4236 Everett Rd · Prichard, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special priced to sell! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers great potential with a bit of rehab and TLC. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or add a solid performer to your rental portfolio, this is a fantastic opportunity. Located in a quiet neighborhood, the home provides a peaceful setting while still being convenient to local amenities. With the right vision and updates, this property could truly shine. Don’t miss out on this value-packed investment!
Key facts
- 0.87 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1982
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with parking for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electric service: Other; No listed utilities
- Home design: Residential single family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Other roof material; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation; Built in 1982
- Exterior features: No notable exterior features; No fencing; View available
Interior
- Kitchen: Other appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 0 half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No central heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Other interior features; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $29k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($895 rent vs $29k).
- Recommended offer: $28k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.0% vs local median 11.4% in Prichard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#472 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mattie T Blount High School (math 2% / reading 3%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 1,176 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 67% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 2% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $870 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.05%
- DSCR
- 4.29
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,541
- List price
- $29,000
- Delta
- -74.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2818 Bettye F Johnson St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,565 (+13%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $99 | 47 |
| 2511 Herman B Towner St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,580 (+14%) | 8mo | $172,000 | $109 | 40 |
| 2311 Shelton Beach Rd S | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,571 (+14%) | 18mo | $191,800 | $122 | 37 |
| 1722 Daniels Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,188 (-14%) | 11mo | $25,000 | $21 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $27,230
- Equity at exit
- $4,324
- IRR
- 77.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.99×
- Total profit
- $64,873
- Equity at exit
- $2,507
Cash invested: $8,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36613
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $895 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$152
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $503/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$188
- Net cashflow
- $501
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $517 | -5% $509 | +0% $501 | +5% $493 | +10% $485 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $430 | -5% $466 | +0% $501 | +5% $536 | +10% $572 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $516 | -0.5pp $508 | base $501 | +0.5pp $494 | +1.0pp $486 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,250
- Closing costs
- $870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1701 Bear Fork Rd Unit 2 Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $875 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1701 Bear Fork Rd Unit 7 Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $950 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3427 Stovall St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $850 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $29,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $33,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $33,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $33,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $33,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $43,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $43,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $43,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $43,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $55,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $70,000 495-char remark
-
2026-04-30$75,000 Active 495-char remark
-
2020-08-28soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $503 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $503 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,624
- − Property taxes
- −$503
- − Insurance
- −$145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$859
- − Management
- −$859
- − Depreciation
- −$844
- Taxable income
- $5,907
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,418
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,595/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Prichard
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #472
- US rank
- #24080
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prichard, AL
- City population
- 13,402
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,082
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (52%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 44% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.49%
- Current HPI
- 208.8677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-37.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $29,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $33,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $43,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $55,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $59,900 GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $70,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-30 Listed $75,000 GCMLS AL
- 2020-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $503 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…