2020 Wayne St · Swissvale, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ATTN: INVESTORS! Spacious half duplex in central location. Needs complete updating but will make a sweet easy rental. Property sold in strict "As-Is Condition". Seller will make no repairs.
Key facts
- 1,672 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 35 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $722 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 6.3% in Swissvale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#95 in PA, #694 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+.
- Woodland Hills SD (suburban): math 13% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #486 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 80 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $79k implies a 339% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.16%
- DSCR
- 2.74
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,008
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -58.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $38,217
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 46.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.18×
- Total profit
- $114,481
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15218
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,603 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $722
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $767 | -5% $744 | +0% $722 | +5% $700 | +10% $677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $595 | -5% $659 | +0% $722 | +5% $785 | +10% $849 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $762 | -0.5pp $742 | base $722 | +0.5pp $701 | +1.0pp $681 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7009 Church St Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,550 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2219 Manor Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1638 | $1,600 | $0.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 7225 Whipple St Unit 72255 Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2255 Hawthorne Ave Unit 2255 Swissvale, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,000 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7645 Highland Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1161 | $1,325 | $1.14 | 9d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2210 Hampton St Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1512 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2323 Patterson Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2323 Patterson Ave Unit NA Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1003 Smokey Wood Dr Swissvale, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,475 | $1.69 | 5d | 4 | 0.84mi |
| 2673 Woodstock Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,190 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 931 Hilltop St Homestead, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1027 Lancaster Ave Unit 2 Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,599 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 212 Kenmawr Ave Braddock, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1417 | $1,300 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 621 E 9th Ave Homestead, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,425 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 442 Locust St Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,600 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 214 Vine St Homestead, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7070 Forward Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 912 | $2,800 | $3.07 | 3d | 12 | 1.12mi |
| 1001 Parkview Blvd Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 888 | $2,750 | $3.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 826 Walnut St Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $1,195 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 144 Comrie Ave Braddock, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 407 Biddle Ave #3 Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 623 E 18th Ave Homestead, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 600 Kelly Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 4d | 3 | 1.37mi |
| 519-521 S Trenton Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1360 | $2,600 | $1.91 | 17d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 565 Ardmore Blvd Pittsburgh, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,450 | $1.06 | 12d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2570 Mount Royal Rd Pittsburgh, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1848 | $3,200 | $1.73 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-12status Active 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
ATTN: INVESTORS! Spacious half duplex in central location. Needs complete updating but will make a sweet easy rental. Property sold in strict "As-Is Condition". Seller will make no repairs.
-
2026-05-06historical Contingent 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
ATTN: INVESTORS! Spacious half duplex in central location. Needs complete updating but will make a sweet easy rental. Property sold in strict "As-Is Condition". Seller will make no repairs.
-
2026-04-27price $79,000 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
ATTN: INVESTORS! Spacious half duplex in central location. Needs complete updating but will make a sweet easy rental. Property sold in strict "As-Is Condition". Seller will make no repairs.
-
2026-04-13$89,000 Active 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
ATTN: INVESTORS! Spacious half duplex in central location. Needs complete updating but will make a sweet easy rental. Property sold in strict "As-Is Condition". Seller will make no repairs.
-
2006-01-03soldstatus $18,000 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
10 day open listing period call listor for contracts and addendums.
-
2005-10-04$18,900 67-char remark
Show marketing remark (67 chars)
10 day open listing period call listor for contracts and addendums.
-
1990-08-13soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,164 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,206 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$42/yr (+$4/mo · 3.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,232
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,164
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,539
- − Management
- −$1,539
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $7,872
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,889
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Woodland Hills SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216500
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,803
- Composite
- 18.31/100
- National rank
- #8954
- State rank
- #486 of 539 in PA
Livability — Swissvale
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #694
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Swissvale, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 13,443
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,379
- Household income
- $67,960
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 605.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 19% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.20%
- Current HPI
- 297.8483
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.02%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+172.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-06 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $79,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $89,000 West Penn MLS
- 2006-01-03 Sold (MLS) $18,000 West Penn MLS
- 2005-10-04 Listed $18,900 West Penn MLS
- 1990-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,164 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…