homesteaders: bring vision, tools, and a plan. RESURRECTION, indeed. Some AIrendering photos included so one can envision a finished product. .
-
2025-11-06$235,000 Active 741-char remark
Show marketing remark (741 chars)
SAVE THIS HOUSE! Tucked in a private valley with farmland all around and Blue Ridge views out front, this 1910 farmhouse is ready for resurrection. Think: metal roof, big front porch, side sleeping porch, hardwood floors, spring-fed water, and barns/outbuildings that speak to its working-farm history. Quirky and cool—its original orientation faced the old rail line (you can still hear trains drift by). ~2 acres (+/-) in the Riverheads School District. Yes, it’s a major rehab, but the payoff—equity, character, and pride—is worth it. Contractors, preservationists, and homesteaders: bring vision, tools, and a plan. RESURRECTION, indeed. Some AI rendering photos included so one can envision a finished product. .
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $836 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,714 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$878/yr (+$73/mo · 105.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,428
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$836
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,394
- − Management
- −$1,394
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable loss
- −$5,029
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,207
- After-tax cash flow
- $-58/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Augusta County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100300
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,562
- Composite
- 53.02/100
- National rank
- #1521
- State rank
- #52 of 131 in VA
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #272
- US rank
- #9751
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,496
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,496
Population outlook (Augusta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 77,558 people
- By 2030
- 78,389 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 78,629 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 77,171 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 74,455 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 65,077 · -16.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Black 5% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Augusta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.5) · D 25.8% · R 73.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -39.9pp · 2024: -47.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.5 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+49.2 2012: R+42.1 2008: R+39.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.61%
- Current HPI
- 252.0091
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-8.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $215,000 GAAR
- 2025-11-12 Listed $235,000 RHR
- 2025-11-06 Listed $235,000 GAAR
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $836 · -16.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…