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5 Arrowhead Ct
C- Composite 54.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

5 Arrowhead Ct · Park Forest, IL 60466
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,341 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1954 Est $173k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Owner said SALE! Come check out this 4 bedroom 2 bath bungalow. The property is being sold as is. Please see under additional information all documents. Thanks for showing!

Key facts

  • Built 1954
  • Listed 20 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Frame construction; Estimated age 71–80 years
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions approximately 0.14

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (11 x 11)
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Master bedroom on main level (13 x 12); Second bedroom on main level (13 x 12); Two additional bedrooms on second level (12 x 11; 12 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Family room; Living room (16 x 13); Dining room (11 x 10)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $157,501 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
7.92%
Cash-on-cash
5.82%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$172,989
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
283 Allegheny St 0.13mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,400 (+4%) 6mo $205,000 $146 74
243 Arcadia St 0.28mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,250 (-7%) 1mo $179,000 $143 68
330 Hickory St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,300 (-3%) 1mo $179,900 $138 67
1904 Campbell Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,269 (-5%) 5mo $76,000 $60 63
267 Arrowhead St 0.17mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,496 (+12%) 6mo $160,000 $107 61
263 Allegheny St 0.22mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (-10%) 7mo $155,000 $129 60
364 Hickory St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,250 (-7%) 6mo $106,590 $85 60
223 Arrowhead St 0.37mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,250 (-7%) 8mo $160,000 $128 58
235 Arcadia St 0.32mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,199 (-11%) 8mo $81,000 $68 54
230 Arcadia St 0.34mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,496 (+12%) 4mo $175,000 $117 54
128 Algonquin St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,150 (-14%) 2mo $169,000 $147 39
1923 Revere St 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,191 (-11%) 10mo $180,000 $151 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-11,937
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$7,983
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60466

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,900 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$378 /mo · $4,540/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,625
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
432 Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 20d 1 0.56mi
436 W Hickory St Unit Na Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,800 $1.65 1d 1 0.56mi
417 W Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 20d 1 0.57mi
370 E 17th St Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1058 $2,600 $2.46 16d 1 0.57mi
444 Hickory St Unit 2A Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 1d 1 0.57mi
1667 Buena Vista Ave Unit 1st floor Chicago Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,525 $1.17 24d 1 0.80mi
1665 Buena Vista Ave Unit 3 Chicago Heights, IL 4.0 1.0 1700 $1,800 $1.06 18d 1 0.81mi
1631 Buena Vista Ave Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 24d 1 0.86mi
631 Andover St Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 3d 1 0.87mi
63 Hickory St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 24d 1 0.90mi
236 Chestnut Ave Unit S South Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1032 $2,000 $1.94 24d 1 0.95mi
398 W Lincoln Hwy Unit 4 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 1d 1 0.95mi
41 E Main St Unit 2 Chicago Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 7d 1 1.05mi
83 W 15th St #1 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,500 $1.43 3d 1 1.07mi
3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0 1026 $1,995 $1.94 1d 11 1.13mi
1267 Division St Unit 1267 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,500 $1.25 1d 1 1.16mi
41 W 14th Pl Unit 1 Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,750 $1.40 10d 1 1.18mi
169 E 23rd St Unit 1F Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 12d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,900 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,540 · $378/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,540 · $378/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,796
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$4,540
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,824
− Management
−$1,824
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$200
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$48
After-tax cash flow
$2,559/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Park Forest

Score
78/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#2726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Park Forest, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
21,461
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
21,461
Household income
$61,654
Rent vs Own
33.7% rent · 66.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.87%
Current HPI
219.9692
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+263.4% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $159,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-26 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $244,000 Public Records
  • 2018-10-02 Sold (MLS) $43,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-23 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-07 Listed $50,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2015-02-05 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-24 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-10 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-02 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-30 Listed $19,600 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-04-01 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-09-12 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
  • 1990-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,540 · -11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…