1199 N Terry St #259 · Eugene, OR
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +2.9/15.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath property located in a well-cared-for 55+ age community. This home is truly move-in ready with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, offering both durability and modern style. In 2023, a new furnace and heat pump were installed, providing year-round comfort and added peace of mind. The property also features a tool shed with electrical hookups, perfect for hobbies, storage, or workshop space. Space rent is $975/month. Community amenities include: trash service, basic cable, pool & spa, gym, library, party room, tennis court, RV/boat parking available for just $50/month. Enjoy low-maintenance living with fantastic amenities in a welcoming community. Come take a look and see why this could be the perfect place to call home!
Key facts
- New furnace
- Tool shed
- Heat pump
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $925 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
- Bethel SD 52 (urban): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #52 of 58 in OR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Prairie Mountain School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #377 of 412 statewide, top 93%, 585 students, 65% FRL); Willamette High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,516 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 303 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $80k implies a 699% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.17%
- DSCR
- 3.37
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,484
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- 10.23%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1199 N Terry St #258 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 0mo | $64,900 | $70 | 91 |
| 1199 N Terry St #248 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 3mo | $71,000 | $77 | 89 |
| 1199 N Terry St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 3mo | $81,000 | $88 | 86 |
| 1199 N Terry St #315 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (+4%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $78 | 81 |
| 4900 Royal Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 9mo | $26,000 | $28 | 74 |
| 4900 Royal Ave #13 | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 0mo | $36,500 | $40 | 73 |
| 1400 Candlelight Dr #226 | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 2mo | $48,000 | $52 | 71 |
| 1199 N Terry St #264 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-9%) | 7mo | $52,000 | $62 | 70 |
| 4900 Royal Ave #56 | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 5mo | $51,000 | $55 | 69 |
| 4800 Barger Dr #25 | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $76 | 64 |
| 4800 Barger Dr #80 | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 7mo | $77,000 | $83 | 60 |
| 4800 Barger Dr #76 | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (0%) | 8mo | $59,000 | $64 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $43,267
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 50.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.60×
- Total profit
- $102,823
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97402
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 303
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,954 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $925
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $980 | -5% $952 | +0% $925 | +5% $897 | +10% $870 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $770 | -5% $848 | +0% $925 | +5% $1,002 | +10% $1,079 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $965 | -0.5pp $945 | base $925 | +0.5pp $904 | +1.0pp $883 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1040 Lamplite Ln Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,895 | $2.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 573 Hanover St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,495 | $1.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 543 Hanover St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,725 | $2.43 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4478 Fergus Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,695 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4175 Quest Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $2,095 | $2.13 | 15d | 6 | 1.28mi |
| 4175 Wagner St Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $1,645 | $2.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4075 Aerial Way Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $2,155 | $2.54 | 15d | 24 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $79,900 798-char remark
Show marketing remark (798 chars)
Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath property located in a well-cared-for 55+ age community. This home is truly move-in ready with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, offering both durability and modern style. In 2023, a new furnace and heat pump were installed, providing year-round comfort and added peace of mind. The property also features a tool shed with electrical hookups, perfect for hobbies, storage, or workshop space. Space rent is $975/month. Community amenities include: trash service, basic cable, pool & spa, gym, library, party room, tennis court, RV/boat parking available for just $50/month. Enjoy low-maintenance living with fantastic amenities in a welcoming community. Come take a look and see why this could be the perfect place to call home!
-
2026-02-27$89,900 Active 798-char remark
Show marketing remark (798 chars)
Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath property located in a well-cared-for 55+ age community. This home is truly move-in ready with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout, offering both durability and modern style. In 2023, a new furnace and heat pump were installed, providing year-round comfort and added peace of mind. The property also features a tool shed with electrical hookups, perfect for hobbies, storage, or workshop space. Space rent is $975/month. Community amenities include: trash service, basic cable, pool & spa, gym, library, party room, tennis court, RV/boat parking available for just $50/month. Enjoy low-maintenance living with fantastic amenities in a welcoming community. Come take a look and see why this could be the perfect place to call home!
-
2000-09-19soldstatus $10,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
MH ONLY NO LAND. OR MVD LIC REQ. IN DANELAND 55 AND OLER PARK. S RENT $309. WHEEL CHAIR ACCESSIBLE. COVERED CARPORT & DECK. HEAT SHOP OR STORAGE BUILDING. MOTIVATED SELLER. SOLD AS IS. BRING OF
-
2000-04-11$10,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
MH ONLY NO LAND. OR MVD LIC REQ. IN DANELAND 55 AND OLER PARK. S RENT $309. WHEEL CHAIR ACCESSIBLE. COVERED CARPORT & DECK. HEAT SHOP OR STORAGE BUILDING. MOTIVATED SELLER. SOLD AS IS. BRING OF
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,443
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$1,197
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,875
- − Management
- −$1,875
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $10,497
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,519
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,577/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethel SD 52
- NCES district ID
- 4102040
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,860
- Composite
- 22.62/100
- National rank
- #8066
- State rank
- #52 of 58 in OR
Livability — Eugene
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #1587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eugene, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 215,212
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,823
- Household income
- $57,658
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3142.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -437.20%
- Current HPI
- 298.1167
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+699.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $79,900 RMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $89,900 RMLS
- 2000-09-19 Sold (MLS) $10,000 RMLS
- 2000-04-11 Listed $10,000 RMLS
Property tax history
-46.6%/yrLatest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…