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5818 Lee Jackson Hwy
C- Composite 52.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0

$209,000

5818 Lee Jackson Hwy · Greenville, VA 24440
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,165 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 225 Days on market
Built 1910 2.00 ac lot $97/sqft · 41% below area Est $353k · 41% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SAVE THIS HOUSE! Tucked in a private valley with farmland all around and Blue Ridge views out front, this 1910 farmhouse is ready for resurrection. Think: metal roof, big front porch, side sleeping porch, hardwood floors, spring-fed water, and barns/outbuildings that speak to its working-farm history. Quirky and cool—its original orientation faced the old rail line (you can still hear trains drift by). ~2 acres (+/-) in the Riverheads School District. Yes, it’s a major rehab, but the payoff—equity, character, and pride—is worth it. Contractors, preservationists, and homesteaders: bring vision, tools, and a plan. RESURRECTION, indeed. Some AI rendering photos included so one can envision a finished product. .

Key facts

  • Spring-fed water
  • Metal roof
  • Big front porch

Tags

BLUE RIDGE VIEWSMETAL ROOFBIG FRONT PORCHSIDE SLEEPING PORCHHARDWOOD FLOORSSPRING-FED WATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (8.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (30.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#272 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Augusta County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #52 of 131 in VA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 357 units permitted in Augusta County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,231 (30.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.69%
Cash-on-cash
-2.16%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$353,342
List price
$209,000
Delta
-40.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
54 Spotswood Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 2,218 (+2%) 13mo $406,000 $183 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$61,169
Equity at exit
$139,509
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
4.13×
Total profit
$183,259
Equity at exit
$260,319

Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24440

Home prices YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,452 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,096
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $836/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$-105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,586
Max offer price $190,378
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,250
Closing costs
$6,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $209,000 Active 225 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,000 Active 224 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,000 Active 223 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,000 Active 222 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,000 Active 221 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $209,000 Active 219 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $209,000 Active 218 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $209,000 Active 216 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $209,000 Active 215 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,000 Active 214 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,000 Active 213 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $209,000 Active 210 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $209,000 Active 209 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $209,000 Active 208 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 207 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 206 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $215,000 Active 205 DOM
  18. 2025-11-25
    price $215,000 741-char remark
    Show marketing remark (741 chars)

    SAVE THIS HOUSE! Tucked in a private valley with farmland all around and Blue Ridge views out front, this 1910 farmhouse is ready for resurrection. Think: metal roof, big front porch, side sleeping porch, hardwood floors, spring-fed water, and barns/outbuildings that speak to its working-farm history. Quirky and cool—its original orientation faced the old rail line (you can still hear trains drift by). ~2 acres (+/-) in the Riverheads School District. Yes, it’s a major rehab, but the payoff—equity, character, and pride—is worth it. Contractors, preservationists, and homesteaders: bring vision, tools, and a plan. RESURRECTION, indeed. Some AI rendering photos included so one can envision a finished product. .

  19. 2025-11-12
    listed $235,000 Active 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    SAVE THIS HOUSE! Tucked in a private valley with farmland all around and Blue Ridge views out front, this 1910 farmhouse is ready for resurrection. Think: metal roof, big front porch, side sleeping porch, hardwood floors, spring-fed water, and barns/outbuildings that speak to its working-farm history. Quirky and cool--its original orientation faced the old rail line (you can still hear trains drift by). ~2 acres (+/-) in the Riverheads School District. Yes, it's a major rehab, but thepayoff--equity, character, and pride--is worth it. Contractors, preservationists, and homesteaders: bring vision, tools, and a plan. RESURRECTION, indeed. Some AIrendering photos included so one can envision a finished product. .

  20. 2025-11-06
    listed $235,000 Active 741-char remark
    Show marketing remark (741 chars)

    SAVE THIS HOUSE! Tucked in a private valley with farmland all around and Blue Ridge views out front, this 1910 farmhouse is ready for resurrection. Think: metal roof, big front porch, side sleeping porch, hardwood floors, spring-fed water, and barns/outbuildings that speak to its working-farm history. Quirky and cool—its original orientation faced the old rail line (you can still hear trains drift by). ~2 acres (+/-) in the Riverheads School District. Yes, it’s a major rehab, but the payoff—equity, character, and pride—is worth it. Contractors, preservationists, and homesteaders: bring vision, tools, and a plan. RESURRECTION, indeed. Some AI rendering photos included so one can envision a finished product. .

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$836 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,714 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$878/yr (+$73/mo · 105.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,428
− Mortgage interest
−$11,707
− Property taxes
−$836
− Insurance
−$1,045
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,394
− Management
−$1,394
− Depreciation
−$6,080
Taxable loss
−$5,029
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,207
After-tax cash flow
$-58/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Augusta County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100300
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$53,562
Composite
53.02/100
National rank
#1521
State rank
#52 of 131 in VA

Livability — Greenville

Score
68/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#9751

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
2,496
Population (ZIP)
2,496

Population outlook (Augusta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
77,558 people
By 2030
78,389 · +1.1%
By 2040
78,629 · +1.4%
By 2050
77,171 · -0.5%
By 2075
74,455 · -4.0%
By 2100
65,077 · -16.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Black 5% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Augusta

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.5) · D 25.8% · R 73.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -39.9pp · 2024: -47.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.5 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+49.2 2012: R+42.1 2008: R+39.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.61%
Current HPI
252.0091
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $215,000 GAAR
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $235,000 RHR
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $235,000 GAAR

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $836 · -16.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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