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21 Lady Marian Dr NE
D Composite 43.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

21 Lady Marian Dr NE · Rome, GA 30161
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,501 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1957 0.48 ac lot $127/sqft · 6% below area Est $203k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming home in a highly sought after location & school district! Offering flexible living space, this property is full of potential for first time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to add personal touches. Features include bonus space (currently used as 3rd bedroom), spacious yard, & an affordable opportunity to own in a prime area. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, & schools! Call to schedule your private showing today! * All information deemed reliable, but buyer to verify. *

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Bonus space
  • School district

Tags

HIGHLY SOUGHT AFTER LOCATIONSCHOOL DISTRICTBONUS SPACESPACIOUS YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Sold/as‑is condition noted in listing
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential resale; Built in 1957
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Public records list 1501 building area
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Screened porch; Fenced yard; Sloped lot; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Split bedroom plan; Tile bath; Accessible approach with ramp; One level
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($8/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (21.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.4% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#266 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Floyd County (rural): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #45 of 174 in GA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Johnson Elementary (math 69% / reading 60%, grade B, #95 of 1,228 statewide, top 8%, 498 students, 34% FRL); Model Middle School (math 47% / reading 53%, grade C, #68 of 470 statewide, top 15%, 519 students, 41% FRL); Model High (math 36% / reading 43%, grade F, #57 of 424 statewide, top 13%, 912 students, 32% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 355 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $148,827 (21.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.01%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$203,050
List price
$190,000
Delta
-6.43%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Nottingham Way NE 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,429 (-5%) 4mo $195,000 $136 80
16 Barnesdale Way NE 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,584 (+6%) 2mo $248,400 $157 79
108 Wilshire Rd 0.22mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,508 (+0%) 10mo $200,000 $133 76
1 Lionel Ct NE 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,623 (+8%) 3mo $210,000 $129 75
14 Lionel Ln NE 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-6%) 23mo $128,825 $92 58
408 Robin Hood Rd NE 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,693 (+13%) 14mo $230,000 $136 50
118 Dekle Dr NE 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,720 (+15%) 7mo $385,000 $224 44
17 View Dr SE 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-4%) 23mo $287,000 $199 38
8 Berkshire Ln NE 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,669 (+11%) 20mo $260,000 $156 35
127 Jim Lee Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,703 (+14%) 13mo $145,000 $85 31
116 Jim Lee Dr NE 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,352 (-10%) 22mo $158,000 $117 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-25,736
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-340
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30161

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
412
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,488 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,194/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$1

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $108 -5% $54 +0% $1 +5% $-53 +10% $-107
Rent -10% $-117 -5% $-58 +0% $1 +5% $59 +10% $118
Rate -1.0pp $96 -0.5pp $49 base $1 +0.5pp $-49 +1.0pp $-99

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
424 Wayside Rd NE Rome, GA 4.0 1.5 1452 $1,500 $1.03 45d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    listed $190,000 New 515-char remark
  2. 2026-04-30
    historical
  3. 2026-04-30
    historical
  4. 2026-03-25
    listed $182,000 New
  5. 2026-03-25
    listed $182,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,194 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,748 · $146/mo
Expected delta
+$554/yr (+$46/mo · 46.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,859
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$1,194
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,429
− Management
−$1,429
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$3,313
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$795
After-tax cash flow
$803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Floyd County
NCES district ID
1302190
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$47,083
Composite
34.64/100
National rank
#5143
State rank
#45 of 174 in GA

Livability — Rome

Score
64/100
State rank
#266
US rank
#14459

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Floyd County · 77,706 people
City population
77,706
Metro
Rome, GA
Population (ZIP)
34,705
Household income
$61,667
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
1104.0

Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
96,321 people
By 2030
95,532 · -0.8%
By 2040
93,332 · -3.1%
By 2050
90,850 · -5.7%
By 2075
84,989 · -11.8%
By 2100
76,097 · -21.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Floyd

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.0) · D 28.8% · R 70.7%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -42.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+39.9 2008: R+36.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -186.06%
Current HPI
257.8168
Rent YoY
▲ 6.28%
Metro
Rome, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $190,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $182,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $182,000 FMLS

Property tax history

+15.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,194 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…