1030 W Berrien St · Galesburg, IL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell! Move in Ready. This cute and Cozy 2 bedroom home has large living room and Kitchen with main floor laundry. Updated bathroom. Nice yard. Will consider selling on contract.
Key facts
- Functional layout
- Nice yard
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1906; One or more additional, lower and basement levels
- Construction: Shingle roof; Original construction (not new)
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 156 x 50; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included; Kitchen on main level (approx. 16 x 10)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (primary bedrooms located on the main and upper levels); Bedroom dimensions: one about 12 x 10, the other about 11 x 12
- Flooring: Laminate flooring in bedrooms and main living areas; Other flooring in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Full, unfinished basement; Egress window in at least one room
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Galesburg Senior High School (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,762 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 198 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.41%
- DSCR
- 2.93
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $24,125
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.48×
- Total profit
- $62,537
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61401
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,082 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $799/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $505
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $534 | -5% $520 | +0% $505 | +5% $491 | +10% $477 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $420 | -5% $463 | +0% $505 | +5% $548 | +10% $591 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $531 | -0.5pp $518 | base $505 | +0.5pp $493 | +1.0pp $479 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Under Contract 215 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Under Contract 214 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Under Contract 213 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Under Contract 212 DOM
-
2026-04-30historical Under Contract
-
2025-11-24price $49,900
-
2025-10-30$54,900 Active
-
2024-04-09historical $799
-
2024-03-05price $799
-
2024-02-23$800
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2020-03-12soldstatus $60,000
-
2018-09-07soldstatus $19,500 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Priced to sell! Move in Ready. This cute and Cozy 2 bedroom home has large living room and Kitchen with main floor laundry. Updated bathroom. Nice yard. Will consider selling on contract.
-
2018-08-27$26,900 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
Priced to sell! Move in Ready. This cute and Cozy 2 bedroom home has large living room and Kitchen with main floor laundry. Updated bathroom. Nice yard. Will consider selling on contract.
-
2017-05-26soldstatus $15,000
-
2016-11-21$22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $799 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $966 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$167/yr (+$14/mo · 20.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$799
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,038
- − Management
- −$1,038
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $5,608
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,346
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galesburg CUSD 205
- NCES district ID
- 1716080
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,901
- Composite
- 14.46/100
- National rank
- #9427
- State rank
- #488 of 620 in IL
Livability — Galesburg
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #7601
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Galesburg, IL
- City population
- 32,318
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,684
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,224 people
- By 2030
- 46,333 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 42,424 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 38,929 · -19.3%
- By 2075
- 31,523 · -34.6%
- By 2100
- 24,092 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.48%
- Current HPI
- 157.276
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+126.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $49,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Listed $54,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-09 Rental Removed $799 RMLSA
- 2024-03-05 Price Changed $799 RMLSA
- 2024-02-23 Listed for Rent $800 RMLSA
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-07 Sold (MLS) $19,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-27 Listed $26,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-26 Sold (MLS) $15,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-21 Listed $22,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2024): $799 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…