8013 Harris Ave · Parkville, MD
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- Cash flow +8.5/30.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property is being Sold AS-IS Seller will not make any repairs. No FHA or VA Full Kitchen and Bath in the Basement. Jacuzzi. Tub in basement.
Key facts
- 7,140 sq ft lot
- Built 1957
- Listed 20 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable TV available; Phone available; Natural gas service
- Home design: Detached home; Above-grade and below-grade living areas reported
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Year built recorded by assessor
- Exterior features: Detached structure; Lot dimensions recorded (assessor); No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the lower level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level, one on the lower level)
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Cooling system (other) with natural gas fuel; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Walkout, partially finished full basement with rear entrance; Dining room
- Laundry & utility: Gas dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-263 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (15.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (22.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $233k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#77 in MD, #2,839 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 51% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $111k; list at $300k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.76%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $343,856
- List price
- $300,000
- Delta
- -12.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8405 Harris Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,436 (-5%) | 4mo | $318,000 | $221 | 65 |
| 1902 Taylor Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,544 (+2%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $152 | 61 |
| 3025 Woodside Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 1,440 (-5%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $226 | 59 |
| 2532 Hillcrest Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,392 (-8%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $230 | 58 |
| 1800 Wendover Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,560 (+3%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $208 | 57 |
| 1915 Putty Hill Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,538 (+2%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $176 | 56 |
| 2814 Oakcrest Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,376 (-9%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $225 | 55 |
| 3017 Parktowne Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,591 (+5%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $195 | 54 |
| 1806 Wentworth Rd | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,560 (+3%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $160 | 54 |
| 3049 Oak Forest Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,427 (-6%) | 4mo | $345,000 | $242 | 52 |
| 3033 Parktowne Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,694 (+12%) | 1mo | $355,600 | $210 | 44 |
| 3203 Taylor Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-11%) | 4mo | $330,000 | $244 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-56,369
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-30,871
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21234
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,328 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$404 /mo · $4,844/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$489
- Net cashflow
- $-263
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7839 Birmingham Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,775 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8503 Kings Ridge Rd Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 5d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 8500 Arry Pl Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,500 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2912 Hillcrest Ave Parkville, MD | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1648 | $2,900 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2518 Linwood Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1946 | $2,200 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3108 Glendale Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1224 | $2,550 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2518 Moore Ave Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1896 | $2,700 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8768 Cimarron Cir Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1752 | $2,395 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1376 Halstead Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $2,400 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8451 Water Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,950 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8340 Edgedale Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,400 | $1.90 | 5d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1726 Redwood Ave Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $2,250 | $1.57 | 18d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1629 Wentworth Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,895 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8592 Quentin Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $2,100 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3158 Woodring Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8533 Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1929 Edgewood Rd Unit 1929 Towson, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,350 | $1.38 | 11d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 8617 Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1208 | $2,100 | $1.74 | 5d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7202 Sindall Rd Unit 7202 Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1717 Northview Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,980 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1714 Pin Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1534 | $2,800 | $1.83 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1809 Glen Ridge Rd Towson, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1640 | $2,100 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8525 Chestnut Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,995 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 6612 Birchwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $2,300 | $2.05 | 20d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1870 Yakona Rd Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,400 | $2.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8623 Willow Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1395 | $2,700 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 8650 Rock Oak Rd Parkville, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,108 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1726 Yakona Rd Unit A Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1865 | $1,400 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3407 Orbitan Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1508 | $2,200 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1127 Deanwood Rd Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $2,350 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3617 Double Rock Ln Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,395 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3412 Fleetwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $2,195 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2908 5th Ave Parkville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,950 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 8339 Wyton Rd Towson, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $2,534 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1621 Thetford Rd Towson, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,350 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-07pricestatus $300,000 Pending 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$299,900 Active 140-char remark
-
2026-05-11historical $299,900 140-char remark
-
1996-04-15soldstatus $111,000
-
1996-03-29soldstatus $111,000
-
1996-02-05historical
-
1995-07-08$111,000
-
1989-08-16soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,844 · $404/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,844 · $404/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,934
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$4,844
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,235
- − Management
- −$2,235
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$8,412
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,019
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,136/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Parkville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #2839
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parkville, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 66,334
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 66,334
- Household income
- $83,517
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2719.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 28% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -247.04%
- Current HPI
- 254.3824
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.68%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-05 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-11 Coming Soon $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records
- 1996-03-29 Sold (MLS) $111,000 MRIS
- 1996-02-05 Delisted — MRIS
- 1995-07-08 Listed $111,000 MRIS
- 1989-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,844 · +24.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…