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1357 5th Ave
D Composite 44.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$174,900

1357 5th Ave · Youngstown, OH 44504
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,778 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 158 Days on market
Built 1917 0.69 ac lot ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Mix use building with an apartment on the third floor. Basement, first and second floors were used as a doctors office. Investors Dream Property. Property being Sold AS IS

Key facts

  • 0.69 acre lot
  • Pool
  • Built 1917

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gated open parking lot (no garage)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 3-story building; Shingle roof; Block and frame construction; Property listed as fixer
  • Construction: Built year per public records; Block and frame construction; Shingle roof; Full finished area below grade: 1,176; Above grade finished area: 2,778
  • Exterior features: Private pool; Lot approximately 0.689 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 4 half bathrooms; At least one main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-566/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $167k (4.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (21.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Youngstown City (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #649 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $138,208 (21.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.16%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$72,228
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
249 N Heights Ave 0.11mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,812 (+1%) 5mo $165,000 $59 81
342 Fairgreen Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 2,685 (-3%) 8mo $70,000 $26 73
1660 5th Ave 0.32mi 4/3.5 (+1) 3,113 (+12%) 4mo $60,000 $19 55
1868 Coronado Ave 0.72mi 4/2.5 (+1) 3,032 (+9%) 23mo $61,900 $20 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$55,064
Equity at exit
$118,029
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
4.32×
Total profit
$162,611
Equity at exit
$221,385

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44504

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,382 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$149 /mo · $1,788/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$-47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,442
Max offer price $166,562
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $52 -5% $2 +0% $-47 +5% $-97 +10% $-146
Rent -10% $-156 -5% $-102 +0% $-47 +5% $7 +10% $62
Rate -1.0pp $41 -0.5pp $-3 base $-47 +0.5pp $-93 +1.0pp $-139

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $174,900 Active 158 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $174,900 Active 156 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 155 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active 154 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,900 Active 153 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active 152 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $174,900 Active 150 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $174,900 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $174,900 Active 147 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active 146 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,900 Active 144 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,900 Active 140 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $174,900 Active 139 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,900 Active 138 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $174,900 Active 137 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $174,900 Active 136 DOM
  18. 2026-03-06
    price $174,900
  19. 2026-02-06
    price $184,900
  20. 2026-01-14
    listed $229,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,788 · $149/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,258 · $188/mo
Expected delta
+$470/yr (+$39/mo · 26.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,585
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$1,788
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,327
− Management
−$1,327
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable loss
−$3,616
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$868
After-tax cash flow
$301/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Youngstown City
NCES district ID
3904516
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$25,257
Composite
9.29/100
National rank
#9858
State rank
#649 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Youngstown, OH
County
Mahoning · 224,175 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Population (ZIP)
5,185
Household income
$40,156
Rent vs Own
58.9% rent · 41.1% own
Severe rent burden
15.7

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 45% Black 38% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Dominican Republic, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.72%
Current HPI
174.9495
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $174,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $184,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $229,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,788 · -11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…