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478 Avondale Ave
C Composite 56.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,000

478 Avondale Ave · Marion, OH 43302
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1902 5,662 sqft lot Est $136k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • First floor laundry
  • Newer siding

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENFIRST FLOOR LAUNDRYFULLY REMODELED BATHROOMNEWER SIDINGNEWER ROOFNEW WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalk (association amenity)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 1902; No shared/common walls
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Additional parcel included

Interior

  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement; Insulated windows throughout

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $134k).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.8% in Marion — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#704 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Marion City (town): math 22% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #600 of 656 in OH (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 53 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,980 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.86%
Cash-on-cash
9.18%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$135,520
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
535 Toledo Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,182 (-4%) 4mo $16,000 $14 85
523 Thompson St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,264 (+3%) 4mo $147,000 $116 78
434 Scranton Ave 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,176 (-4%) 8mo $129,000 $110 71
408 Scranton Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,376 (+12%) 2mo $75,000 $55 68
355 Lee St 0.42mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,304 (+6%) 4mo $152,000 $117 60
636 Mary St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-7%) 5mo $57,360 $50 60
125 Wallace St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,242 (+1%) 5mo $55,000 $44 60
525 Oak St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-11%) 1mo $144,000 $131 57
373 W Church St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,354 (+10%) 1mo $84,000 $62 46
350 Mary St 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,384 (+12%) 4mo $170,500 $123 42
532 N Prospect St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (-14%) 1mo $124,900 $118 41
134 Waterloo St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,048 (-15%) 5mo $60,000 $57 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-3,486
Equity at exit
$19,980
10-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$20,315
Equity at exit
$11,586

Cash invested: $37,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43302

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Active inventory
208
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,402 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$703
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $746/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$287

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,039
Max offer price $134,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $363 -5% $325 +0% $287 +5% $249 +10% $211
Rent -10% $176 -5% $231 +0% $287 +5% $342 +10% $398
Rate -1.0pp $354 -0.5pp $321 base $287 +0.5pp $252 +1.0pp $217

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,500
Closing costs
$4,020
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
133 Garden St Unit 131 Marion, OH 2.0 1.0 752 $900 $1.20 45d 1 0.63mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $134,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $134,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 15 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,000 Active 14 DOM
  18. 2026-05-16
    listed $144,500 Active
  19. 2023-11-28
    soldstatus $132,500
  20. 2023-11-15
    soldstatus $132,500 Closed 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!

  21. 2023-09-23
    historical Contingent Finance and Inspection 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!

  22. 2023-09-16
    price $135,000 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!

  23. 2023-09-09
    listed $139,900 Active 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!

  24. 2023-09-09
    historical $139,900 757-char remark
    Show marketing remark (757 chars)

    Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!

  25. 2023-07-14
    soldstatus $37,000 Closed 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    FIXER-UPPER This home features three bedrooms, one bath and approx. 1, 232 square feet of living space. There is a nice size living room with three bedrooms and full bathroom. New siding in 2023, double lot for a larger yard. Home is in need of repair but would make a great fixer-upper to flip or rent.

  26. 2023-06-26
    status Pending 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    FIXER-UPPER This home features three bedrooms, one bath and approx. 1, 232 square feet of living space. There is a nice size living room with three bedrooms and full bathroom. New siding in 2023, double lot for a larger yard. Home is in need of repair but would make a great fixer-upper to flip or rent.

  27. 2023-06-22
    listed $30,000 Active 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    FIXER-UPPER This home features three bedrooms, one bath and approx. 1, 232 square feet of living space. There is a nice size living room with three bedrooms and full bathroom. New siding in 2023, double lot for a larger yard. Home is in need of repair but would make a great fixer-upper to flip or rent.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$746 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,418 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$672/yr (+$56/mo · 90.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,825
− Mortgage interest
−$7,506
− Property taxes
−$746
− Insurance
−$670
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,346
− Management
−$1,346
− Depreciation
−$3,898
Taxable income
$1,312
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$315
After-tax cash flow
$3,128/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion City
NCES district ID
3904433
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$32,327
Composite
21.58/100
National rank
#8306
State rank
#600 of 656 in OH

Livability — Marion

Score
65/100
State rank
#704
US rank
#12605

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marion, OH
County
Marion County · 53,702 people
City population
53,702
Metro
Marion, OH
Population (ZIP)
53,702
Household income
$55,057
Rent vs Own
36.6% rent · 63.4% own
Severe rent burden
1554.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,078 people
By 2030
60,049 · -3.3%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.7%
By 2050
50,604 · -18.5%
By 2075
40,162 · -35.3%
By 2100
29,105 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.9% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.5pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -41.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.4 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+8.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.52%
Current HPI
223.5344
Rent YoY
Metro
Marion, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+381.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $144,500 CBRMLS
  • 2023-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $132,500 Public Records
  • 2023-11-15 Sold (MLS) $132,500 CBRMLS
  • 2023-09-23 Contingent CBRMLS
  • 2023-09-16 Price Changed $135,000 CBRMLS
  • 2023-09-09 Listed $139,900 CBRMLS
  • 2023-09-09 Coming Soon $139,900 CBRMLS
  • 2023-07-14 Sold (MLS) $37,000 CBRMLS
  • 2023-06-26 Pending CBRMLS
  • 2023-06-22 Listed $30,000 CBRMLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $746 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…