1558 W Pine Meadows Dr W · Moss Bluff, LA 70611

$71,000

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,142 sqft · Manufactured · 299 Days on market

Built 1995 0.57 ac lot $33/sqft · 41% below area Est $119k · 41% under

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors! This very large home can be brought back to its glory as a great rental property or a flip. Home sits on a large yard with a two car garage and ample parking. Purchase options are cash or construction loans. Home is being sold as is and sellers will make no repairs. Inspections will be for buyers' information only. All measurements are m/l.

Key facts

• 0.57 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1995

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $71k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $881 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $71k).
• Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 3.5% in Moss Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#39 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 322 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $491 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 299 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $8k; list at $71k implies a 788% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $62,480 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 299 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.39% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.18%
• Cash-on-cash: 53.15%
• DSCR: 3.36
• GRM: 3.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $119,487
• List price: $71,000
• Delta: -40.58%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 51.2%
• Equity multiple: 3.24×
• Total profit: $44,584
• Equity at exit: $10,586

10-year hold

• IRR: 56.6%
• Equity multiple: 6.59×
• Total profit: $111,065
• Equity at exit: $6,139

Cash invested: $19,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70611

• Active inventory: 322
• Price-to-rent: 3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,697 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$372
• Tax from tax record: −$58 /mo · $696/yr
• Insurance: −$30
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$356
• Net cashflow: $881

Break-even live

Break-even rent $582

Max offer price $71,000

Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $921	-5% $901	+0% $881	+5% $860	+10% $840
Rent	-10% $746	-5% $814	+0% $881	+5% $948	+10% $1,015
Rate	-1.0pp $916	-0.5pp $899	base $881	+0.5pp $862	+1.0pp $843

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,750
• Closing costs: $2,130
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-05-31
   days on market $71,000 Active 299 DOM
2. 2026-05-30
   days on market $71,000 Active 298 DOM
3. 2025-10-28
   price $71,000 365-char remark

   Show marketing remark (365 chars)

   Calling all investors! This very large home can be brought back to its glory as a great rental property or a flip. Home sits on a large yard with a two car garage and ample parking. Purchase options are cash or construction loans. Home is being sold as is and sellers will make no repairs. Inspections will be for buyers' information only. All measurements are m/l.

4. 2025-09-29
   price $72,000 365-char remark

   Show marketing remark (365 chars)

   Calling all investors! This very large home can be brought back to its glory as a great rental property or a flip. Home sits on a large yard with a two car garage and ample parking. Purchase options are cash or construction loans. Home is being sold as is and sellers will make no repairs. Inspections will be for buyers' information only. All measurements are m/l.

5. 2025-09-19
   price $74,000 365-char remark

   Show marketing remark (365 chars)

   Calling all investors! This very large home can be brought back to its glory as a great rental property or a flip. Home sits on a large yard with a two car garage and ample parking. Purchase options are cash or construction loans. Home is being sold as is and sellers will make no repairs. Inspections will be for buyers' information only. All measurements are m/l.

6. 2025-05-13
   listed $76,000 Active 365-char remark

   Show marketing remark (365 chars)

   Calling all investors! This very large home can be brought back to its glory as a great rental property or a flip. Home sits on a large yard with a two car garage and ample parking. Purchase options are cash or construction loans. Home is being sold as is and sellers will make no repairs. Inspections will be for buyers' information only. All measurements are m/l.

7. 1993-06-07
   soldstatus $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $696 · $58/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $696 · $58/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,361
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,977
• − Property taxes: −$696
• − Insurance: −$355
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,629
• − Management: −$1,629
• − Depreciation: −$2,065
• Taxable income: $10,010
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,402
• After-tax cash flow: $8,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Calcasieu Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200330
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -39.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -33.00%
• Median HH income: $44,700
• Composite: 31.45/100
• National rank: #5979
• State rank: #29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Moss Bluff

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #39
• US rank: #6117

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Moss Bluff, LA
• County: Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
• Metro: Lake Charles, LA
• Population (ZIP): 22,124
• Household income: $101,844
• Rent vs Own: 13.9% rent · 86.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 183.0

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 212,179 people
• By 2030: 218,199 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 228,486 · +7.7%
• By 2050: 236,208 · +11.3%
• By 2075: 251,696 · +18.6%
• By 2100: 247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 84% Black 11% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 10% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -84.82%
• Current HPI: 115.0052
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Lake Charles, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

+787.5% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2025-10-28 Price Changed $71,000 SWLAR
• 2025-09-29 Price Changed $72,000 SWLAR
• 2025-09-19 Price Changed $74,000 SWLAR
• 2025-05-13 Listed $76,000 SWLAR
• 1993-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $696 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.