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Bermuda Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 35.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$289,990

Bermuda Plan · Plant City, FL 33565
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,520 sqft · SingleFamily · 374 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the Bermuda - a stylish one-story villa featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an open-concept design perfect for modern living. The spacious kitchen overlooks the dining area and great room, creating a seamless flow for everyday living and entertaining. Bedroom 2 and Bathroom 2 are located near the front entry, while Bedroom 1 is positioned at the rear of the home and includes a private ensuite bath with double vanity sinks and a large walk-in closet. A flex room just off the main living area can comfortably serve as a third bedroom, home office, or hobby room-offering added versatility to fit your lifestyle. Additional features include stainless steel kitchen appliances, a walk-in pantry, a fully equipped laundry room, a 1-car garage, and a built-in smart home system.

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • New home community
  • Smart home system

Tags

NEW HOME COMMUNITYSMART HOME SYSTEMRESORT STYLE AMENITIESTWO POOLSFITNESS CENTERPLAYGROUND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $289,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $335,207.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-290 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (11.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $255k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.3% in Plant City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Knights Elementary School (math 52% / reading 45%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 623 students, 70% FRL); Marshall Middle Magnet School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 1,089 students, 69% FRL); Plant City High School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 2,474 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 374 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $255,191 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 374 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.26%
Cash-on-cash
-3.70%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$335,207
List price
$289,990
Delta
-13.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4002 Westwood Fields Loop 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,565 (+3%) 2mo $304,000 $194 62
3422 Ivy Hollow Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+3%) 23mo $317,990 $204 58
3502 Melody Gardens Pl 0.59mi 3/2.5 1,560 (+3%) 15mo $322,165 $207 53
3419 Walnut Round Pl 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,768 (+16%) 2mo $390,039 $221 51
3307 Amber Waves Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,565 (+3%) 16mo $311,990 $199 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.5%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-72,723
Equity at exit
$49,980
10-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.07×
Total profit
$-86,919
Equity at exit
$28,983

Cash invested: $93,858 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
14 active · 8 under contract
Months of supply
21.0 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$343,000 ($202/sqft)
Median days on market
126 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+9.1% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33565

Home prices YoY
-24.7%
Active inventory
426
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,566 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,758
Tax est. 1.5%
$419 /mo · $5,028/yr
Insurance
$140
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$539
Net cashflow
$-290

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,932
Max offer price $293,303
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-58 -5% $-174 +0% $-290 +5% $-405 +10% $-521
Rent -10% $-492 -5% $-391 +0% $-290 +5% $-188 +10% $-87
Rate -1.0pp $-121 -0.5pp $-204 base $-290 +0.5pp $-376 +1.0pp $-465

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,802
Closing costs
$10,056
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3507 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.5 1681 $2,300 $1.37 22d 1 0.29mi
3551 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.5 1681 $2,200 $1.31 52d 1 0.29mi
3546 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 2.5 1681 $2,200 $1.31 71d 1 0.32mi
3546 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL 3.0 3.0 1673 $2,200 $1.32 73d 1 0.32mi
4005 Westwood Fields Loop Unit 4005 Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1565 $2,500 $1.60 73d 1 0.68mi
4008 Westwood Fields Loop Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1565 $2,250 $1.44 30d 1 0.71mi
4010 Westwood Fields Loop Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1565 $2,100 $1.34 27d 1 0.72mi
4025 Westwood Fields Loop Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1565 $2,425 $1.55 71d 1 0.75mi
4027 Westwood Fields Loop Plant City, FL 3.0 2.0 1565 $3,200 $2.04 71d 1 0.75mi

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-07-23
    days on market $289,990 Active 374 DOM
  2. 2026-07-22
    days on market $289,990 Active 373 DOM
  3. 2026-07-21
    days on market $289,990 Active 372 DOM
  4. 2026-07-20
    days on market $289,990 Active 371 DOM
  5. 2026-07-18
    days on market $289,990 Active 368 DOM
  6. 2026-07-16
    days on market $289,990 Active 367 DOM
  7. 2026-07-15
    days on market $289,990 Active 366 DOM
  8. 2026-07-13
    days on market $289,990 Active 364 DOM
  9. 2026-07-13
    days on market $289,990 Active 363 DOM
  10. 2026-07-11
    days on market $289,990 Active 362 DOM
  11. 2026-07-10
    days on market $289,990 Active 361 DOM
  12. 2026-07-09
    days on market $289,990 Active 360 DOM
  13. 2026-07-07
    days on market $289,990 Active 358 DOM
  14. 2026-07-06
    days on market $289,990 Active 357 DOM
  15. 2026-07-06
    days on market $289,990 Active 356 DOM
  16. 2026-07-04
    days on market $289,990 Active 354 DOM
  17. 2026-07-02
    days on market $289,990 Active 353 DOM
  18. 2026-07-01
    days on market $289,990 Active 352 DOM
  19. 2026-06-30
    days on market $289,990 Active 351 DOM
  20. 2026-06-29
    days on market $289,990 Active 350 DOM
  21. 2026-06-28
    days on market $289,990 Active 349 DOM
  22. 2026-06-27
    days on market $289,990 Active 348 DOM
  23. 2026-06-26
    days on market $289,990 Active 347 DOM
  24. 2026-06-24
    days on market $289,990 Active 345 DOM
  25. 2026-06-22
    days on market $289,990 Active 343 DOM
  26. 2026-06-21
    days on market $289,990 Active 342 DOM
  27. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,990 Active 339 DOM
  28. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,990 Active 338 DOM
  29. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,990 Active 337 DOM
  30. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,990 Active 336 DOM
  31. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,990 Active 334 DOM
  32. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,990 Active 333 DOM
  33. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,990 Active 330 DOM
  34. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,990 Active 329 DOM
  35. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,990 Active 328 DOM
  36. 2026-06-04
    days on market $289,990 Active 325 DOM
  37. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,990 Active 324 DOM
  38. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,990 Active 323 DOM
  39. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,990 Active 322 DOM
  40. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,990 Active 321 DOM
  41. 2026-03-17
    price $289,990 897-char remark
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    Discover the Bermuda - a stylish one-story villa featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an open-concept design perfect for modern living. The spacious kitchen overlooks the dining area and great room, creating a seamless flow for everyday living and entertaining. Bedroom 2 and Bathroom 2 are located near the front entry, while Bedroom 1 is positioned at the rear of the home and includes a private ensuite bath with double vanity sinks and a large walk-in closet. A flex room just off the main living area can comfortably serve as a third bedroom, home office, or hobby room-offering added versatility to fit your lifestyle. Additional features include stainless steel kitchen appliances, a walk-in pantry, a fully equipped laundry room, a 1-car garage, and a built-in smart home system. Designed for both comfort and convenience, the Bermuda offers exceptional value in a low-maintenance layout

  42. 2025-08-06
    price $287,990 897-char remark
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    Discover the Bermuda - a stylish one-story villa featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an open-concept design perfect for modern living. The spacious kitchen overlooks the dining area and great room, creating a seamless flow for everyday living and entertaining. Bedroom 2 and Bathroom 2 are located near the front entry, while Bedroom 1 is positioned at the rear of the home and includes a private ensuite bath with double vanity sinks and a large walk-in closet. A flex room just off the main living area can comfortably serve as a third bedroom, home office, or hobby room-offering added versatility to fit your lifestyle. Additional features include stainless steel kitchen appliances, a walk-in pantry, a fully equipped laundry room, a 1-car garage, and a built-in smart home system. Designed for both comfort and convenience, the Bermuda offers exceptional value in a low-maintenance layout

  43. 2025-07-29
    price $286,990 897-char remark
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    Discover the Bermuda - a stylish one-story villa featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an open-concept design perfect for modern living. The spacious kitchen overlooks the dining area and great room, creating a seamless flow for everyday living and entertaining. Bedroom 2 and Bathroom 2 are located near the front entry, while Bedroom 1 is positioned at the rear of the home and includes a private ensuite bath with double vanity sinks and a large walk-in closet. A flex room just off the main living area can comfortably serve as a third bedroom, home office, or hobby room-offering added versatility to fit your lifestyle. Additional features include stainless steel kitchen appliances, a walk-in pantry, a fully equipped laundry room, a 1-car garage, and a built-in smart home system. Designed for both comfort and convenience, the Bermuda offers exceptional value in a low-maintenance layout

  44. 2025-07-15
    listed $284,990 Active 897-char remark
    Show marketing remark (897 chars)

    Discover the Bermuda - a stylish one-story villa featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an open-concept design perfect for modern living. The spacious kitchen overlooks the dining area and great room, creating a seamless flow for everyday living and entertaining. Bedroom 2 and Bathroom 2 are located near the front entry, while Bedroom 1 is positioned at the rear of the home and includes a private ensuite bath with double vanity sinks and a large walk-in closet. A flex room just off the main living area can comfortably serve as a third bedroom, home office, or hobby room-offering added versatility to fit your lifestyle. Additional features include stainless steel kitchen appliances, a walk-in pantry, a fully equipped laundry room, a 1-car garage, and a built-in smart home system. Designed for both comfort and convenience, the Bermuda offers exceptional value in a low-maintenance layout

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,789
− Mortgage interest
−$18,777
− Property taxes
−$5,028
− Insurance
−$1,676
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,463
− Management
−$2,463
− Depreciation
−$9,751
Taxable loss
−$9,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,249
After-tax cash flow
$-1,226/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This Bermuda plan home in Plant City, FL is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with updates like painting and landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
F Composite school gradezoned avg 39/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Knights Elementary School D FL #1,152/2,144 Nat'l #14,081/41,679 Middle Marshall Middle Magnet School F FL #469/571 Nat'l #9,020/14,009 High Plant City High School F FL #312/667 Nat'l #8,724/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — Plant City

Score
76/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#3587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plant City, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
City population
68,525
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,108
Household income
$73,414
Rent vs Own
9.1% rent · 90.9% own
Severe rent burden
7% of renters

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+1.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $289,990 Zillow
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $287,990 Zillow
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $286,990 Zillow
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $284,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…