🏗️ New Construction
Bermuda Plan · Plant City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the Bermuda - a stylish one-story villa featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an open-concept design perfect for modern living. The spacious kitchen overlooks the dining area and great room, creating a seamless flow for everyday living and entertaining. Bedroom 2 and Bathroom 2 are located near the front entry, while Bedroom 1 is positioned at the rear of the home and includes a private ensuite bath with double vanity sinks and a large walk-in closet. A flex room just off the main living area can comfortably serve as a third bedroom, home office, or hobby room-offering added versatility to fit your lifestyle. Additional features include stainless steel kitchen appliances, a walk-in pantry, a fully equipped laundry room, a 1-car garage, and a built-in smart home system.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- New home community
- Smart home system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-290 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $255k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.3% in Plant City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Knights Elementary School (math 52% / reading 45%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 623 students, 70% FRL); Marshall Middle Magnet School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 1,089 students, 69% FRL); Plant City High School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 2,474 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 374 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 374 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.70%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $335,207
- List price
- $289,990
- Delta
- -13.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4002 Westwood Fields Loop | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,565 (+3%) | 2mo | $304,000 | $194 | 62 |
| 3422 Ivy Hollow Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+3%) | 23mo | $317,990 | $204 | 58 |
| 3502 Melody Gardens Pl | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 | 1,560 (+3%) | 15mo | $322,165 | $207 | 53 |
| 3419 Walnut Round Pl | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,768 (+16%) | 2mo | $390,039 | $221 | 51 |
| 3307 Amber Waves Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,565 (+3%) | 16mo | $311,990 | $199 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-72,723
- Equity at exit
- $49,980
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-86,919
- Equity at exit
- $28,983
Cash invested: $93,858 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 21.0 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $343,000 ($202/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 126 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +9.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33565
- Home prices YoY
- -24.7%
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,566 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,758
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$419 /mo · $5,028/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$539
- Net cashflow
- $-290
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-58 | -5% $-174 | +0% $-290 | +5% $-405 | +10% $-521 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-492 | -5% $-391 | +0% $-290 | +5% $-188 | +10% $-87 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-121 | -0.5pp $-204 | base $-290 | +0.5pp $-376 | +1.0pp $-465 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,802
- Closing costs
- $10,056
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3507 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1681 | $2,300 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3551 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1681 | $2,200 | $1.31 | 52d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3546 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1681 | $2,200 | $1.31 | 71d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3546 Marigold Patch Ct Plant City, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1673 | $2,200 | $1.32 | 73d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4005 Westwood Fields Loop Unit 4005 Plant City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,500 | $1.60 | 73d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4008 Westwood Fields Loop Plant City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,250 | $1.44 | 30d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4010 Westwood Fields Loop Plant City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,100 | $1.34 | 27d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4025 Westwood Fields Loop Plant City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,425 | $1.55 | 71d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4027 Westwood Fields Loop Plant City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $3,200 | $2.04 | 71d | 1 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 44 events
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2026-07-23days on market $289,990 Active 374 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $289,990 Active 373 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $289,990 Active 372 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $289,990 Active 371 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $289,990 Active 368 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $289,990 Active 367 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $289,990 Active 366 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $289,990 Active 364 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $289,990 Active 363 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $289,990 Active 362 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $289,990 Active 361 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $289,990 Active 360 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $289,990 Active 358 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $289,990 Active 357 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $289,990 Active 356 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $289,990 Active 354 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $289,990 Active 353 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $289,990 Active 352 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $289,990 Active 351 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $289,990 Active 350 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $289,990 Active 349 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $289,990 Active 348 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $289,990 Active 347 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $289,990 Active 345 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $289,990 Active 343 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $289,990 Active 342 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $289,990 Active 339 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $289,990 Active 338 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $289,990 Active 337 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $289,990 Active 336 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $289,990 Active 334 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $289,990 Active 333 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $289,990 Active 330 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $289,990 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $289,990 Active 328 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $289,990 Active 325 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $289,990 Active 324 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $289,990 Active 323 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $289,990 Active 322 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $289,990 Active 321 DOM
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2026-03-17price $289,990 897-char remark
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Discover the Bermuda - a stylish one-story villa featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an open-concept design perfect for modern living. The spacious kitchen overlooks the dining area and great room, creating a seamless flow for everyday living and entertaining. Bedroom 2 and Bathroom 2 are located near the front entry, while Bedroom 1 is positioned at the rear of the home and includes a private ensuite bath with double vanity sinks and a large walk-in closet. A flex room just off the main living area can comfortably serve as a third bedroom, home office, or hobby room-offering added versatility to fit your lifestyle. Additional features include stainless steel kitchen appliances, a walk-in pantry, a fully equipped laundry room, a 1-car garage, and a built-in smart home system. Designed for both comfort and convenience, the Bermuda offers exceptional value in a low-maintenance layout
-
2025-08-06price $287,990 897-char remark
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Discover the Bermuda - a stylish one-story villa featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an open-concept design perfect for modern living. The spacious kitchen overlooks the dining area and great room, creating a seamless flow for everyday living and entertaining. Bedroom 2 and Bathroom 2 are located near the front entry, while Bedroom 1 is positioned at the rear of the home and includes a private ensuite bath with double vanity sinks and a large walk-in closet. A flex room just off the main living area can comfortably serve as a third bedroom, home office, or hobby room-offering added versatility to fit your lifestyle. Additional features include stainless steel kitchen appliances, a walk-in pantry, a fully equipped laundry room, a 1-car garage, and a built-in smart home system. Designed for both comfort and convenience, the Bermuda offers exceptional value in a low-maintenance layout
-
2025-07-29price $286,990 897-char remark
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Discover the Bermuda - a stylish one-story villa featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an open-concept design perfect for modern living. The spacious kitchen overlooks the dining area and great room, creating a seamless flow for everyday living and entertaining. Bedroom 2 and Bathroom 2 are located near the front entry, while Bedroom 1 is positioned at the rear of the home and includes a private ensuite bath with double vanity sinks and a large walk-in closet. A flex room just off the main living area can comfortably serve as a third bedroom, home office, or hobby room-offering added versatility to fit your lifestyle. Additional features include stainless steel kitchen appliances, a walk-in pantry, a fully equipped laundry room, a 1-car garage, and a built-in smart home system. Designed for both comfort and convenience, the Bermuda offers exceptional value in a low-maintenance layout
-
2025-07-15$284,990 Active 897-char remark
Show marketing remark (897 chars)
Discover the Bermuda - a stylish one-story villa featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and an open-concept design perfect for modern living. The spacious kitchen overlooks the dining area and great room, creating a seamless flow for everyday living and entertaining. Bedroom 2 and Bathroom 2 are located near the front entry, while Bedroom 1 is positioned at the rear of the home and includes a private ensuite bath with double vanity sinks and a large walk-in closet. A flex room just off the main living area can comfortably serve as a third bedroom, home office, or hobby room-offering added versatility to fit your lifestyle. Additional features include stainless steel kitchen appliances, a walk-in pantry, a fully equipped laundry room, a 1-car garage, and a built-in smart home system. Designed for both comfort and convenience, the Bermuda offers exceptional value in a low-maintenance layout
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,789
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,777
- − Property taxes
- −$5,028
- − Insurance
- −$1,676
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,463
- − Management
- −$2,463
- − Depreciation
- −$9,751
- Taxable loss
- −$9,370
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,249
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,226/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This Bermuda plan home in Plant City, FL is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with updates like painting and landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Plant City
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #3587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plant City, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
- City population
- 68,525
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,108
- Household income
- $73,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 19%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.17%
- Current HPI
- 347.2475
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $289,990 Zillow
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $287,990 Zillow
- 2025-07-29 Price Changed $286,990 Zillow
- 2025-07-15 Listed $284,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…