478 Avondale Ave · Marion, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!
Key facts
- Newer roof
- First floor laundry
- Newer siding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalk (association amenity)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 1902; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Additional parcel included
Interior
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement; Insulated windows throughout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $134k).
- Recommended offer: $130k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.8% in Marion — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#704 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
- Marion City (town): math 22% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #600 of 656 in OH (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 53 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.18%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,520
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535 Toledo Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,182 (-4%) | 4mo | $16,000 | $14 | 85 |
| 523 Thompson St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (+3%) | 4mo | $147,000 | $116 | 78 |
| 434 Scranton Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-4%) | 8mo | $129,000 | $110 | 71 |
| 408 Scranton Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (+12%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $55 | 68 |
| 355 Lee St | 0.42mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,304 (+6%) | 4mo | $152,000 | $117 | 60 |
| 636 Mary St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-7%) | 5mo | $57,360 | $50 | 60 |
| 125 Wallace St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (+1%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $44 | 60 |
| 525 Oak St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-11%) | 1mo | $144,000 | $131 | 57 |
| 373 W Church St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,354 (+10%) | 1mo | $84,000 | $62 | 46 |
| 350 Mary St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,384 (+12%) | 4mo | $170,500 | $123 | 42 |
| 532 N Prospect St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-14%) | 1mo | $124,900 | $118 | 41 |
| 134 Waterloo St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (-15%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $57 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,486
- Equity at exit
- $19,980
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $20,315
- Equity at exit
- $11,586
Cash invested: $37,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43302
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,402 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$703
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $746/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $287
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $363 | -5% $325 | +0% $287 | +5% $249 | +10% $211 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $176 | -5% $231 | +0% $287 | +5% $342 | +10% $398 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $354 | -0.5pp $321 | base $287 | +0.5pp $252 | +1.0pp $217 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,500
- Closing costs
- $4,020
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Garden St Unit 131 Marion, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $900 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $134,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $134,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-15pricedays on market $134,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $139,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $139,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-05-16$144,500 Active
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2023-11-28soldstatus $132,500
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2023-11-15soldstatus $132,500 Closed 757-char remark
Show marketing remark (757 chars)
Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!
-
2023-09-23historical Contingent Finance and Inspection 757-char remark
Show marketing remark (757 chars)
Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!
-
2023-09-16price $135,000 757-char remark
Show marketing remark (757 chars)
Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!
-
2023-09-09$139,900 Active 757-char remark
Show marketing remark (757 chars)
Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!
-
2023-09-09historical $139,900 757-char remark
Show marketing remark (757 chars)
Welcome to 478 Avondale Ave, a BEAUTIFULLY remodeled home seconds from downtown Marion, the county fairgrounds and multiple parks! Step inside to all new luxury vinyl flooring, fresh paint, brand new light fixtures and a new kitchen featuring new cabinets, stainless appliances and tile backsplash! Enjoy first floor laundry before heading upstairs to 3 large bedrooms and a fully remodeled bathroom with all new fixtures! Nothing left to do but move right in, as this home has new siding, a new roof, new windows, new doors and brand new HVAC (furnace, AC and water heater)! Tons of storage in the basement, along with a MASSIVE, quarter acre+ double lot (additional parcel included) and a convenient 2 car detached garage! It doesn't get better than this!
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2023-07-14soldstatus $37,000 Closed 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
FIXER-UPPER This home features three bedrooms, one bath and approx. 1, 232 square feet of living space. There is a nice size living room with three bedrooms and full bathroom. New siding in 2023, double lot for a larger yard. Home is in need of repair but would make a great fixer-upper to flip or rent.
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2023-06-26status Pending 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
FIXER-UPPER This home features three bedrooms, one bath and approx. 1, 232 square feet of living space. There is a nice size living room with three bedrooms and full bathroom. New siding in 2023, double lot for a larger yard. Home is in need of repair but would make a great fixer-upper to flip or rent.
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2023-06-22$30,000 Active 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
FIXER-UPPER This home features three bedrooms, one bath and approx. 1, 232 square feet of living space. There is a nice size living room with three bedrooms and full bathroom. New siding in 2023, double lot for a larger yard. Home is in need of repair but would make a great fixer-upper to flip or rent.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $746 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,418 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$672/yr (+$56/mo · 90.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,825
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,506
- − Property taxes
- −$746
- − Insurance
- −$670
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,346
- − Management
- −$1,346
- − Depreciation
- −$3,898
- Taxable income
- $1,312
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$315
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,128/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion City
- NCES district ID
- 3904433
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,327
- Composite
- 21.58/100
- National rank
- #8306
- State rank
- #600 of 656 in OH
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #704
- US rank
- #12605
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, OH
- County
- Marion County · 53,702 people
- City population
- 53,702
- Metro
- Marion, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,702
- Household income
- $55,057
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,078 people
- By 2030
- 60,049 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 55,413 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 50,604 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 40,162 · -35.3%
- By 2100
- 29,105 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.9% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.5pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -41.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.4 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+8.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.52%
- Current HPI
- 223.5344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Marion, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+381.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $144,500 CBRMLS
- 2023-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $132,500 Public Records
- 2023-11-15 Sold (MLS) $132,500 CBRMLS
- 2023-09-23 Contingent — CBRMLS
- 2023-09-16 Price Changed $135,000 CBRMLS
- 2023-09-09 Listed $139,900 CBRMLS
- 2023-09-09 Coming Soon $139,900 CBRMLS
- 2023-07-14 Sold (MLS) $37,000 CBRMLS
- 2023-06-26 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2023-06-22 Listed $30,000 CBRMLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $746 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…