5781 Ga Highway 204 · Savannah, GA 31308

$199,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,421 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1959 2.30 ac lot $141/sqft · 24% below area Est $264k · 24% under ↓ 2% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +8.2/10.0
• 1% rule +5.2/10.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Livability +4.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Fenced back yard
• Over 2 acres
• 2 driveways

Tags

• OVER 2 ACRES
• FENCED BACK YARD
• MULTIPLE STORAGE BUILDINGS
• MATURE TREES
• 2 DRIVEWAYS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking
• Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank; Cable available
• Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
• Construction: Wood siding construction
• Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Private backyard; Accessible approach with ramp; Has a view

Interior

• Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater (serving kitchen appliances)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas wall furnace; Electric cooling via window unit(s)
• Interior features: Electric water heater; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Factory-built fireplace with a wood-burning stove insert in the living room
• Laundry & utility: Laundry: other (unspecified)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
• Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.0% in Savannah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 86/100 on livability (#1 in GA, #397 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment D, schools F.
• Bryan County (rural): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #14 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 510 units permitted in Bryan County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bryan County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $199,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
5. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
6. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.02% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.91%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.33%
• DSCR: 1.42
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $263,696
• List price: $199,900
• Delta: -24.19%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 3 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5781 Ga Highway 204	0.00mi	3/1.0	1,421 (0%)	1mo	$195,000	$137	100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -2.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.92×
• Total profit: $-4,754
• Equity at exit: $29,806

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.56×
• Total profit: $31,192
• Equity at exit: $17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31308

• Home prices YoY: -4.1%
• Active inventory: 79
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,045 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,048
• Tax from tax record: −$48 /mo · $581/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$429
• Net cashflow: $435

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,494

Max offer price $199,900

Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,975
• Closing costs: $5,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-08
   status Pending 406-char remark
2. 2026-05-04
   listed $199,900 Active 406-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $581 · $48/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,839 · $153/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,258/yr (+$105/mo · 216.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,538
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,198
• − Property taxes: −$581
• − Insurance: −$1,000
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,963
• − Management: −$1,963
• − Depreciation: −$5,815
• Taxable income: $2,019
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$484
• After-tax cash flow: $4,740/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bryan County
• NCES district ID: 1300570
• Math proficiency: 49% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $64,465
• Composite: 44.99/100
• National rank: #2701
• State rank: #14 of 174 in GA

Livability — Savannah

• Score: 86/100
• State rank: #1
• US rank: #397

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 216,564
• Population (ZIP): 8,814

Population outlook (Bryan County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 45,980 people
• By 2030: 51,583 · +12.2%
• By 2040: 63,184 · +37.4%
• By 2050: 75,400 · +64.0%
• By 2075: 105,363 · +129.1%
• By 2100: 124,959 · +171.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 71% Black 17% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 2% Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bryan

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+36.3) · D 31.6% · R 67.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.3pp toward D · 2008: -42.6pp · 2024: -36.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+36.3 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+43.2 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+42.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -10.60%
• Current HPI: 249.2442
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

-2.5% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
• 2026-06-02 Sold (MLS) $195,000 Hive MLS
• 2026-05-08 Pending — Hive MLS
• 2026-05-04 Listed $199,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $581 · +20.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.