176 Pineland Estates Rd · Cochran, GA 31014

$64,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,904 sqft · Manufactured public records · 78 Days on market

Built 1991 1.00 ac lot ↓ 28% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.8/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

With a little sweat equity this home would be great for 1st time home buyers, someone downsizing or add it to your rental portfolio! 3 BR 2 FB with an open floor plan. There is a separate dining area and laundry room. The yard is 1 acre with several large shade trees. Make this one your own! Call today!

Key facts

• 1 acre lot
• Built 1991
• Listed 78 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
• Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 3.5% in Cochran — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#458 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Bleckley County (rural): math 46% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 174 in GA (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 109 units permitted in Bleckley County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Bleckley County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $61,006 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.11% ✓
• Cap rate: 19.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 46.06%
• DSCR: 3.05
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 56.6%
• Equity multiple: 5.16×
• Total profit: $75,556
• Equity at exit: $58,467

10-year hold

• IRR: 50.1%
• Equity multiple: 11.51×
• Total profit: $190,944
• Equity at exit: $126,086

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31014

• Home prices YoY: 19.6%
• Active inventory: 64
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,371 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$340
• Tax from tax record: −$18 /mo · $221/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$288
• Net cashflow: $631

Break-even live

Break-even rent $572

Max offer price $64,900

Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $668	-5% $649	+0% $631	+5% $613	+10% $594
Rent	-10% $523	-5% $577	+0% $631	+5% $685	+10% $739
Rate	-1.0pp $664	-0.5pp $647	base $631	+0.5pp $614	+1.0pp $597

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,225
• Closing costs: $1,947
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-02-03
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-01-29
   status Pending Offer Approval
3. 2026-01-21
   price $64,900
4. 2025-12-23
   status Back On Market
5. 2025-12-22
   historical
6. 2025-12-17
   price $74,900
7. 2025-11-10
   listed $89,900 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $221 · $18/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $597 · $50/mo
• Expected delta: +$376/yr (+$31/mo · 170.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,454
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,635
• − Property taxes: −$221
• − Insurance: −$1,122
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,316
• − Management: −$1,316
• − Depreciation: −$1,888
• Taxable income: $6,955
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,669
• After-tax cash flow: $5,902/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bleckley County
• NCES district ID: 1300440
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $38,695
• Composite: 37.57/100
• National rank: #4387
• State rank: #28 of 174 in GA

Livability — Cochran

• Score: 57/100
• State rank: #458
• US rank: #21752

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 12,944

Population outlook (Bleckley County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,189 people
• By 2030: 12,901 · -2.2%
• By 2040: 12,398 · -6.0%
• By 2050: 11,741 · -11.0%
• By 2075: 10,444 · -20.8%
• By 2100: 9,000 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (62%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bleckley

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+55.4) · D 22.1% · R 77.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.5pp toward R · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -55.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+55.4 2020: R+52.9 2016: R+53.2 2012: R+47.3 2008: R+44.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 38.18%
• Current HPI: 232.753
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

-27.8% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-03 Pending — GAMLS
• 2026-01-29 Pending — GAMLS
• 2026-01-21 Price Changed $64,900 GAMLS
• 2025-12-23 Relisted — GAMLS
• 2025-12-22 Listing Removed — GAMLS
• 2025-12-17 Price Changed $74,900 GAMLS
• 2025-11-10 Listed $89,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $221 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.