1542 Thomas Jefferson Ct #1542 · Mays Landing, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 79.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gorgeous 16x16 Italian tile and berber carpet help highlight this beautiful unit. Master has private bath, walk-in kit w/ blt in counter, and nice yard, in quaint and quiet setting. .. PRICED TO SELL QUICKLY!!!!
Key facts
- First-floor condo
- Kitchen cabinets
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with restrictions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $283; Association maintains management, sewer, trash, water, pool, and maintenance; Common clubhouse/clubroom
Exterior
- Parking: Off-site parking available; No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium (Mays Ldg Vill); 2-story building; Unit is on the first floor; Unit has 1 interior level; Zoned GA-I
- Construction: Approximately 21–25 years old
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Unit located on the first floor; Single-level unit
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Gas stove; Refrigerator; Washer; Hardwood floors; Wall-to-wall carpet; Pets allowed (subject to restrictions)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-158 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (10.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (5.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $192k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.0% in Mays Landing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#214 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, health & safety B+; Watch: commute C-, cost of living D+, amenities F.
- Hamilton Township School District (suburban): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #401 of 472 in NJ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $185k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 79% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.15%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $250,365
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -14.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $107,232
- Equity at exit
- $193,689
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.38×
- Total profit
- $324,104
- Equity at exit
- $417,698
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08330
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 244
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,039 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$283
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $-158
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-9 | -5% $-84 | +0% $-158 | +5% $-232 | +10% $-307 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-319 | -5% $-239 | +0% $-158 | +5% $-78 | +10% $3 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-50 | -0.5pp $-103 | base $-158 | +0.5pp $-214 | +1.0pp $-270 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1932 Cologne Ave Mays Landing, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,825 | $2.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5303 Harding Hwy #305 Mays Landing, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,675 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $283 · $3,396/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $215,000 Under Contract 54 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $215,000 Under Contract 52 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Under Contract 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Under Contract 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $215,000 Under Contract 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $215,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09price $215,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $232,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $232,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $232,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $232,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $232,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $232,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $232,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-28$232,500 Active 673-char remark
-
2006-06-02soldstatus $185,000 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Gorgeous 16x16 Italian tile and berber carpet help highlight this beautiful unit. Master has private bath, walk-in kit w/ blt in counter, and nice yard, in quaint and quiet setting. .. PRICED TO SELL QUICKLY!!!!
-
2006-04-10historical 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Gorgeous 16x16 Italian tile and berber carpet help highlight this beautiful unit. Master has private bath, walk-in kit w/ blt in counter, and nice yard, in quaint and quiet setting. .. PRICED TO SELL QUICKLY!!!!
-
2006-03-04$187,900 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Gorgeous 16x16 Italian tile and berber carpet help highlight this beautiful unit. Master has private bath, walk-in kit w/ blt in counter, and nice yard, in quaint and quiet setting. .. PRICED TO SELL QUICKLY!!!!
-
2004-03-19soldstatus $138,000
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Absolutely gorgeous! 1st flr unit, 4 yrs old-magnificant 16 x 16 tile from Italy thru-out except both bdrms have Berber carpet. Brand new ceiling fans-upgraded kit, nice yard. Master has private bath & WIC, kitchen has blt in counter. Quick settlement. Hurry
-
2004-02-26historical
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Absolutely gorgeous! 1st flr unit, 4 yrs old-magnificant 16 x 16 tile from Italy thru-out except both bdrms have Berber carpet. Brand new ceiling fans-upgraded kit, nice yard. Master has private bath & WIC, kitchen has blt in counter. Quick settlement. Hurry
-
2004-01-27$138,000
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
Absolutely gorgeous! 1st flr unit, 4 yrs old-magnificant 16 x 16 tile from Italy thru-out except both bdrms have Berber carpet. Brand new ceiling fans-upgraded kit, nice yard. Master has private bath & WIC, kitchen has blt in counter. Quick settlement. Hurry
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 79% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,467
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,957
- − Management
- −$1,957
- − HOA
- −$3,396
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$5,442
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,306
- After-tax cash flow
- $-591/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3406510
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,997
- Composite
- 21.34/100
- National rank
- #8372
- State rank
- #401 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Mays Landing
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #214
- US rank
- #5982
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mays Landing, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,972
- Household income
- $77,167
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1003.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.58%
- Current HPI
- 308.5148
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+55.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Contingent — SJSRMLS
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $215,000 SJSRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $232,500 SJSRMLS
- 2006-06-02 Sold (MLS) $185,000 SJSRMLS
- 2006-04-10 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2006-03-04 Listed $187,900 SJSRMLS
- 2004-03-19 Sold (MLS) $138,000 SJSRMLS
- 2004-02-26 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2004-01-27 Listed $138,000 SJSRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…