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3 Malone Hill Rd
B- Composite 69.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$121,000

3 Malone Hill Rd · Malone, WA 98541
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,848 sqft · Manufactured public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1990 2.96 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Elma Malone Area. 4 Bedroom 2 Bath Manufactured Home on 2.96 acres approximately. Poor condition with major deferred maintenance. Being sold strictly "AS IS". Must sign hold harmless agreement before entry can be approved. Recommend to wear safety masks over face for protection. Flooring is weak in areas especially in kitchen area.

Key facts

  • 2.96 acre lot
  • Built 1990
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 2.96 acres
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking listed
  • Utilities: Electric energy; Community water (Malone Community); Septic sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story with main-level entry; Main entry on the main level; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Manufactured house structure; Built as a double wide manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Wood exterior products; Property offers a view; Value in land

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpeted areas
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Vinyl and carpet flooring; Partial slope topography (on property)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $121k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $121k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#516 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, cost of living D.
  • Elma School District (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #146 of 291 in WA (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Elma Elementary School (707 students, 77% FRL); Elma High School (542 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 52% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $837 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $99k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.31%
Cash-on-cash
21.47%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$526,680
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
49 Mox Chehalis Rd 0.24mi 4/2.0 1,662 (-10%) 9mo $474,000 $285 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$19,047
Equity at exit
$18,041
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$66,472
Equity at exit
$10,462

Cash invested: $33,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98541

Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,853 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$635
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,069/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$389
Net cashflow
$606

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,085
Max offer price $121,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,250
Closing costs
$3,630
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $121,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $121,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $121,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $121,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $121,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 333-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $121,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,069 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,069 · $172/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,233
− Mortgage interest
−$6,778
− Property taxes
−$2,069
− Insurance
−$605
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,779
− Management
−$1,779
− Depreciation
−$3,520
Taxable income
$5,703
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,369
After-tax cash flow
$5,906/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elma School District
NCES district ID
5302490
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$45,658
Composite
44.76/100
National rank
#5959
State rank
#146 of 291 in WA

Livability — Malone

Score
58/100
State rank
#516
US rank
#21266

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime D Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Malone, WA
Population (ZIP)
10,285

Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,443 people
By 2030
63,255 · -4.8%
By 2040
56,466 · -15.0%
By 2050
50,516 · -24.0%
By 2075
39,296 · -40.9%
By 2100
31,142 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 11% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.43%
Current HPI
199.9988
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $121,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $99,133 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,069 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…