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150 Chapel Rd #208
A- Composite 80.08
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +7.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

150 Chapel Rd #208 · Wells, ME 04090
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 436 sqft · Manufactured public records · 69 Days on market
Built 2004 $126/sqft · at area comps Est $79k · 30% under $779/mo HOA · 41% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sunshine & warmth is right around the corner at Sea Vu South! Have you dreamed of having a seasonal get away minutes from the beaches of Wells & thought it couldn't happen?Come check out the home at Site 208 in Sea Vu South! This 2004 top of the line Park Model Home offers an open concept eat in kitchen & living room area that is fabulous for entertaining all in one space. The home is very clean & offers blinds throughout the home including the 3 season Florida room, central air conditioning & cathedral ceilings! The kitchen has functional cabinet space, large counters & full size stainless steel appliances. The home offers a bedroom in the back of the home with cathedral ceilings, a queen size bedroom. There is also a queen size pull out in the living room & a futon couch that goes into a double bed on the florida room allowing sleeping for 6 people! My favorite thing about this home is the location since the home is located on a great corner lot that is close to the main pool, gym, laundry & snack shack. There is a fabulous stone fire pit in the yard to enjoy smores' & a small front & back porch. Sea Vu offers a convenient walking path right across from this home over to Rest View Lane to hop on the trolley, bike/walk to the beach, or enjoy a meal at the Mikes Clam Shack, Steakhouse, or Congdons Donuts & Food trucks w/ out having to get into your car! The park offers a large pool, jacuzzi, clubhouse, laundry facilities, space to work & spare ''living rooms' in the clubhouse for your use. There are tons of activities for all ages throughout the season & lots of memories made! The park rent of 9,375 includes water, sewer, cable, internet, trash, and all the amenities at the park. There is basketball courts, playgrounds, fenced dog park, & so much more in this gated community. You can bring pets (but your guests can not!). Season is from May-October 30.

Key facts

  • Open concept kitchen
  • Cathedral ceilings
  • Corner lot

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT KITCHEN3 SEASON FLORIDA ROOMCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONINGCATHEDRAL CEILINGSFUNCTIONAL CABINET SPACECORNER LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wells-Ogunquit CSD (rural): math 87% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #32 of 112 in ME (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 41% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,606 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.50%
Cap rate
14.75%
Cash-on-cash
30.20%
DSCR
2.34
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$78,959
List price
$54,900
Delta
-30.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
924 Post Rd #29 0.64mi 1/1.0 441 (+1%) 20mo $36,000 $82 51
23 College Dr #412 0.54mi 2/1.0 (+1) 407 (-7%) 17mo $40,000 $98 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$16,234
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$47,856
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Maine
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

ZIP-level market 04090

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Active inventory
267
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,920 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $482/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$779
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$387

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,430
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$779 · $9,348/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashinternetcablelandscapingpoolgymsecurity

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,900 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,900 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,900 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,900 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $54,900 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,900 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $54,900 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,900 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $54,900 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 51 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $54,900 Active 50 DOM
  17. 2026-04-11
    listed $54,900 Active 1967-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1967 chars)

    Sunshine & warmth is right around the corner at Sea Vu South! Have you dreamed of having a seasonal get away minutes from the beaches of Wells & thought it couldn't happen?Come check out the home at Site 208 in Sea Vu South! This 2004 top of the line Park Model Home offers an open concept eat in kitchen & living room area that is fabulous for entertaining all in one space. The home is very clean & offers blinds throughout the home including the 3 season Florida room, central air conditioning & cathedral ceilings! The kitchen has functional cabinet space, large counters & full size stainless steel appliances. The home offers a bedroom in the back of the home with cathedral ceilings, a queen size bedroom. There is also a queen size pull out in the living room & a futon couch that goes into a double bed on the florida room allowing sleeping for 6 people! My favorite thing about this home is the location since the home is located on a great corner lot that is close to the main pool, gym, laundry & snack shack. There is a fabulous stone fire pit in the yard to enjoy smores' & a small front & back porch. Sea Vu offers a convenient walking path right across from this home over to Rest View Lane to hop on the trolley, bike/walk to the beach, or enjoy a meal at the Mikes Clam Shack, Steakhouse, or Congdons Donuts & Food trucks w/ out having to get into your car! The park offers a large pool, jacuzzi, clubhouse, laundry facilities, space to work & spare ''living rooms' in the clubhouse for your use. There are tons of activities for all ages throughout the season & lots of memories made! The park rent of 9,375 includes water, sewer, cable, internet, trash, and all the amenities at the park. There is basketball courts, playgrounds, fenced dog park, & so much more in this gated community. You can bring pets (but your guests can not!). Season is from May-October 30.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$482 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$614 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$132/yr (+$11/mo · 27.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,040
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$482
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,843
− Management
−$1,843
− HOA
−$9,348
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$4,577
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,098
After-tax cash flow
$3,544/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wells-Ogunquit CSD
NCES district ID
2313490
Math proficiency
87% ▲ 42.00%
Reading proficiency
90% ▲ 26.00%
Median HH income
$61,341
Composite
75.79/100
National rank
#125
State rank
#32 of 112 in ME

Livability — Wells

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,544

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,961 people
By 2030
212,816 · +1.4%
By 2040
214,360 · +2.1%
By 2050
210,350 · +0.2%
By 2075
201,686 · -3.9%
By 2100
183,392 · -12.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 11% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.52%
Current HPI
413.9951
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $54,900 MREIS

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $482 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…